Daniel Serwer
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peacefare.bsky.social
Daniel Serwer
@peacefare.bsky.social
Prof Johns Hopkins SAIS, former VP @USIP and MinCounselor @StateDepartment. Blogging multiple international conflicts @ www.peacefare.net
Trump’s fake peace in pieces

The racism, misogyny, economic illiteracy, and disdain for decency will catch up with him sooner or later. At least I hope so.
Trump’s fake peace in pieces
The racism, misogyny, economic illiteracy, and disdain for decency will catch up with him sooner or later. At least I hope so.
www.peacefare.net
December 5, 2025 at 1:06 AM
Stability is the problem in the Balkans

Once Bosnians, Kosovans, and Serbians take responsibility, progress toward EU and NATO membership will be easy, not hard.
Stability is the problem in the Balkans
Once Bosnians, Kosovans, and Serbians take responsibility, progress toward EU and NATO membership will be easy, not hard.
www.peacefare.net
December 3, 2025 at 2:42 PM
The Trump balloons are deflating

America First is becoming America diminished. Another three years of this will leave us easy prey for more serious competitors.
The Trump balloons are deflating
America First is becoming America diminished. Another three years of this will leave us easy prey for more serious competitors.
www.peacefare.net
December 1, 2025 at 11:20 PM
Saying “no” to Trump is vital

Zelensky needs to do everything he can with Ukraine's other friends in Europe and Asia. Saying "no" to Trump is vital to Ukraine's survival.
Saying “no” to Trump is vital
Zelensky needs to do everything he can with Ukraine's other friends in Europe and Asia. Saying "no" to Trump is vital to Ukraine's survival.
www.peacefare.net
November 23, 2025 at 4:57 PM
The worst of the MBS visit was Trump

Trump has ordered the murder of we know not whom on boats he claims are carrying drugs to the US. No wonder he tries to protect MBS.
The worst of the MBS visit was Trump
Trump has ordered the murder of we know not whom on boats he claims are carrying drugs to the US. No wonder he tries to protect MBS.
www.peacefare.net
November 21, 2025 at 12:01 AM
America should wish al-Sharaa well

America should wish Al-Sharaa well. Even if I would prefer it were an America still committed to diversity, equity, and inclusion.
America should wish al-Sharaa well
America should wish Al-Sharaa well. Even if I would prefer it were an America still committed to diversity, equity, and inclusion.
www.peacefare.net
November 11, 2025 at 9:07 PM
One of the big remaining problems in the Balkans is the lack of professional and independent media. Can I hope this offer, if accepted, will at least maintain the status quo if not also improve the situation?
From n1info.rs
Vesti iz Srbije, regiona i sveta | N1
N1 je informativna multiplatforma koja vam omogućava da pratite sve aktuelne vesti iz zemlje, regiona i sveta u momentu kada se dešavaju.
n1info.rs
November 10, 2025 at 3:21 PM
What difference does a by-election make?

There is a long way from Tuesday's victories to that happy scenario. Best not to try to hold your breath.
What difference does a by-election make?
There is a long way from Tuesday's victories to that happy scenario. Best not to try to hold your breath.
www.peacefare.net
November 6, 2025 at 2:33 PM
Be afraid of what Trump proposes for Bosnia

An enterprising journalist needs to discover what Trump got to convince him to do something so unlikely to produce good results.
Be afraid of what Trump proposes for Bosnia
An enterprising journalist needs to discover what Trump got to convince him to do something so unlikely to produce good results.
www.peacefare.net
November 2, 2025 at 3:50 PM
Trump finds more criminals to befriend

Lots more criminals are looking for Trump favors. If this decision betokens support to unbridled Serb nationalism, the region is in for a rough ride.
Trump finds more criminals to befriend
Lots more criminals are looking for Trump favors. If this decision betokens support to unbridled Serb nationalism, the region is in for a rough ride.
www.peacefare.net
October 29, 2025 at 11:35 PM
What's the quid pro quo?
The Pentagon said it received $130 million from a private donor to pay members of the military during the government shutdown.
Anonymous Donor Gives $130 Million to Pay Troops During Shutdown, Pentagon Says
Servicemembers were expected to miss their first full paychecks in mid-October.
on.wsj.com
October 24, 2025 at 4:56 PM
At last Trump hits Putin where it hurts

My time in Kyiv in May taught me that Ukrainians will not yield to Russian rule. Putin will not yield to an independent Ukraine.
At last Trump hits Putin where it hurts
My time in Kyiv in May taught me that Ukrainians will not yield to Russian rule. Putin will not yield to an independent Ukraine.
www.peacefare.net
October 24, 2025 at 4:07 PM
A tribunal that has gone astray

Hashim looked at the KLA commander with him, who scowled, and turned back to me and said, "I never really was a fighter. I was the political spokesman."
A tribunal that has gone astray
Hashim looked at the KLA commander with him, who scowled, and turned back to me and said, "I never really was a fighter. I was the political spokesman."
www.peacefare.net
October 18, 2025 at 7:01 PM
How best to reduce nuclear risks

Once the war is over, getting Ukraine into NATO would be a major contribution to nonproliferation.
How best to reduce nuclear risks
Once the war is over, getting Ukraine into NATO would be a major contribution to nonproliferation.
www.peacefare.net
October 16, 2025 at 2:32 PM
The long, difficult road ahead

The Israelis are the victors for now. With authority comes responsibility. They need to make the politics work at least as well as they did the military.
The long, difficult road ahead
The Israelis are the victors for now. With authority comes responsibility. They need to make the politics work at least as well as they did the military.
www.peacefare.net
October 10, 2025 at 9:05 PM
I’m only surprised that the 80% came.
Nearly 20 Percent Fewer International Students Traveled to the U.S. in August
The data shows the steepest decline in August international student arrivals since the pandemic.
www.nytimes.com
October 6, 2025 at 8:06 PM
How do we get out of here?

Only people can force the P5 leaders to undertake the way out of the catastrophic dead locks. Today’s perilous world crises do not allow for prolonging superpowers’ games through the UNSC.
How do we get out of here?
Only people can force the P5 leaders to undertake the way out of the catastrophic dead locks. Today’s perilous world crises do not allow for prolonging superpowers’ games through the UNSC.
www.peacefare.net
October 2, 2025 at 6:24 PM
Round peg won’t fit square hole

A lot of people could get killed in a peace operation of this difficulty. The US President should not be responsible for it.
Round peg won’t fit square hole
A lot of people could get killed in a peace operation of this difficulty. The US President should not be responsible for it.
www.peacefare.net
October 1, 2025 at 4:40 PM
We are going to unknown places

Trump's America is a place where freedom of speech is in doubt, right-wing violence is now the government's responsibility, and friends can't rely on support. What more could go wrong?
We are going to unknown places
Trump's America is a place where freedom of speech is in doubt, right-wing violence is now the government's responsibility, and friends can't rely on support. What more could go wrong?
www.peacefare.net
September 30, 2025 at 8:26 PM
Will Hamas surrender, fight, or evaporate?

The Trump Administration's 20-point peace plan for Gaza calls for the unconditional surrender, disarmament and political exclusion of Hamas. It leaves the Israeli Defense Force in place and in charge for the immediate future. It also envisions an eventual…
Will Hamas surrender, fight, or evaporate?
The Trump Administration's 20-point peace plan for Gaza calls for the unconditional surrender, disarmament and political exclusion of Hamas. It leaves the Israeli Defense Force in place and in charge for the immediate future. It also envisions an eventual Arab and Muslim peacekeeping force as well as Palestinian police, all under the control of an international committee chaired by President Trump.
www.peacefare.net
September 30, 2025 at 7:50 PM
What could go wrong?
tl;dr: Trump to Invade Venezuela
cnn.com CNN @cnn.com · Sep 6
President Donald Trump is weighing a multitude of options for carrying out military strikes against drug cartels operating in Venezuela, including potentially hitting targets inside the country as part of a broader strategy aimed at weakening leader Nicolas Maduro, according to multiple sources.
September 6, 2025 at 12:34 AM
Reposted by Daniel Serwer
tl;dr: Trump to Invade Venezuela
cnn.com CNN @cnn.com · Sep 6
President Donald Trump is weighing a multitude of options for carrying out military strikes against drug cartels operating in Venezuela, including potentially hitting targets inside the country as part of a broader strategy aimed at weakening leader Nicolas Maduro, according to multiple sources.
Trump weighs strikes targeting cartels inside Venezuela, part of wider pressure campaign on Maduro, sources say | CNN Politics
President Donald Trump is weighing a multitude of options for carrying out military strikes against drug cartels operating in Venezuela, including potentially hitting targets inside the country as par...
www.cnn.com
September 6, 2025 at 12:32 AM
Reposted by Daniel Serwer
Our measure of entrenchment suggests its problem is the rich world’s worst
Why America can’t shake off inflation
Our measure of entrenchment suggests its problem is the rich world’s worst
econ.st
August 17, 2025 at 4:31 PM
Reposted by Daniel Serwer
Constituent: You talked about abuses in the medicare and medicaid system and I found interesting that the president pardoned someone that defrauded the medicaid system for $1.3 billion
August 26, 2025 at 1:08 AM
Nats/Mets:
August 21, 2025 at 10:16 PM