Peter Hannam
@phannam.bsky.social
Soon to be at the Climate Change Authority. Former economics corro for Guardian Australia, ex-enviro editor for SMH/Age.
Some news from me: I’ll be leaving my wonderful colleagues at Guardian Australia to take up a role at the Climate Change Authority in the new year.
December 19, 2024 at 7:11 AM
Some news from me: I’ll be leaving my wonderful colleagues at Guardian Australia to take up a role at the Climate Change Authority in the new year.
Looks like Christmas will be hot in Melbourne...and the Boxing Day Test Match will get off to a scorcher: (Via BoM)
December 19, 2024 at 5:25 AM
Looks like Christmas will be hot in Melbourne...and the Boxing Day Test Match will get off to a scorcher: (Via BoM)
Mostly dry in southern Australia from now until Boxing Day...
(Via BoM)
(Via BoM)
December 19, 2024 at 12:05 AM
Mostly dry in southern Australia from now until Boxing Day...
(Via BoM)
(Via BoM)
Westpac/Melbourne Institute, though, finds some pullback in consumer sentiment to end 2024. Still, the rebound of late has been clear, with "current conditions" well up on last year, as is "time to buy" and expectations for family finances in a year's time.
December 17, 2024 at 1:01 AM
Westpac/Melbourne Institute, though, finds some pullback in consumer sentiment to end 2024. Still, the rebound of late has been clear, with "current conditions" well up on last year, as is "time to buy" and expectations for family finances in a year's time.
Manufacturers' expectations for profits, too, are bouncing back, with a net 19% of firms anticipating an increase
over the coming year. That's back in line with the long-run average in a data set going back 36 years.
over the coming year. That's back in line with the long-run average in a data set going back 36 years.
December 17, 2024 at 12:52 AM
Manufacturers' expectations for profits, too, are bouncing back, with a net 19% of firms anticipating an increase
over the coming year. That's back in line with the long-run average in a data set going back 36 years.
over the coming year. That's back in line with the long-run average in a data set going back 36 years.
The general business outlook for six months' time continues to rise too, with the first net-positive reading since the September quarter of 2022.
December 17, 2024 at 12:46 AM
The general business outlook for six months' time continues to rise too, with the first net-positive reading since the September quarter of 2022.
Year-end Westpac-ACCI's industry survey finds sentiment finely balanced among manufacturers who were optimistic or pessimistic to round out 2024. The 'Expected' outlook, though, picked up further and is now at its highest since September 2022.
December 17, 2024 at 12:43 AM
Year-end Westpac-ACCI's industry survey finds sentiment finely balanced among manufacturers who were optimistic or pessimistic to round out 2024. The 'Expected' outlook, though, picked up further and is now at its highest since September 2022.
Parts of western Melbourne topping 43.3C today, and tomorrow it'll be Sydney's turn to bake. Parts of western Sydney may reach 42C. (Via BoM)
December 16, 2024 at 5:40 AM
Parts of western Melbourne topping 43.3C today, and tomorrow it'll be Sydney's turn to bake. Parts of western Sydney may reach 42C. (Via BoM)
A host of inland regions are competing to be the hottest place in Australia - and probably the planet - today. Presently, this is the hottest station (according to BoM):
December 16, 2024 at 12:46 AM
A host of inland regions are competing to be the hottest place in Australia - and probably the planet - today. Presently, this is the hottest station (according to BoM):
Meanwhile, Melbourne's forecast heat for early next week has eased back slightly, but 39C-41C expected across parts of the Victorian capital next Monday. (Via BoM)
December 12, 2024 at 5:26 AM
Meanwhile, Melbourne's forecast heat for early next week has eased back slightly, but 39C-41C expected across parts of the Victorian capital next Monday. (Via BoM)
Forecast heat in Sydney's west is one of the reasons for the expected tight power conditions early next week in NSW. (Via BoM.)
December 12, 2024 at 5:25 AM
Forecast heat in Sydney's west is one of the reasons for the expected tight power conditions early next week in NSW. (Via BoM.)
Victoria, too, has a lack of reserve (level 2) forecast issued for Monday, which means that state probably won't have much spare power to export to NSW or elsewhere. Parts of Melbourne are predicted to hit 42C on that day, which explains why power supplies might be tight. (Via AEMO.)
December 11, 2024 at 11:04 PM
Victoria, too, has a lack of reserve (level 2) forecast issued for Monday, which means that state probably won't have much spare power to export to NSW or elsewhere. Parts of Melbourne are predicted to hit 42C on that day, which explains why power supplies might be tight. (Via AEMO.)
And with the prolonged heat will come some strains on the power grid. AEMO has a 'lack of reserve' level 3 alert for possible interrupted supply in NSW (unless the market responds, which it likely will) for periods on Monday afternoon and evening. (And LOR2s forecast for other periods.)
December 11, 2024 at 11:01 PM
And with the prolonged heat will come some strains on the power grid. AEMO has a 'lack of reserve' level 3 alert for possible interrupted supply in NSW (unless the market responds, which it likely will) for periods on Monday afternoon and evening. (And LOR2s forecast for other periods.)
The heatwave shift slightly to the north for Sunday-Tuesday, taking in Sydney and Brisbane. (Via BoM)
December 11, 2024 at 10:59 PM
The heatwave shift slightly to the north for Sunday-Tuesday, taking in Sydney and Brisbane. (Via BoM)
The coming heatwave for eastern Australia will cover about half the nation. This is the Saturday-Monday chart. (Via BoM)
December 11, 2024 at 10:57 PM
The coming heatwave for eastern Australia will cover about half the nation. This is the Saturday-Monday chart. (Via BoM)
RBA’s Andrew Hauser giving a bit of a history lesson…
December 11, 2024 at 8:20 AM
RBA’s Andrew Hauser giving a bit of a history lesson…
The February-April period, which bridges the end of summer and most of autumn, looks like having odds favouring relatively wet conditions for most of the country. Might be welcomed by fire agencies, farmers and energy authorities if it turns out that way. (Via BoM)
December 11, 2024 at 4:10 AM
The February-April period, which bridges the end of summer and most of autumn, looks like having odds favouring relatively wet conditions for most of the country. Might be welcomed by fire agencies, farmers and energy authorities if it turns out that way. (Via BoM)
The relatively dry conditions ease back a bit for the 22 Dec - 4 Jan period that takes in Christmas and the New Year - unless you're in Victoria or parts of northern NSW/ southern Queensland.
December 11, 2024 at 4:06 AM
The relatively dry conditions ease back a bit for the 22 Dec - 4 Jan period that takes in Christmas and the New Year - unless you're in Victoria or parts of northern NSW/ southern Queensland.
BoM would rather have the public pay heed to their longer term forecasts (rather than the now-defunct "climate drivers"). hey tell us that the 2nd half of December 15-28/12 looks like being relatively dry across most of the east (and wetter than usual over the north-west, via a tropical low).
December 11, 2024 at 4:04 AM
BoM would rather have the public pay heed to their longer term forecasts (rather than the now-defunct "climate drivers"). hey tell us that the 2nd half of December 15-28/12 looks like being relatively dry across most of the east (and wetter than usual over the north-west, via a tropical low).
Meanwhile, in the Indian Ocean, the negative phase of that basin's dipole is also ending. The phase typically lifts the odds for rainfall over much of Australia. (Via BoM)
December 11, 2024 at 3:50 AM
Meanwhile, in the Indian Ocean, the negative phase of that basin's dipole is also ending. The phase typically lifts the odds for rainfall over much of Australia. (Via BoM)
The recent 30-day trend is clearly away from La Nina-like conditions (Via Queensland Govt.)
December 11, 2024 at 3:49 AM
The recent 30-day trend is clearly away from La Nina-like conditions (Via Queensland Govt.)
From this week, the Bureau of Meteorology stopped publishing their "climate drivers" page, although values for the Nino 3.4 region used for monitoring are still available. Chances of a standard La Nina continue to fade...
December 11, 2024 at 3:47 AM
From this week, the Bureau of Meteorology stopped publishing their "climate drivers" page, although values for the Nino 3.4 region used for monitoring are still available. Chances of a standard La Nina continue to fade...
Most of eastern Australia will bake in a heatwave from the weekend. (Via BoM)
December 10, 2024 at 11:02 PM
Most of eastern Australia will bake in a heatwave from the weekend. (Via BoM)