hopefully!

Close contacts have been given prophylactics and continue to test negative.
They haven't identified any animal or environmental source from all their sampling.
How they caught it remains a mystery.

its going to be H5NFun

In our highly connected world with billions of potential hosts, the risk of spreading unchecked cannot be entirely dismissed. Understanding these dynamics highlights the necessity for vigilant public health strategies and preparedness to protect global populations from catastrophic outbreaks.

While the emergence of a virus that is both extremely contagious and extremely lethal is a hypothetical scenario, it is grounded in evolutionary biology and observed phenomena in animal populations, historical cases, and simulations.

These events illustrate that under specific conditions, viruses can emerge with both high transmissibility and high lethality.

History has witnessed pathogens that are both highly contagious and highly lethal. Smallpox, had a fatality rate of around 30% and was capable of rapid spread.

With an abundance of susceptible individuals, a highly lethal virus does not face immediate constraints on transmission opportunities.

For example, #H5N1 has caused mass die-offs in bird populations, and in seal colonies.

#Polymarket puts the risk of #birdflu #pandemic at about 3% odds in the next 6 weeks.

If we assume a steady cumulative risk for the next 12 months that's likely in <3 years, aligning with the immunologist previous assessment.

I agree with them. I think polymarket is under estimating the odds.