Shiran Victoria Shen
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svshen.bsky.social
Shiran Victoria Shen
@svshen.bsky.social
environmental politics professor @ WashU Poli Sci | author @ Cambridge UP - The Political Regulation Wave, Compliance with Public Policy | http://svshen.com
Grateful to collaborators and colleagues for their support—and motivated to continue advancing research for stronger environmental performance worldwide.

5/5
September 25, 2025 at 6:16 PM
📑 Regularized Campaigns @psjeditor.bsky.social: Finds that repeated enforcement campaigns can deliver lasting compliance gains, even where regulatory capture is common.

doi.org/10.1111/psj....

4/5
<em>Policy Studies Journal</em> | PSO Public Policy Journal | Wiley Online Library
How can governments sustain compliance improvements when institutions falter and ad hoc enforcement fades? This study introduces “regularized campaigns” as an institutional innovation that combines t....
doi.org
September 25, 2025 at 6:16 PM
📑 Social Competition @pnas.org: Demonstrates how social competition between neighborhoods reduces informal waste burning, creating durable norm shifts that cut pollution.

doi.org/10.1073/pnas...

3/5
PNAS
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS), a peer reviewed journal of the National Academy of Sciences (NAS) - an authoritative source of high-impact, original research that broadly spans...
doi.org
September 25, 2025 at 6:16 PM
📘 The Political Regulation Wave @cambup-law.cambridge.org: Explores how political and bureaucratic incentives shape environmental outcomes—and how they can be harnessed to drive real improvements.

doi.org/10.1017/9781...

2/5
The Political Regulation Wave
Cambridge Core - Environmental Policy, Economics and Law - The Political Regulation Wave
doi.org
September 25, 2025 at 6:16 PM
📑 Social Competitions @pnas.org: Demonstrates how social competitions between neighborhoods reduce informal waste burning, creating durable norm shifts that cut pollution.

doi.org/10.1073/pnas...

3/5
PNAS
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS), a peer reviewed journal of the National Academy of Sciences (NAS) - an authoritative source of high-impact, original research that broadly spans...
doi.org
September 18, 2025 at 2:54 PM
📘 The Political Regulation Wave @cambup-law.cambridge.org: Shows how political and bureaucratic incentives shape environmental outcomes—and how they can be harnessed to drive real improvements.

doi.org/10.1017/9781...

2/5
The Political Regulation Wave
Cambridge Core - Environmental Policy, Economics and Law - The Political Regulation Wave
doi.org
September 18, 2025 at 2:54 PM
These findings show how extreme weather can spark bottom-up political engagement—even in authoritarian settings.

Incorporating citizen perspectives can strengthen adaptation policy—especially where top-down, technocratic approaches (e.g., costly but ineffective “sponge city” pilot) dominate.

10/10
September 2, 2025 at 9:34 PM
Concern over the flood and disaster preparedness spilled over beyond Henan—prompting petitions in unaffected provinces that explicitly referenced the 2021 Henan flood.

9/10
September 2, 2025 at 9:34 PM
The 2021 Henan flood stands out for the scale of destruction—and its political aftermath.

Other major, but less devastating, floods did not trigger comparable surges in adaptation-related petitions on the LLMB.

8/10
September 2, 2025 at 9:34 PM
Topic modeling shows that appeals focused on concrete, localized vulnerabilities—demands that weren’t framed as “climate” issues but were functionally aligned with adaptation.

7/10
September 2, 2025 at 9:34 PM
Using a dynamic DiD model, I find a sustained rise in adaptation-related requests in Henan.

These estimates are likely conservative, given:

1️⃣ Spillover effects in other provinces
2️⃣ Concurrent but less severe flooding elsewhere

6/10
September 2, 2025 at 9:34 PM
The flood triggered a sharp rise in climate adaptation petitions across Henan—a surge that persisted for months.

5/10
September 2, 2025 at 9:34 PM
The 2021 Henan flood was among the deadliest floods in recent 🇨🇳 history.

Official source found that anthropogenic climate change increased rainfall intensity by 7.5%: doi.org/10.1016/j.sc...

4/10
Redirecting
doi.org
September 2, 2025 at 9:34 PM
In authoritarian regimes, public sentiment carries less direct political weight.

But state-sanctioned petition platforms can still channel bottom-up pressure.

This study focuses on one such system: China’s Local Leaders’ Message Board (LLMB).

3/10
September 2, 2025 at 9:34 PM
Why study the Global South and authoritarian regimes?

1️⃣ They face acute climate risks but often lack capacity and resources.
2️⃣ The focus has largely been on politicians and bureaucrats—not citizens.
3️⃣ Studies on public response often rely on commercial social media and are mainly descriptive.

2/10
September 2, 2025 at 9:34 PM
We conduct an extensive set of robustness checks—see the full paper for details.

Although the empirical case is situated in an authoritarian context, the theory should be applicable to democratic settings as well.

8/
July 10, 2025 at 8:53 PM