Therealdrcaplan
@threaldrcaplan.bsky.social
Taxes. Thoughts. Things that interest me. Not necessarily in this order. Opinions mine.
Reposted by Therealdrcaplan
Leopard: I will eat your face
Bank analysts: Our baseline assumes no face-eating
Leopard: Chomp chomp chomp
Bank analysts: Our baseline assumes no face-eating
Leopard: Chomp chomp chomp
J.P. Morgan econs on Trump’s latest are “increasingly concerned that the policy mix may tilt into an unintentionally far less business-friendly stance. The sustained 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico set to start this weekend is materially different than the tariff increases built into our baseline.”
February 1, 2025 at 5:12 PM
Leopard: I will eat your face
Bank analysts: Our baseline assumes no face-eating
Leopard: Chomp chomp chomp
Bank analysts: Our baseline assumes no face-eating
Leopard: Chomp chomp chomp
Reposted by Therealdrcaplan
You were warned
What comes next? Purges of the intelligence community.
February 1, 2025 at 7:54 AM
You were warned
Reposted by Therealdrcaplan
there are just a slew of people out there whose reaction to crisis is militant cynicism, a kind of inverse vainglory. calling actually does a lot. anyone who’s ever spent time in these offices will tell you that.
To folks saying "Calling does nothing!" and then... not suggesting any actions instead, even small ones? Please, save us both some time, don't bother posting at me, and just block me now. I'll use the time to take action (not JUST call, fyi) & you can use it to... stare into the abyss of doom? 🤷🏻♀️
February 1, 2025 at 2:49 PM
there are just a slew of people out there whose reaction to crisis is militant cynicism, a kind of inverse vainglory. calling actually does a lot. anyone who’s ever spent time in these offices will tell you that.
Reposted by Therealdrcaplan
People are dying because Trump illegally cut off foreign aid. He’s purging civil servants and law enforcement officers deemed insufficiently loyal. He unilaterally suspended Medicaid and froze trillions in funding. All of this is unlawful! And Democrats are … touting areas of bipartisan compromise?
February 1, 2025 at 3:16 PM
People are dying because Trump illegally cut off foreign aid. He’s purging civil servants and law enforcement officers deemed insufficiently loyal. He unilaterally suspended Medicaid and froze trillions in funding. All of this is unlawful! And Democrats are … touting areas of bipartisan compromise?
Reposted by Therealdrcaplan
My model shows a 64% chance that Biden will bring up Charlottesville in his Oval Office farewell address. And I rank the best dining hall burritos on the UVA campus. All that and more in the next Silver Bulletin.
January 15, 2025 at 1:02 PM
My model shows a 64% chance that Biden will bring up Charlottesville in his Oval Office farewell address. And I rank the best dining hall burritos on the UVA campus. All that and more in the next Silver Bulletin.
Reposted by Therealdrcaplan
with boundless respect for the man and his team who stood up for the law and accountability.
apnews.com/article/trum...
apnews.com/article/trum...
Special counsel Jack Smith has resigned after submitting his Trump report, Justice Department says
Special counsel Jack Smith has resigned from the Justice Department after submitting his investigative report on President-elect Donald Trump.
apnews.com
January 12, 2025 at 7:05 AM
with boundless respect for the man and his team who stood up for the law and accountability.
apnews.com/article/trum...
apnews.com/article/trum...
Reposted by Therealdrcaplan
I tried making sense of Judge Cannon’s convoluted shenanigans and explore the world of Imaginary Jurisdiction in my latest Substack open.substack.com/pub/asharang...
Friday Round Up! 1/10/25
The Loose Cannon just won't stop firing.
open.substack.com
January 12, 2025 at 12:23 AM
I tried making sense of Judge Cannon’s convoluted shenanigans and explore the world of Imaginary Jurisdiction in my latest Substack open.substack.com/pub/asharang...
Reposted by Therealdrcaplan
Tariffs are neither a Swiss Army knife for domestic problems nor an effective stick to discipline other nations (as Trump believes). But they can be useful as a shield allowing other (social, environmental, industrial) policies to do their work. My latest www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/t...
What Tariffs Can and Can’t Do | by Dani Rodrik - Project Syndicate
Dani Rodrik argues that import duties are neither an all-purpose tool, as Donald Trump believes, nor a purposeless one.
www.project-syndicate.org
January 8, 2025 at 1:27 PM
Tariffs are neither a Swiss Army knife for domestic problems nor an effective stick to discipline other nations (as Trump believes). But they can be useful as a shield allowing other (social, environmental, industrial) policies to do their work. My latest www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/t...
Reposted by Therealdrcaplan
How it started. How it’s going
January 9, 2025 at 12:56 AM
How it started. How it’s going
Reposted by Therealdrcaplan
Excited to appear in the next issue of Dissent, in their special section on housing, making the case for left-YIMBYism. The issue drops next week. www.dissentmagazine.org/blog/the-end...
The End of the Biden Era - Dissent Magazine
A preview of our Winter 2025 issue.
www.dissentmagazine.org
January 7, 2025 at 7:39 AM
Excited to appear in the next issue of Dissent, in their special section on housing, making the case for left-YIMBYism. The issue drops next week. www.dissentmagazine.org/blog/the-end...
Reposted by Therealdrcaplan
I see snarking on Dems from Harris on down for making a point abt following the constitution today. And yes sorta cold comfort given the larger context. But it seems reasonable and not terrible/cringey to note that when yr on the losing end you opt to be neither a whiny bitch nor a seditionist.
January 6, 2025 at 10:44 PM
I see snarking on Dems from Harris on down for making a point abt following the constitution today. And yes sorta cold comfort given the larger context. But it seems reasonable and not terrible/cringey to note that when yr on the losing end you opt to be neither a whiny bitch nor a seditionist.
Reposted by Therealdrcaplan
Is NYC's congestion fee a regressive tax? No. Driving into Manhattan is expensive even w/o the fee, so very few low-wage workers do it. Plus the money will be used to improve the transit systems they *do* use paulkrugman.substack.com/p/lessons-fr...
Lessons From New York’s Congestion Fight
“Car brain” is part of a broader syndrome, which we can’t ignore
paulkrugman.substack.com
January 6, 2025 at 2:33 PM
Is NYC's congestion fee a regressive tax? No. Driving into Manhattan is expensive even w/o the fee, so very few low-wage workers do it. Plus the money will be used to improve the transit systems they *do* use paulkrugman.substack.com/p/lessons-fr...
Reposted by Therealdrcaplan
it is so important to remember that IN THE MOMENT there was no one who thought jan. 6 was some innocent protest gone awry. everyone recognized it for what it was.
At the time, everyone, including Republicans, understood how bad it was. Then, brick by brick, they built a foundation of lies to justify doing what they know, deep down, to be wrong. Trump betrayed the country. And so do they.
January 6, 2025 at 4:23 PM
it is so important to remember that IN THE MOMENT there was no one who thought jan. 6 was some innocent protest gone awry. everyone recognized it for what it was.
Reposted by Therealdrcaplan
"Trump is a con artist and ordinary people are going to get hurt. That’s the all-encompassing story of the next four years. To the political journalists out there, I say get on it or get lost." —@froomkin.bsky.social
Worth reading. presswatchers.org/2024/12/trum...
Worth reading. presswatchers.org/2024/12/trum...
Trump coverage needs to change and here’s how | Press Watch
Trump is a con artist and ordinary people are going to get hurt. That’s the all-encompassing story of the next four years.
presswatchers.org
January 3, 2025 at 11:28 PM
"Trump is a con artist and ordinary people are going to get hurt. That’s the all-encompassing story of the next four years. To the political journalists out there, I say get on it or get lost." —@froomkin.bsky.social
Worth reading. presswatchers.org/2024/12/trum...
Worth reading. presswatchers.org/2024/12/trum...
Reposted by Therealdrcaplan
Last week, William Webster, the only person to have served as both the Director of the FBI and of the CIA, wrote a letter to all Senators urging them not to confirm Kash Patel or Tulsi Gabbard to the FBI and DNI, respectively. Here is his statement on Pres. Carter's passing:
December 31, 2024 at 2:17 AM
Last week, William Webster, the only person to have served as both the Director of the FBI and of the CIA, wrote a letter to all Senators urging them not to confirm Kash Patel or Tulsi Gabbard to the FBI and DNI, respectively. Here is his statement on Pres. Carter's passing:
Reposted by Therealdrcaplan
As an anti-immigrant America Firster, I want to be ruled by a South African immigrant who answers to a leader in Russia and thinks Americans are too dumb to use computers.
December 29, 2024 at 6:20 PM
As an anti-immigrant America Firster, I want to be ruled by a South African immigrant who answers to a leader in Russia and thinks Americans are too dumb to use computers.
Reposted by Therealdrcaplan
Nobody gives a flat fuck Friday what you think anymore, you irrelevant, gone-the-way-of-the-Santos, washed-up douchelord.
December 29, 2024 at 1:07 AM
Nobody gives a flat fuck Friday what you think anymore, you irrelevant, gone-the-way-of-the-Santos, washed-up douchelord.
Reposted by Therealdrcaplan
This is not just a rogue billionaire with historical ties to white supremacists and Putin supporting a far-right German party (that would also be more pro-Putin). It is the closest senior advisor to the next president of the United States doing so. It should be framed accordingly.
Elon Musk’s pro-AfD commentary in German went online on Saturday ahead of being published on Sunday in the flagship paper of the Axel Springer media group, which also owns Politico. The editor of the German paper’s opinion section resigned in protest
www.theguardian.com/world/2024/d...
www.theguardian.com/world/2024/d...
Elon Musk pens German newspaper opinion piece supporting far-right AfD party
Billionaire Trump adviser said his ‘significant investments’ in the country justified his wading into German politics
www.theguardian.com
December 28, 2024 at 4:56 PM
This is not just a rogue billionaire with historical ties to white supremacists and Putin supporting a far-right German party (that would also be more pro-Putin). It is the closest senior advisor to the next president of the United States doing so. It should be framed accordingly.
Wordle 1,284 2/6*
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December 24, 2024 at 3:53 PM
Wordle 1,284 2/6*
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Oh listen, we aren’t afraid. My response to Trumps threat:
adamkinzinger.substack.com/p/bring-it-o...
adamkinzinger.substack.com/p/bring-it-o...
Bring It On, Donald: The January 6 Committee Stands on Truth
Donald Trump’s latest threat to “jail” members of the January 6 Committee is nothing more than the desperate howl of a man who knows history will regard him with shame.
adamkinzinger.substack.com
December 8, 2024 at 6:06 PM
Oh listen, we aren’t afraid. My response to Trumps threat:
adamkinzinger.substack.com/p/bring-it-o...
adamkinzinger.substack.com/p/bring-it-o...
Yesterday must have been Monday 🤔🤔🤔 #redbeansandrice
December 10, 2024 at 5:25 PM
Yesterday must have been Monday 🤔🤔🤔 #redbeansandrice
Americans, look in your souls and look to Seoul!
December 4, 2024 at 1:56 PM
Americans, look in your souls and look to Seoul!
The view from a luncheon window.
December 2, 2024 at 7:13 PM
The view from a luncheon window.
Reposted by Therealdrcaplan
Dubai chocolate bars are kind of like KitKats, but stuffed with pistachio nuts and aromatic pistachio nougat. Foodies used to have to order the confections from Dubai — now they are everywhere.
A viral chocolate bar from Dubai is here to stay
Dubai chocolate bars are kind of like KitKats, but stuffed with pistachio nuts and aromatic pistachio nougat. Foodies used to have to order the confections from Dubai — now they are everywhere.
www.npr.org
December 1, 2024 at 6:49 PM
Dubai chocolate bars are kind of like KitKats, but stuffed with pistachio nuts and aromatic pistachio nougat. Foodies used to have to order the confections from Dubai — now they are everywhere.
The view from a luncheon window.
December 1, 2024 at 3:32 PM
The view from a luncheon window.