Tom Carnduff
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tomcarnduff.bsky.social
Tom Carnduff
@tomcarnduff.bsky.social
Football stuff mainly tbh.
Junior Firpo's 24/25 Sky Bet Championship season...

▪️ Starts: 30
▪️ Assists: 10
▪️ Goals: 4
▪️ Chances created: 48

Champion. 🏆🥇
July 1, 2025 at 11:21 AM
It's been an injury-hit couple of seasons for Lukas Nmecha (made 22 Bundesliga appearances - 3 starts) but has demonstrated a clear preference in the areas he looks to score from. Shot map from the past two seasons showing a clear pattern 👇
June 15, 2025 at 3:25 PM
Leeds-linked Jaka Bijol and how his aerial numbers compared to last season's centre-back options (aerial duels won per 90):

▪️ Pascal Struijk - 3.64
▪️ Jaka Bijol - 3.34
▪️ Joe Rodon - 2.65
▪️ Ethan Ampadu - 2.4
June 9, 2025 at 8:35 AM
On this weekend’s three play-off finals. We can’t escape the obsession with the outcome of one game but we shouldn’t forget the nine months which preceded it.
Finding pride among the pain for EFL play-off final losers
Having spent the weekend at Wembley, it's taken me around 24 hours to digest exactly what I witnessed.
www.sportinglife.com
May 27, 2025 at 6:57 PM
May 5, 2025 at 2:01 PM
And so, we move onto the play-offs.

Teams who finish 3rd in the Championship have reached the final in 80% of the previous 20 seasons (16/20), with 45% (9/20) securing promotion.
May 5, 2025 at 10:21 AM
After the 1-1 draw with Luton, Leeds looked like they'd lost their spark. One win in six at that stage and struggling to create anything (they had eight shots that day).

Fair to say, I really didn't expect the six which followed:

✅ Six wins
⚽️ 16 goals
🏆 18 points
May 4, 2025 at 9:14 AM
Joël Piroe wins the Sky Bet Championship's Golden Boot with 19 goals.

Really consistent with where he scores when hitting the target... 🎯
May 4, 2025 at 8:58 AM
And look at that after half-time for Leeds.

The 25 shots attempted was the second-highest of their Championship title-winning season (most was 29 in the 7-0 win over Cardiff).

Also the 14th occasion they posted at least 20 shots.
May 4, 2025 at 8:51 AM
Can you tell Bradford needed a goal to be promoted?
May 4, 2025 at 8:43 AM
Just walked into a bar where people are queuing to order a drink.
a group of people standing on top of a soccer field with the word no written on the ground .
ALT: a group of people standing on top of a soccer field with the word no written on the ground .
media.tenor.com
April 30, 2025 at 5:11 PM
Oh and Ethan Ampadu attempted a ridiculous 164 passes in Leeds' 4-0 win over Bristol City, successfully completing 157 of 'em.
April 29, 2025 at 1:35 PM
A season-high five chances created by Ilia Gruev as Leeds beat Bristol City 4-0 on Monday - that included an assist on Largie Ramazani's second goal of the night.
April 29, 2025 at 1:32 PM
‘Scarf on seat game’ at the end of the season which didn’t have huge pressure on it. That was nice.
April 29, 2025 at 7:48 AM
A total of 89 goals in 44 games for Leeds en route to promotion from an expected goals (xG) tally of 84.57.

And here's where they placed every one of 'em.
April 22, 2025 at 11:27 AM
The final day of the Championship season will see Jack Wilshere's Norwich City facing Aaron Ramsey's Cardiff City. How very Football Manager.
April 22, 2025 at 11:16 AM
⚽️ Joel Piroe is now two clear in the Championship's top goalscorer charts (19).

Implied probability in the odds on being the top scorer:
▪️ August 11 - 5.9%
▪️ September 27 - 3.8%
▪️ January 1 - 9.1%
▪️ February 24 - 42.1%
▪️ Pre-Stoke yesterday - 12.5%
▪️ Post-Stoke - 85.7%
April 22, 2025 at 11:00 AM
When Leeds were beaten in the play-off final at Wembley, the implied probability of promotion in 24/25 was 34.8%.

It stood at 52.4% after two opening draws.

Up to 94.1% after three wins over Christmas.

At 97.1% after a 7-0 win over Cardiff.

Dropped to 81.8% just 17 days ago.
April 22, 2025 at 10:31 AM
From 34.8% after defeat in the play-off final to 99% following Friday's win over Oxford.

Here's Leeds' season through the bookmakers' implied probability for promotion.
April 21, 2025 at 6:25 PM
A goal for Junior Firpo in Leeds' 6-0 win over Stoke but he created four chances for teammates too.
April 21, 2025 at 4:20 PM
I didn't expect to be posting this today but...

The record score in the Championship is 8-0 (Wigan 8-0 Hull in July 2020; Birmingham 0-8 Bournemouth in October 2014).
April 21, 2025 at 2:50 PM
Joel Piroe has a hat-trick just 20 minutes into Leeds vs Stoke.
April 21, 2025 at 2:24 PM
Who thought this was a good idea then? The running of that club seems mad.
April 21, 2025 at 7:47 AM
Now That’s What I Call Bundesliga!
April 19, 2025 at 5:30 PM
Derby dire in that first half but should have grabbed an equaliser in the second. Massive win for Luton to keep it a thrilling relegation battle to watch unfold. Six/seven teams still very vulnerable.
April 18, 2025 at 1:31 PM