Widespread consensus often marks turning points. Look for opportunities when everyone agrees on a particular outcome.
#InvestingWisdom #Hawkins #ContrarianThinking #ConsensusOpposite #TurningPoints
Widespread consensus often marks turning points. Look for opportunities when everyone agrees on a particular outcome.
#InvestingWisdom #Hawkins #ContrarianThinking #ConsensusOpposite #TurningPoints
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1097864/000122520825009675/0001225208-25-009675-index.htm
Track $ON insider activity: https://stockoscope.com/stock/on/stake
#ON #ONSemiconductorCorpo #Technology
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1097864/000122520825009675/0001225208-25-009675-index.htm
Track $ON insider activity: https://stockoscope.com/stock/on/stake
#ON #ONSemiconductorCorpo #Technology
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1766502/000176650225000051/0001766502-25-000051-index.htm
Track $CHWY insider activity: https://stockoscope.com/stock/chwy/stake
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1766502/000176650225000051/0001766502-25-000051-index.htm
Track $CHWY insider activity: https://stockoscope.com/stock/chwy/stake
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1206264/000190050425000003/0001900504-25-000003-index.htm
Track $SGI insider activity: https://stockoscope.com/stock/sgi/stake
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1206264/000190050425000003/0001900504-25-000003-index.htm
Track $SGI insider activity: https://stockoscope.com/stock/sgi/stake
Market participants repeatedly make the same mistakes due to recency bias and forgetting historical lessons.
#InvestingWisdom #Gross #BehavioralFinance #HistoricalPerspective #RecencyBias
Market participants repeatedly make the same mistakes due to recency bias and forgetting historical lessons.
#InvestingWisdom #Gross #BehavioralFinance #HistoricalPerspective #RecencyBias
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1045810/000119765225000009/0001197652-25-000009-index.htm
Track $NVDA insider activity: https://stockoscope.com/stock/nvda/stake
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1045810/000119765225000009/0001197652-25-000009-index.htm
Track $NVDA insider activity: https://stockoscope.com/stock/nvda/stake
Are the 15.8% growth assumptions realistic? Is 4.0% terminal growth too optimistic?
Share your thoughts below 👇
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Are the 15.8% growth assumptions realistic? Is 4.0% terminal growth too optimistic?
Share your thoughts below 👇
Found this helpful? Like & share for more DCF analyses.
Enterprise Value: $2.5T
Less: Net Debt
Equals: Equity Value $2.5T
Terminal Value: ~69% of total value
Present value of all future cash flows discounted at 8.6% WACC.
Enterprise Value: $2.5T
Less: Net Debt
Equals: Equity Value $2.5T
Terminal Value: ~69% of total value
Present value of all future cash flows discounted at 8.6% WACC.
Years 1-5: High-Growth Period (15.8% initial)
Years 6-10: Tapering Period
Year 11+: Terminal Growth (4.0%)
Source: model-derived estimates projections
Exponential tapering prevents unrealistic perpetual high growth assumptions.
Years 1-5: High-Growth Period (15.8% initial)
Years 6-10: Tapering Period
Year 11+: Terminal Growth (4.0%)
Source: model-derived estimates projections
Exponential tapering prevents unrealistic perpetual high growth assumptions.
Capital Structure:
- Equity: 99.9%
- Debt: 0.1%
Beta: 1.20
WACC reflects company-specific risk profile using Damodaran methodology and current market data.
Capital Structure:
- Equity: 99.9%
- Debt: 0.1%
Beta: 1.20
WACC reflects company-specific risk profile using Damodaran methodology and current market data.
Two-phase growth modeling:
Phase 1 Growth: 15.8% (5 years)
Tapering: 5 years to 4.0% terminal
Source: model-derived estimates
Using institutional-grade weighted regression analysis and exponential tapering.
Two-phase growth modeling:
Phase 1 Growth: 15.8% (5 years)
Tapering: 5 years to 4.0% terminal
Source: model-derived estimates
Using institutional-grade weighted regression analysis and exponential tapering.
Sharing results of DCF analysis on $GOOGL from our platform (Dec 5, 2025)...
Current: $317.62
Intrinsic Value: $198.79
The stock appears 37.4% overvalued
Full breakdown below 👇
#GOOGL #DCF #Valuation
Sharing results of DCF analysis on $GOOGL from our platform (Dec 5, 2025)...
Current: $317.62
Intrinsic Value: $198.79
The stock appears 37.4% overvalued
Full breakdown below 👇
#GOOGL #DCF #Valuation
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1035983/000120507325000005/0001205073-25-000005-index.htm
Track $FIX insider activity: https://stockoscope.com/stock/fix/stake
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1035983/000120507325000005/0001205073-25-000005-index.htm
Track $FIX insider activity: https://stockoscope.com/stock/fix/stake
Recent trends and performance don't predict future results. Avoid extrapolating short-term patterns into long-term expectations.
#InvestingWisdom #Dalio #RecencyBias #Forecasting #PatternRecognition
Recent trends and performance don't predict future results. Avoid extrapolating short-term patterns into long-term expectations.
#InvestingWisdom #Dalio #RecencyBias #Forecasting #PatternRecognition
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1088856/000119312525307204/0001193125-25-307204-index.htm
Track $CORT insider activity: https://stockoscope.com/stock/cort/stake
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1088856/000119312525307204/0001193125-25-307204-index.htm
Track $CORT insider activity: https://stockoscope.com/stock/cort/stake
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1108524/000110852425000236/0001108524-25-000236-index.htm
Track $CRM insider activity: https://stockoscope.com/stock/crm/stake
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1108524/000110852425000236/0001108524-25-000236-index.htm
Track $CRM insider activity: https://stockoscope.com/stock/crm/stake
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1668397/000162205825000021/0001622058-25-000021-index.htm
Track $MEDP insider activity: https://stockoscope.com/stock/medp/stake
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1668397/000162205825000021/0001622058-25-000021-index.htm
Track $MEDP insider activity: https://stockoscope.com/stock/medp/stake
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1488813/000122237125000005/0001222371-25-000005-index.htm
Track $CUBI insider activity: https://stockoscope.com/stock/cubi/stake
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1488813/000122237125000005/0001222371-25-000005-index.htm
Track $CUBI insider activity: https://stockoscope.com/stock/cubi/stake
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/97745/000009774525000175/0000097745-25-000175-index.htm
Track $TMO insider activity: https://stockoscope.com/stock/tmo/stake
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/97745/000009774525000175/0000097745-25-000175-index.htm
Track $TMO insider activity: https://stockoscope.com/stock/tmo/stake
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/100517/000010051725000196/0000100517-25-000196-index.htm
Track $UAL insider activity: https://stockoscope.com/stock/ual/stake
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/100517/000010051725000196/0000100517-25-000196-index.htm
Track $UAL insider activity: https://stockoscope.com/stock/ual/stake
Bad investing habits compound over time. Address poor decision-making patterns early before they become ingrained and costly.
#InvestingWisdom #Buffett #Habits #BehavioralFinance #Discipline
Bad investing habits compound over time. Address poor decision-making patterns early before they become ingrained and costly.
#InvestingWisdom #Buffett #Habits #BehavioralFinance #Discipline
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/789019/000078901925000077/0000789019-25-000077-index.htm
Track $MSFT insider activity: https://stockoscope.com/stock/msft/stake
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/789019/000078901925000077/0000789019-25-000077-index.htm
Track $MSFT insider activity: https://stockoscope.com/stock/msft/stake
Are the 17.3% growth assumptions realistic? Is 3.0% terminal growth too optimistic?
Share your thoughts below 👇
Found this helpful? Like & share for more DCF analyses.
Are the 17.3% growth assumptions realistic? Is 3.0% terminal growth too optimistic?
Share your thoughts below 👇
Found this helpful? Like & share for more DCF analyses.
Enterprise Value: $106.0B
Less: Net Debt
Equals: Equity Value $108.8B
Terminal Value: ~65% of total value
Present value of all future cash flows discounted at 8.5% WACC.
Enterprise Value: $106.0B
Less: Net Debt
Equals: Equity Value $108.8B
Terminal Value: ~65% of total value
Present value of all future cash flows discounted at 8.5% WACC.
Years 1-5: High-Growth Period (17.3% initial)
Years 6-10: Tapering Period
Year 11+: Terminal Growth (3.0%)
Source: model-derived estimates projections
Exponential tapering prevents unrealistic perpetual high growth assumptions.
Years 1-5: High-Growth Period (17.3% initial)
Years 6-10: Tapering Period
Year 11+: Terminal Growth (3.0%)
Source: model-derived estimates projections
Exponential tapering prevents unrealistic perpetual high growth assumptions.