Lach Tantau
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thefootycast.com
Lach Tantau
@thefootycast.com
Aussie in Kiwiland | Educator | Maths | Stats | Physics | Python | AFL | MFC | Cheese | Vino | Slopes | Whanau
#AFL round 3 predictions
Bombers vs.Power - Bombers by 2
Blues vs.Bulldogs - Blues by 10
Demons vs.SUNS - Demons by 6
Saints vs.Tigers - Saints by 29
Hawks vs.GIANTS - Hawks by 22
Crows vs.Kangaroos - Crows by 29
Eagles vs.Dockers - Dockeers by 20
March 24, 2025 at 8:10 AM
Got a few categorical variables working for my random Forrest AFL model, namely venue and state. Interesting to note that by far the variable of most importance is my Elo team rating, which counts for upwards of 80% of variable importance (if I’m interpreting it correctly)
March 17, 2025 at 6:57 AM
Ok initial Random Forrest is working, but not categorical features yet. predictions are a little wild right now, so going to stick to my Elo model until I'm happy. Keen to give this thing a run this season, but also thinking "if it ain't, broke don't fix it...."
March 14, 2025 at 6:04 PM
Reposted by Lach Tantau
The Universe doesn't care
December 28, 2024 at 11:17 PM
Reposted by Lach Tantau
Earthrise.

Taken #OTD 56 years ago.

In terms of seeing that we're all on this one single planet, it's one of the most important photos ever taken.
December 24, 2024 at 10:07 PM
Everyone always gets a shock when I tell them that it’s super easy to tell what side the petrol tank is on #IYKYK
December 19, 2024 at 1:15 AM
Good time to turn the cricket on!
December 18, 2024 at 3:15 AM
What do you think the single most important predictor is for an #AFL match?
December 18, 2024 at 2:12 AM
The power of powers…
It's nearly time to reveal my Quote Of The Year 🥳
In preparation, here's last year's one: a corker, from The Guardian 🤣
December 17, 2024 at 9:14 PM
Currently investigating a Random Forest #Python model for my 2025 #AFL predictions. Waddaya reckon?
December 17, 2024 at 8:08 PM
Going to start using bsky more for my #AFL #Python predictions for 2025.
December 17, 2024 at 8:07 PM