Alistair Kirsch-Poole
banner
oddballgentleman.bsky.social
Alistair Kirsch-Poole
@oddballgentleman.bsky.social
Glorious Rugby Podcast - the Old Glory DC fan podcast
Model predictions and rankings WER round 11

Also with a bonus chart showing the accuracy in the last six weeks, which is when the model started having full data.
May 29, 2025 at 10:27 PM
Model predictions and rankings MLR round 16

This week only, a bonus graph showing the accuracy in the last six weeks. The model has been a lot more accurate in the latter half of the season!
May 29, 2025 at 10:23 PM
MLR playoff odds heading into round 16
May 26, 2025 at 4:19 PM
The Red, White and Blue Bowl? Old Glory has already won.

Not the pitch, of course, at least not yet. But off the pitch? It's hard to argue otherwise gloriousrugby.com/article/old-...
Old Glory has Already Won the Red, White, and Blue Bowl
gloriousrugby.com
May 23, 2025 at 10:18 PM
Reposted by Alistair Kirsch-Poole
Top Meter Eaters: #MLR2025 - RD14!

#UtahWarriors' Jordan Trainor nears 1,000m, but a pair of @seawolves.rugby players are circling, including Duncan Matthews with a Rd-High 152m!

@oldglorydc.bsky.social are still the lone Eastern team represented, with a pair in the Top 10!
#MLRStats #MLR #Rugby
May 21, 2025 at 8:56 PM
WER model predictions and rankings, round 10
May 20, 2025 at 9:48 PM
MLR playoff odds, round 15
May 20, 2025 at 9:47 PM
MLR model predictions and rankings, round 15
May 20, 2025 at 9:47 PM
MLR model predictions and rankings, round 14
May 14, 2025 at 10:17 PM
WER model predictions and rankings, round 9
May 14, 2025 at 10:16 PM
WER model is back!

Onyx is dominating, but there is some real competition in the middle of the pack.
May 9, 2025 at 2:49 PM
@yscrugby.com is there a reliable way to find the scores of WER matches? The website seems to take the best part of a week to get scores up, and no one seems to be posting the scores on social media.
April 13, 2025 at 10:04 PM
Model predictions and rankings for MLR round 9
April 9, 2025 at 9:19 PM
Model predictions and rankings for WER round 4
April 9, 2025 at 9:18 PM
Reposted by Alistair Kirsch-Poole
Top #MLR Scorers: RD7!

#OldGloryDC's Jason Robertson records a round-high 13pts to become the first player to reach 50pts in #MLR2025!

The top 3 are separated by just 3pts with two #UtahWarriors players lurking just behind, D'Angelo Leuila & Joel Hodgson!
#MLRStats #Rugby
April 1, 2025 at 6:28 PM
WER predictions and rankings for round 3

Blowouts lead to big swings in the model, and that's what happened this weekend. We finally have some real predictions, with Onyx the only home team given the edge.
April 1, 2025 at 5:47 PM
MLR predictions and rankings, round 8

Anthem has their best shot ever according to these numbers. Will they take this chance at a first win?
April 1, 2025 at 5:45 PM
Model predictions MLR round 7

FYI, I did rejigger the model a bit to phase out previous season data earlier. I've been meaning to do it for ages, and Utah was really throwing things off.
March 29, 2025 at 3:15 PM
Model predictions for WER round 2

Obviously with only one round played, these are barely predictions - the model is just going for home teams by 2 as a default. It'll get more interesting over the next few weeks, but wanted to get it start now!
March 29, 2025 at 3:08 PM
MLR power rankings
March 14, 2025 at 1:38 PM
Model predictions, MLR round 5
March 14, 2025 at 1:37 PM
Model predictions, round 3

Utah is almost certainly underrated here. Partly that's last year weighing them down, partly that's NOLA benefiting from beating up on Anthem in week 1
February 27, 2025 at 8:52 PM
Dusted off the old stats model just in time for MLR to kick off!
February 14, 2025 at 1:53 AM
Reposted by Alistair Kirsch-Poole
Took a break for the weekend and internationals, but the Fact Files are back, with 1 team posted every day this week!

Today is #OldGloryDC's turn! More info on OGDC is available at the link below:
narugbydb.com/team/old-glo...
#MLRStats #MLR2025 #UpTheFlags #ScrumTogether
February 10, 2025 at 6:55 PM
Here it is, the 2025 position previews for Old Glory DC, starting with the turbulent front row
gloriousrugby.com/article/fron...
Front Row - 2025 Position Previews
gloriousrugby.com
February 7, 2025 at 2:55 PM