@privateman.bsky.social
Being silent can improve discussion.
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Choose 20 books that have stayed with you or influenced you. One book per day for 20 days, in no particular order. No explanations, no reviews, just covers. (9/20) 💙📚 #20daybookchallenge
December 7, 2024 at 8:21 AM
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Fascinating paper on where 6000 global elites went to college. Billionaires, CEOs, heads of state, central bankers, etc.

In a word: Harvard.

Fully 10% of global elites went to Harvard. Elite US schools are over-represented (23% IvyPlus), but nobody comes close to Harvard.

🧵
December 6, 2024 at 7:10 PM
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These three metros plus Manhattan are 4.4 percent of US employment but 10.4 percent of GDP. Why does this matter? Lots of talk about US pulling ahead of Europe technologically, eg Draghi report 2/ commission.europa.eu/topics/stren...
EU competitiveness: Looking ahead
Read Mario Draghi’s report on the future of European competitiveness. Its findings will contribute to the Commission’s work on a new plan for Europe’s sustainable prosperity and competitiveness.
commission.europa.eu
December 4, 2024 at 3:38 PM
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A thread about whether the global – and American – center-left needs a different kind of liberalism. These are thoughts triggered by Trump’s victory in the United States and the swing against mainstream incumbents in many other elections around the world.
December 2, 2024 at 5:02 PM
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New research by me: ‘French lessons for Britain’s economy’. I try to answer this question – why has France kept pace with US output per hour and Britain fallen behind? www.cer.eu/publications... 1/
December 2, 2024 at 8:44 AM
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Those numbers were for 2022. For 2023 H1, Bloomberg has storage at $155/MWh.
December 1, 2024 at 7:13 PM
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thinking of calling this "The Illusion Illusion"

(more examples below)
December 1, 2024 at 2:33 PM
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It goes without saying that this is stupid, and I wonder what set it off. Was there a segment on Fox News? But I thought it might be worth a thread explaining what Trump (and, to be fair, some other international leaders) don't get about international money 1/
December 1, 2024 at 12:32 PM
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New paper on emergence, by Achyuth Parola and me. We try to clarify what people might possibly mean when they invoke "emergence." We try to eliminate subjective terms about "novelty," and specify what it would take to have new ontologies at higher levels.

philarchive.org/rec/CARWEC-6
Sean M. Carroll & Achyuth Parola, What Emergence Can Possibly Mean - PhilArchive
We consider emergence from the perspective of dynamics: states of a system evolving with time. We focus on the role of a decomposition of wholes into parts, and attempt to characterize ...
philarchive.org
September 17, 2024 at 3:54 PM
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Excited to debut my new paper, "Housing Is the Financial Cycle: Evidence from 100 Years of Local Building Permits,” joint with @cortesgustavos.bsky.social. We document that building permits predict financial market volatility across a century of U.S. economic history.
papers.ssrn.com/abstract=485...
November 27, 2024 at 1:46 PM
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Oh this is interesting! Chimpanzees show signs of cumulative culture: they create new ideas on top of old ones. And how do old ideas meet new ones? By migration!

A fascinating paper by Gunasekaram et al, including @ceciliapad.bsky.social!
November 26, 2024 at 5:15 PM
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NEW:

Duncan Bell, "Wells and Empire: A Convenience and Not a God"

A chapter forthcoming in Duncan Bell & Sarah Cole (eds.), The Oxford Handbook of H. G. Wells

www.academia.edu/124154876/We...
Wells and Empire: A Convenience and Not a God
Throughout his career H. G. Wells wrote about the past, present and future of empires. Focusing on his historical and sociological writings, this chapter analyses how he thought about the pathologies ...
www.academia.edu
September 25, 2024 at 11:38 AM
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"A common idea seems to be that the weirder one’s way of thinking, the more likely one is to get things right, for the truth could not possibly be publicly available. (Hallucinogens no doubt derive some of their appeal from a similar misconception.)" on D. Parfit

philosophersmag.com/imperfect-pa...
Imperfect Parfit - The Philosophers' Magazine
Daniel Kodsi and John Maier critically discuss Derek Parfit, as portrayed in a recent biography by David Edmunds.
philosophersmag.com
November 22, 2024 at 2:33 PM
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This is a fantastic paper! Go read it. Gigerenzer (as you’d expect) doesn’t mince words or beats around the bush. An important context that should also be included is how this debate interacted with the sociobiology/EP debates and evolutionary concerns more broadly.
The rationality wars: a personal reflection | Behavioural Public Policy | Cambridge Core
The rationality wars: a personal reflection
www.cambridge.org
November 23, 2024 at 3:38 PM
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A key lesson of the replication crisis is that a certain type of study just generally seems not to work

I wrote a blog post trying to bring out the larger issues that arise from this result

xphi.net/2024/11/24/b...
November 24, 2024 at 2:32 PM
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"For decades, technologists have been making the point that the strongest and best form of communications security is provided by end-to-end encryption; it is well past time for law enforcement to embrace its widespread public use," writes Susan Landau.
End-to-End Encryption Is a Critical National Security Tool
Law enforcement and national security officials have fought end-to-end encryption for decades—but the technology is more needed than ever. 
www.lawfaremedia.org
November 21, 2024 at 7:17 PM
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Pete Hegseth has published three books in four years. Jonathan Chait spent the last week reading them—and concluded that Hegseth is almost certainly the most dangerous of Trump's cabinet picks. theatln.tc/s24Z8tF4
November 21, 2024 at 7:28 PM
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I've used the term "vegetative state" myself in the past, but the whole category needs retiring now, for reasons I explain in this piece for Stat News. www.statnews.com/2024/11/20/v...
The term ‘vegetative state’ has no place in modern medicine
Opinion: The term “vegetative state” writes off patients as “not even minimally conscious” when medicine is not in a position to make that diagnosis.
www.statnews.com
November 20, 2024 at 6:33 PM
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What in the world is emergence??

Great discussion by Sean Carroll of his paper clarifying what is meant be types of weak and strong emergence.

We should organize a salon discussion!
#complexsystems
November 19, 2024 at 3:37 PM
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Let me add some refs related to points made towards the end

An formalisation of the intentional stance: arxiv.org/abs/1805.12387

On the state of a transformer: arxiv.org/abs/2405.15943
Agents and Devices: A Relative Definition of Agency
According to Dennett, the same system may be described using a `physical' (mechanical) explanatory stance, or using an `intentional' (belief- and goal-based) explanatory stance. Humans tend to find th...
arxiv.org
November 17, 2024 at 7:44 AM
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Econ experts’ views on whether tariffs will increase employment: directionally positive but lots of uncertainty 👇
We recently polled our US Economic Experts Panel on Tariffs. The confidence-weighted answer to the 1st question is as follows: www.kentclarkcenter.org/surveys/tari...
November 13, 2024 at 3:47 PM