@rainofclones.bsky.social
Nearly "snap" but my answers were out of 27.2. Thought I might have got one or 2 wrong - e.g. I think Covid deaths have had various definitions (time since positive test, on the death certificate - i.e. contributory) though national statistics have long attempted to separate "with" and "from".
September 15, 2025 at 9:00 PM
Nearly "snap" but my answers were out of 27.2. Thought I might have got one or 2 wrong - e.g. I think Covid deaths have had various definitions (time since positive test, on the death certificate - i.e. contributory) though national statistics have long attempted to separate "with" and "from".
Images with alt text. The "Ouch SCOTUS" particularly applies to final sentence of the footnote (found in alt text of 2nd image).
![Screenshot of footnote 9 on page 27 of document 238 in the Harvard v HHS Case 1:25-cv-11048-ADB saying: The Court is mindful of Justice Gorsuch’s comments in his opinion in APHA and fully agrees
that this Court is not free to “defy” Supreme Court decisions and is, in fact, “duty-bound to
respect ‘the hierarchy of the federal court system.’” APHA, 2025 WL 2415669, at *3 (Gorsuch,
J., concurring in part and dissenting in part) (citation omitted). Consistent with these obligations,
this Court (and likely all district courts) endeavors to follow the Supreme Court’s rulings, “no
matter how misguided [it] may think [them] to be.” Hutto v. Davis, 454 U.S. 370, 375 (1982)
(per curiam). That said, the Supreme Court’s recent emergency docket rulings regarding grant
terminations have not been models of clarity, and have left many issues unresolved. California
was a four-paragraph per curiam decision issued in the context of a stay application. It cited
Bowen as good law, stated that the Tucker Act gave the Court of Federal Claims jurisdiction
over contract claims against the federal government, and then stated that the district court likely (footnote and quote continues on next page - here as alt text of next image)](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:6q3ohtkujupdevhjure5kc5w/bafkreifb3te7sdae326prlrm6u5dqz2cvvdp35kyzgul5f6ij3vqoyzsvu@jpeg)
![Screenshot of footnote 9 of page 27 which is continuing on page 28 of document 238 in the Harvard v HHS Case 1:25-cv-11048-ADB saying:acked jurisdiction “to order the payment of money under the APA,” without purporting to explain how the case was distinguishable from Bowen or other related, longstanding precedents. California, 145 S. Ct. at 968. Then, in APHA, four justices thought grant-termination cases belong, in full, in the Court of Federal Claims, and four justices thought they belong, in full, in federal district court, and the decision was controlled by the vote of a single justice. 2025 WL 2415669, at *1–16. The outcome, which no party had requested, was, thus, inconsistent with the views of eight justices, id. at *16 (Jackson, J., concurring in part and dissenting in part), and, again, provided little explanation as to how Bowen, which the controlling concurrence again
cited as good law, id. at *2, applied or was distinguishable. This Court understands, of course, that the Supreme Court, like the district courts, is trying to resolve these issues quickly, often on
an emergency basis, and that the issues are complex and evolving. See Trump v. CASA, Inc., 145 S. Ct. 2540, 2567 (2025) (Kavanaugh, J., concurring) (“In justiciable cases, this Court, not the district courts or courts of appeals, will often still be the ultimate decisionmaker as to the interim legal status of major new federal statutes and executive actions.”). Given this, however, the Court respectfully submits that it is unhelpful and unnecessary to criticize district courts for
“defy[ing]” the Supreme Court when they are working to find the right answer in a rapidly evolving doctrinal landscape, where they must grapple with both existing precedent and interim guidance from the Supreme Court that appears to set that precedent aside without much explanation or consensus. End footnote. Final sentence of footnote starting "Given this, however, the Court respectfully" was highlighted in skeet.](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:6q3ohtkujupdevhjure5kc5w/bafkreihboyina7lwz5oisrh3mcsrm6a4kxssj5l76adrjg5a3axoab74pq@jpeg)
September 4, 2025 at 4:12 AM
Images with alt text. The "Ouch SCOTUS" particularly applies to final sentence of the footnote (found in alt text of 2nd image).
Realising you're writing from Australia; beyond contexts where WHO PHE (ending May 2023) is meaning to infer, the end date might have it mean very different things. WHO PHE period does encompass most AUS Covid deaths but a UK "During COVID" meaning 2020 + 2021 it would = "Almost no COVID" in AUS!
September 3, 2025 at 7:20 AM
Realising you're writing from Australia; beyond contexts where WHO PHE (ending May 2023) is meaning to infer, the end date might have it mean very different things. WHO PHE period does encompass most AUS Covid deaths but a UK "During COVID" meaning 2020 + 2021 it would = "Almost no COVID" in AUS!
It's a "2 things are true" situation:-
1) Pre-vaccine and Omicron the death rate was much worse
2) COVID can still be very prevalent after that period - on this: www.gov.uk/government/s... has prevalence estimates for England in winter 2023-2024 & scotland.shinyapps.io/phs-respirat... (pictured)
1) Pre-vaccine and Omicron the death rate was much worse
2) COVID can still be very prevalent after that period - on this: www.gov.uk/government/s... has prevalence estimates for England in winter 2023-2024 & scotland.shinyapps.io/phs-respirat... (pictured)
September 3, 2025 at 3:57 AM
It's a "2 things are true" situation:-
1) Pre-vaccine and Omicron the death rate was much worse
2) COVID can still be very prevalent after that period - on this: www.gov.uk/government/s... has prevalence estimates for England in winter 2023-2024 & scotland.shinyapps.io/phs-respirat... (pictured)
1) Pre-vaccine and Omicron the death rate was much worse
2) COVID can still be very prevalent after that period - on this: www.gov.uk/government/s... has prevalence estimates for England in winter 2023-2024 & scotland.shinyapps.io/phs-respirat... (pictured)
Unfortunately selective evil is a feature of Nazi regime - not a bug. In mind:
a) www.google.co.uk/books/editio... showing the Gestapo could appear to Germans as fair police force (releasing 80% of some German detainees and only convicting quarter of remaining 20%) &
b) Karl Boehm-Tettelbach
a) www.google.co.uk/books/editio... showing the Gestapo could appear to Germans as fair police force (releasing 80% of some German detainees and only convicting quarter of remaining 20%) &
b) Karl Boehm-Tettelbach
August 19, 2025 at 9:47 AM
Unfortunately selective evil is a feature of Nazi regime - not a bug. In mind:
a) www.google.co.uk/books/editio... showing the Gestapo could appear to Germans as fair police force (releasing 80% of some German detainees and only convicting quarter of remaining 20%) &
b) Karl Boehm-Tettelbach
a) www.google.co.uk/books/editio... showing the Gestapo could appear to Germans as fair police force (releasing 80% of some German detainees and only convicting quarter of remaining 20%) &
b) Karl Boehm-Tettelbach
COVID never killed all of us, even Ebola - of almost legendary severity - does not kill literally everyone. And polio www.cdc.gov/pinkbook/hcp... was largely asymptomatic in kids. Having "kills everyone" as a mental standard unfortunately I think leads to things like eu.usatoday.com/story/life/h...
![USA Today article linked in post - a screenshot quote of:
“We would absolutely not take the MMR,” the wife said in English, referring to the measles, mumps and rubella vaccine. The vaccine is highly effective at preventing measles; even one dose gives a person 93% protection, and the full two-dose series gives 97% protection. Officials have said the girl had no underlying health conditions.
[Following paragraph to end highlighted in screenshot]
“The measles wasn’t that bad,” said the wife, who added she also had measles during her daughter’s funeral. Her other four children got sick days later. She said “they got over it pretty quickly.”](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:6q3ohtkujupdevhjure5kc5w/bafkreibafedti55q4qvwbq74cupz3do7lipl64hjo3rtnrmbjsusgmmhkq@jpeg)
August 7, 2025 at 2:11 PM
COVID never killed all of us, even Ebola - of almost legendary severity - does not kill literally everyone. And polio www.cdc.gov/pinkbook/hcp... was largely asymptomatic in kids. Having "kills everyone" as a mental standard unfortunately I think leads to things like eu.usatoday.com/story/life/h...
I think the only wrong answer here is thinking there is a single answer (though reminded of the joke "If your parents didn't have sex the chances are you won't either"). My take is more: kids will keep being born - for good reasons or even evil ones - let's look for how to make it worth turning up.
July 26, 2025 at 12:07 AM
I think the only wrong answer here is thinking there is a single answer (though reminded of the joke "If your parents didn't have sex the chances are you won't either"). My take is more: kids will keep being born - for good reasons or even evil ones - let's look for how to make it worth turning up.
18yr olds today were ~11 during peak MeToo.
Data points to small % of folks likely always needing survivor stories - as their social circle will be too small to illuminate social dynamics of less visible & more implicit pressure via stories from friends.
This guy: older than 18 & had peak MeToo.
Data points to small % of folks likely always needing survivor stories - as their social circle will be too small to illuminate social dynamics of less visible & more implicit pressure via stories from friends.
This guy: older than 18 & had peak MeToo.
July 3, 2025 at 6:52 PM
18yr olds today were ~11 during peak MeToo.
Data points to small % of folks likely always needing survivor stories - as their social circle will be too small to illuminate social dynamics of less visible & more implicit pressure via stories from friends.
This guy: older than 18 & had peak MeToo.
Data points to small % of folks likely always needing survivor stories - as their social circle will be too small to illuminate social dynamics of less visible & more implicit pressure via stories from friends.
This guy: older than 18 & had peak MeToo.
So pro-masking & ventilation (we can make flu strains go extinct if they have no animal reservoir www.nature.com/articles/s41...) - but I think folks should see the delays in pre-pandemic context and things like Brexit transition period ending in Jan 2021 & likely effect on labour market e.g. VACS01
May 18, 2025 at 2:03 PM
So pro-masking & ventilation (we can make flu strains go extinct if they have no animal reservoir www.nature.com/articles/s41...) - but I think folks should see the delays in pre-pandemic context and things like Brexit transition period ending in Jan 2021 & likely effect on labour market e.g. VACS01
Plotted the underlying NHS data - see bsky.app/profile/1goo... - to get context (normal and log scale graphs below).
I'm a start/keep masking person but more for studies in this
bsky.app/profile/rain... .NHS data very useful - it shows that while overall admissions haven't exploded, delays have!
I'm a start/keep masking person but more for studies in this
bsky.app/profile/rain... .NHS data very useful - it shows that while overall admissions haven't exploded, delays have!
May 18, 2025 at 2:03 PM
Plotted the underlying NHS data - see bsky.app/profile/1goo... - to get context (normal and log scale graphs below).
I'm a start/keep masking person but more for studies in this
bsky.app/profile/rain... .NHS data very useful - it shows that while overall admissions haven't exploded, delays have!
I'm a start/keep masking person but more for studies in this
bsky.app/profile/rain... .NHS data very useful - it shows that while overall admissions haven't exploded, delays have!
@antoniabance.bsky.social are you personally familiar with the graph of VACS01 data from the ONS and its implications? Because that is what always comes to mind when politicians talk about working people without talking about unemployment.
(data from www.ons.gov.uk/employmentan... )
(data from www.ons.gov.uk/employmentan... )
April 13, 2025 at 1:33 PM
@antoniabance.bsky.social are you personally familiar with the graph of VACS01 data from the ONS and its implications? Because that is what always comes to mind when politicians talk about working people without talking about unemployment.
(data from www.ons.gov.uk/employmentan... )
(data from www.ons.gov.uk/employmentan... )
US Government Cheese seems suitably orange upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/co... - any American want to start a webcam on whether the tariffs of Orange Monday can outlast a big block of orange Government Cheese?
April 7, 2025 at 4:53 PM
US Government Cheese seems suitably orange upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/co... - any American want to start a webcam on whether the tariffs of Orange Monday can outlast a big block of orange Government Cheese?
Just found the wildest "2 things can be true" illustration - my 2 things: COVID situation is better than past AND we should fight COVID with better ventilation as standard, sickpay, & normalised masking in addition to vax; we'll win either way on something
Pic from:
www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopula...
Pic from:
www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopula...
April 1, 2025 at 1:37 PM
Just found the wildest "2 things can be true" illustration - my 2 things: COVID situation is better than past AND we should fight COVID with better ventilation as standard, sickpay, & normalised masking in addition to vax; we'll win either way on something
Pic from:
www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopula...
Pic from:
www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopula...
But ability of folks to say "That could be me" really dropped off. Yet the data only really support "No, that couldn't be me" for those under 30. The lower deaths in post vaccine era are partly vaccine and partly "folks have died - and kept dying even with the vaccine - just at much slower rates".
April 1, 2025 at 1:31 PM
But ability of folks to say "That could be me" really dropped off. Yet the data only really support "No, that couldn't be me" for those under 30. The lower deaths in post vaccine era are partly vaccine and partly "folks have died - and kept dying even with the vaccine - just at much slower rates".
If one did use the code but are new to browser console messages messages have a little dropdown arrow one needs to click to have a rightclick on the message output followed by "Copy Message" copy the full message to paste into Notepad - not a truncated version. See pic.
March 31, 2025 at 10:32 AM
If one did use the code but are new to browser console messages messages have a little dropdown arrow one needs to click to have a rightclick on the message output followed by "Copy Message" copy the full message to paste into Notepad - not a truncated version. See pic.
This version uses a function to look for the parent element that is an HTML paragraph developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/W... and outputs the links as one per paragraph. Code that can be copy pasted is in the alt text of image - see also start of thread here re: console bsky.app/profile/rain...
March 31, 2025 at 1:39 AM
This version uses a function to look for the parent element that is an HTML paragraph developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/W... and outputs the links as one per paragraph. Code that can be copy pasted is in the alt text of image - see also start of thread here re: console bsky.app/profile/rain...
Thinking about how to export links without the cruft:
if happy using a browser console (e.g. developer.chrome.com/docs/devtool... or firefox-source-docs.mozilla.org/devtools-user/ ) then the code before the capitalised COPY in alt text might do it.
Console will warn re: pasting so will explain code.
if happy using a browser console (e.g. developer.chrome.com/docs/devtool... or firefox-source-docs.mozilla.org/devtools-user/ ) then the code before the capitalised COPY in alt text might do it.
Console will warn re: pasting so will explain code.
March 31, 2025 at 1:07 AM
Thinking about how to export links without the cruft:
if happy using a browser console (e.g. developer.chrome.com/docs/devtool... or firefox-source-docs.mozilla.org/devtools-user/ ) then the code before the capitalised COPY in alt text might do it.
Console will warn re: pasting so will explain code.
if happy using a browser console (e.g. developer.chrome.com/docs/devtool... or firefox-source-docs.mozilla.org/devtools-user/ ) then the code before the capitalised COPY in alt text might do it.
Console will warn re: pasting so will explain code.
I think "blinkered to the masses" may be a more general point for that guy (it's Janan unless Janash is a nickname?) - in his lifetime the world's second most populous country becoming middle income industrial powerhouse with a life expectancy capable of exceeding the US is a turning point I think.
March 8, 2025 at 12:25 PM
I think "blinkered to the masses" may be a more general point for that guy (it's Janan unless Janash is a nickname?) - in his lifetime the world's second most populous country becoming middle income industrial powerhouse with a life expectancy capable of exceeding the US is a turning point I think.
Structural problem - if one looks at house price to wage ratio of Figure 3 in www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopula... and then at % in private rented sector ( www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopula... ) is that despite Thatcherite roots it happened under Blair - not fixed by Tories as so committed to the rich.
January 8, 2025 at 1:02 AM
Structural problem - if one looks at house price to wage ratio of Figure 3 in www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopula... and then at % in private rented sector ( www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopula... ) is that despite Thatcherite roots it happened under Blair - not fixed by Tories as so committed to the rich.
More on no. 2 - lack of [girl/boy]friend. Instead of a load of "get a partner" tips I'd first check for frequency of social contact (see Fig 3 of ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web...). If they are in bottom 20% I think their task looks different to if they are in "seeing friends every week" group.
January 6, 2025 at 11:52 PM
More on no. 2 - lack of [girl/boy]friend. Instead of a load of "get a partner" tips I'd first check for frequency of social contact (see Fig 3 of ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web...). If they are in bottom 20% I think their task looks different to if they are in "seeing friends every week" group.
So this was profile I blocked & reported. Apart from the over clean & bright AI look of header image - notice how the women are basically clones of each other yet one is about 20% smaller despite being right next to the other (so pretty sure it isn't a conformity in looks but a fictional image).
November 27, 2024 at 9:31 AM
So this was profile I blocked & reported. Apart from the over clean & bright AI look of header image - notice how the women are basically clones of each other yet one is about 20% smaller despite being right next to the other (so pretty sure it isn't a conformity in looks but a fictional image).
Adding race - overwhelmingly: white people did this - after Jan 6th, with all the lying about immigrants in 2024 campaign. Trump lost turnout compared to 2020 from Blacks and indeed all except white (3.8m) & Latino (1.6m). When paired with income that +3.8m matches well with +3.7m in $200k+ group
November 11, 2024 at 3:18 PM
Adding race - overwhelmingly: white people did this - after Jan 6th, with all the lying about immigrants in 2024 campaign. Trump lost turnout compared to 2020 from Blacks and indeed all except white (3.8m) & Latino (1.6m). When paired with income that +3.8m matches well with +3.7m in $200k+ group
2020 saw Catholics, religiously unaffiliated & less well off especially $50k-100k family income turnout compare to 2016 for Biden while across income & religion - except Jews & $200k family turn out more for Trump. 2024 saw all incomes except richer decline for both but Dems lost more esp. Catholics
November 11, 2024 at 2:35 PM
2020 saw Catholics, religiously unaffiliated & less well off especially $50k-100k family income turnout compare to 2016 for Biden while across income & religion - except Jews & $200k family turn out more for Trump. 2024 saw all incomes except richer decline for both but Dems lost more esp. Catholics
Blocked & repored as while the photo could be real the spammy use of hashtags - including Trump, Kamala, Gaza and forest, fashion, Hurricane on a picture of two cats makes this look like spam (along with other more obviously AI generated photos in their timeline). If AI slop it's better than FB.
November 10, 2024 at 11:04 AM
Blocked & repored as while the photo could be real the spammy use of hashtags - including Trump, Kamala, Gaza and forest, fashion, Hurricane on a picture of two cats makes this look like spam (along with other more obviously AI generated photos in their timeline). If AI slop it's better than FB.
Result in UK: the Windrush scandal en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Windrus... - deporting British citizens, and like Trump's promised wall, impacting those who would not pass as white. Did the Conservative party change tack after the scandal - no: in the recent election campaign they went for image below.
October 23, 2024 at 2:42 AM
Result in UK: the Windrush scandal en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Windrus... - deporting British citizens, and like Trump's promised wall, impacting those who would not pass as white. Did the Conservative party change tack after the scandal - no: in the recent election campaign they went for image below.