Interests: labor, environment, entrepreneurship & innovation.
www.tarikuaerda.com
Does this mean disasters are 'good'? NO! But *if* they happen, gov’t spending is critical for recovery ➡️ a timely policy insight as climate change intensifies disaster risk
9/n
But if an unexpected major flood forced them to rebuild *and* they had access to insurance & gov't loans, they would use it as an "opportunity to modernize"
But if an unexpected major flood forced them to rebuild *and* they had access to insurance & gov't loans, they would use it as an "opportunity to modernize"
In other papers, I also study labor market frictions like discrimination & info asymmetry. Check those out here:
tarikuaerda.com
11/11 🧵✅
In other papers, I also study labor market frictions like discrimination & info asymmetry. Check those out here:
tarikuaerda.com
11/11 🧵✅
10/n
10/n
Does this mean disasters are 'good'? NO! But *if* they happen, gov’t spending is critical for recovery ➡️ a timely policy insight as climate change intensifies disaster risk
9/n
Does this mean disasters are 'good'? NO! But *if* they happen, gov’t spending is critical for recovery ➡️ a timely policy insight as climate change intensifies disaster risk
9/n
tarikuaerda.com/resources/pa...
8/n
tarikuaerda.com/resources/pa...
8/n
7/n
7/n
▶️ surviving plants build back better
▶️ used machinery is reallocated from less to more productive firms (including from less productive exiters to viable entrants)
These factors ⬆️ aggregate productivity
6/n
▶️ surviving plants build back better
▶️ used machinery is reallocated from less to more productive firms (including from less productive exiters to viable entrants)
These factors ⬆️ aggregate productivity
6/n
Figure shows: after flooding, investment share in brand new capital ⬆️ among older plants but ⬇️ among younger ones
5/n
Figure shows: after flooding, investment share in brand new capital ⬆️ among older plants but ⬇️ among younger ones
5/n
1⃣ Plant exit rates rise after flooding, especially for the least productive plants
2⃣ Survivors sell/scrap their capital (see figure). Then they invest in replacement machines and see 4.5% higher labor productivity, suggesting they adopt better tech as they rebuild
4/n
1⃣ Plant exit rates rise after flooding, especially for the least productive plants
2⃣ Survivors sell/scrap their capital (see figure). Then they invest in replacement machines and see 4.5% higher labor productivity, suggesting they adopt better tech as they rebuild
4/n
3/n
3/n
Early models predicted: rigidity of physical capital would delay responses to rapid weather shocks, amplifying climate damages. I test this empirically
2/n
Early models predicted: rigidity of physical capital would delay responses to rapid weather shocks, amplifying climate damages. I test this empirically
2/n