philipbstark.bsky.social
@philipbstark.bsky.social
Even compared to polio and smallpox? Please elaborate.
February 13, 2025 at 6:26 PM
5. Most importantly, an RLA **requires a trustworthy, organized record of the votes.** Many jurisdictions do not yet have such a record, for many reasons.
December 4, 2024 at 8:24 PM
4/x
The sample size depends on the true margin, on whether the outcome is correct, on the sampling design (stratified, cluster, individual ballots), and on the type of data from the voting system the RLA relies on (just the outcome, margin, cast-vote records, batch subtotals, etc.)
December 4, 2024 at 8:23 PM
3/x.
3. Risk-limiting audits do not necessarily use a smaller sample size. They are designed to collect as much data as necessary to show that the outcome is right, or to lead to a full hand count if the outcome isn't right.
December 4, 2024 at 8:21 PM
2/x
2. Risk-limiting audits do not "tell the probability that a full audit would correct a wrong outcome." Risk-limiting audits have a known minimum probability of leading to a full handcount if the reported outcome is wrong.
December 4, 2024 at 8:20 PM
1/x
This is seriously garbled.
1. No audit even attempts to ensure that every vote is accurately counted. The best audits, RLAs, only check whether the reported winner really won. ...
December 4, 2024 at 8:18 PM