Neil D
@nsdtrading.bsky.social
#Algo stock trader for 5 years, other trading for 28 years.
Other interests photography with my Fuji #X100S.
Barefoot runner of some 16 years.
Guitar strummer
Other interests photography with my Fuji #X100S.
Barefoot runner of some 16 years.
Guitar strummer
Reposted by Neil D
Thanksgiving Week: High Risk Volatility Expected, ZM Earnings + Defensive Names could be nice hedge for your portfolio. www.tmad.net/p/thanksgivi...
Thanksgiving Week: High Risk Volatility Expected, ZM Earnings + Defensive Names
$RL $ZM $VSCO $PG $SPX $NDX
www.tmad.net
November 24, 2025 at 1:30 AM
Thanksgiving Week: High Risk Volatility Expected, ZM Earnings + Defensive Names could be nice hedge for your portfolio. www.tmad.net/p/thanksgivi...
Reposted by Neil D
Why does the “smartest” trade often fail when everyone else is smart too?
Dive into the full essay here → atstradingsolutions.com/the-optimisa...
#SystemicRisk #AdaptiveMarkets #ReflexiveFinance #ComplexityThinking
Dive into the full essay here → atstradingsolutions.com/the-optimisa...
#SystemicRisk #AdaptiveMarkets #ReflexiveFinance #ComplexityThinking
The Optimisation Trap: Why Markets Break When Too Many People Try To Be Smart – Traders Outpost
Markets do not usually fail because participants behave irrationally.They fail because many participants behave intelligently in the same way.When intelligence converges, resilience disappears and …
atstradingsolutions.com
November 22, 2025 at 12:24 AM
Why does the “smartest” trade often fail when everyone else is smart too?
Dive into the full essay here → atstradingsolutions.com/the-optimisa...
#SystemicRisk #AdaptiveMarkets #ReflexiveFinance #ComplexityThinking
Dive into the full essay here → atstradingsolutions.com/the-optimisa...
#SystemicRisk #AdaptiveMarkets #ReflexiveFinance #ComplexityThinking
Lucky the Orange idiot wasnt in power during WW2 or else he would have handed Europe over to the Nazis.
November 22, 2025 at 7:33 AM
Lucky the Orange idiot wasnt in power during WW2 or else he would have handed Europe over to the Nazis.
Reposted by Neil D
Have we misunderstood intelligence?
Read the full piece here: atstradingsolutions.com/have-we-misu...
#ComplexAdaptiveSystems #FractalThinking #EmergentIntelligence #MarketStructure
Read the full piece here: atstradingsolutions.com/have-we-misu...
#ComplexAdaptiveSystems #FractalThinking #EmergentIntelligence #MarketStructure
Have We Misunderstood Intelligence? The Real Force Behind Self Organization – Traders Outpost
“Nature is not thinking. It is remembering.” Look carefully at the world and a strange pattern reveals itself.Everything seems to organise without a mind. Birds ripple across the sky in liquid wave…
atstradingsolutions.com
November 19, 2025 at 10:28 PM
Have we misunderstood intelligence?
Read the full piece here: atstradingsolutions.com/have-we-misu...
#ComplexAdaptiveSystems #FractalThinking #EmergentIntelligence #MarketStructure
Read the full piece here: atstradingsolutions.com/have-we-misu...
#ComplexAdaptiveSystems #FractalThinking #EmergentIntelligence #MarketStructure
Reposted by Neil D
Trump vs The BBC.
Love or loathe the BBC, recent events have put the UK's journalistic sovereignty in peril.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=iCMn...
Love or loathe the BBC, recent events have put the UK's journalistic sovereignty in peril.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=iCMn...
Trump vs The BBC
YouTube video by Jonathan Pie
www.youtube.com
November 18, 2025 at 4:02 PM
Trump vs The BBC.
Love or loathe the BBC, recent events have put the UK's journalistic sovereignty in peril.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=iCMn...
Love or loathe the BBC, recent events have put the UK's journalistic sovereignty in peril.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=iCMn...
Reposted by Neil D
While banks tap a record $50 billion from the emergency repo facility and the Fed flies blind on inflation data, these commodity signals could be your only warning before your portfolio bleeds deeper. open.substack.com/pub/tradingm...
Commodities + Selloff Roadmap for SPX and Highly Speculative Stocks: HIMS, TEM, QBTS
$GLD $USO $SLV $URA $HIMS $ONDS $TEM $IONQ $QBTS $TSLA $DOW
open.substack.com
November 13, 2025 at 11:05 PM
While banks tap a record $50 billion from the emergency repo facility and the Fed flies blind on inflation data, these commodity signals could be your only warning before your portfolio bleeds deeper. open.substack.com/pub/tradingm...
Reposted by Neil D
In this month’s Turtle Talk, we discuss our brand new book, The Aussie Turtles Trend Following Guide.
Amazon: amazon.com.au/Aussie-Turtl...
Listen to the podcast: aussieturtles.com/episode-008-...
#TrendFollowing #SystematicTrading #AussieTurtles #BookLaunch
Amazon: amazon.com.au/Aussie-Turtl...
Listen to the podcast: aussieturtles.com/episode-008-...
#TrendFollowing #SystematicTrading #AussieTurtles #BookLaunch
November 4, 2025 at 11:55 PM
In this month’s Turtle Talk, we discuss our brand new book, The Aussie Turtles Trend Following Guide.
Amazon: amazon.com.au/Aussie-Turtl...
Listen to the podcast: aussieturtles.com/episode-008-...
#TrendFollowing #SystematicTrading #AussieTurtles #BookLaunch
Amazon: amazon.com.au/Aussie-Turtl...
Listen to the podcast: aussieturtles.com/episode-008-...
#TrendFollowing #SystematicTrading #AussieTurtles #BookLaunch
The small end of the All Ords index has hit a bit of an air pocket today.
Down she goes.
Down she goes.
November 5, 2025 at 2:07 AM
The small end of the All Ords index has hit a bit of an air pocket today.
Down she goes.
Down she goes.
Between 1946 to 1960 Australia's population was increasing by 2.7% P.A.
Currently the population is increasing by approximately 1% P.A.
How come now we have a housing crisis and back then we didn't?
Were we better at building?
Or have we now turned a home into a speculative financial asset
Currently the population is increasing by approximately 1% P.A.
How come now we have a housing crisis and back then we didn't?
Were we better at building?
Or have we now turned a home into a speculative financial asset
November 1, 2025 at 9:11 PM
Between 1946 to 1960 Australia's population was increasing by 2.7% P.A.
Currently the population is increasing by approximately 1% P.A.
How come now we have a housing crisis and back then we didn't?
Were we better at building?
Or have we now turned a home into a speculative financial asset
Currently the population is increasing by approximately 1% P.A.
How come now we have a housing crisis and back then we didn't?
Were we better at building?
Or have we now turned a home into a speculative financial asset
Reposted by Neil D
Why Your Drawdowns and Opportunities Are Always Ahead of You
"The market doesn’t reward prediction. It rewards endurance."
Read the full article: atstradingsolutions.com/why-your-dra...
#FractalFinance #TrendFollowing #ComplexSystems #RiskManagement
"The market doesn’t reward prediction. It rewards endurance."
Read the full article: atstradingsolutions.com/why-your-dra...
#FractalFinance #TrendFollowing #ComplexSystems #RiskManagement
Why Your Drawdowns and Opportunities Are Always Ahead of You – Traders Outpost
In a fractal world, survival is not about predicting what happens next. It is about staying long enough to meet what inevitably will. “Every branch began as a risk. Every trunk is what survived.” T…
atstradingsolutions.com
November 1, 2025 at 3:00 AM
Why Your Drawdowns and Opportunities Are Always Ahead of You
"The market doesn’t reward prediction. It rewards endurance."
Read the full article: atstradingsolutions.com/why-your-dra...
#FractalFinance #TrendFollowing #ComplexSystems #RiskManagement
"The market doesn’t reward prediction. It rewards endurance."
Read the full article: atstradingsolutions.com/why-your-dra...
#FractalFinance #TrendFollowing #ComplexSystems #RiskManagement
Reposted by Neil D
Clearly, the secret’s out, even the turtles know this book moves faster than the market!
Grab your copy of The Aussie Turtles Trend Following Guide before they finish the next chapter!
www.aussieturtles.com/turtle-tracks/
Grab your copy of The Aussie Turtles Trend Following Guide before they finish the next chapter!
www.aussieturtles.com/turtle-tracks/
October 31, 2025 at 7:34 AM
Clearly, the secret’s out, even the turtles know this book moves faster than the market!
Grab your copy of The Aussie Turtles Trend Following Guide before they finish the next chapter!
www.aussieturtles.com/turtle-tracks/
Grab your copy of The Aussie Turtles Trend Following Guide before they finish the next chapter!
www.aussieturtles.com/turtle-tracks/
Im glad to see the back of October and another 12 months before we have to see it again.
My longer portfolio was down by -4.5% over the month.
The shakeout occurred in the small/mid cap miners as gold/silver had a breather.
I picked up a few iron ore miners in their place.
My longer portfolio was down by -4.5% over the month.
The shakeout occurred in the small/mid cap miners as gold/silver had a breather.
I picked up a few iron ore miners in their place.
October 31, 2025 at 10:28 AM
Im glad to see the back of October and another 12 months before we have to see it again.
My longer portfolio was down by -4.5% over the month.
The shakeout occurred in the small/mid cap miners as gold/silver had a breather.
I picked up a few iron ore miners in their place.
My longer portfolio was down by -4.5% over the month.
The shakeout occurred in the small/mid cap miners as gold/silver had a breather.
I picked up a few iron ore miners in their place.
The NASDAQ might be hitting all time highs but the rally is built on sandy unstable ground.
The Cap weighted index has gone up 34% in the last 6 months versus the Equal weighted move of 18.6%.
A small handful of bubble mega stocks driving it.
The emperors new clothes will be revealed to be hot air
The Cap weighted index has gone up 34% in the last 6 months versus the Equal weighted move of 18.6%.
A small handful of bubble mega stocks driving it.
The emperors new clothes will be revealed to be hot air
October 29, 2025 at 8:39 PM
The NASDAQ might be hitting all time highs but the rally is built on sandy unstable ground.
The Cap weighted index has gone up 34% in the last 6 months versus the Equal weighted move of 18.6%.
A small handful of bubble mega stocks driving it.
The emperors new clothes will be revealed to be hot air
The Cap weighted index has gone up 34% in the last 6 months versus the Equal weighted move of 18.6%.
A small handful of bubble mega stocks driving it.
The emperors new clothes will be revealed to be hot air
My longest held gold stock finally gets shaken out in the recent volatility.
#BC8.ax got sold, sad as I was hoping it would go higher. As soon as the news reports are all talking about the gold price you know a top is in.
#BC8.ax got sold, sad as I was hoping it would go higher. As soon as the news reports are all talking about the gold price you know a top is in.
October 29, 2025 at 6:40 AM
My longest held gold stock finally gets shaken out in the recent volatility.
#BC8.ax got sold, sad as I was hoping it would go higher. As soon as the news reports are all talking about the gold price you know a top is in.
#BC8.ax got sold, sad as I was hoping it would go higher. As soon as the news reports are all talking about the gold price you know a top is in.
Reposted by Neil D
Here’s the original clip of Ronald Reagan from April 25, 1987, where he delivered a complete and total rebuke against tariffs. Trump's calling Reagan’s words here “FAKE” and “fraudulent.” They’re 100% real. And the original clip is actually far worse for Trump, as much is left out of the ad:
October 24, 2025 at 4:15 AM
Good to hear that Trump has said Australia will get their Orcas on time.
He will be sending a pod to us in the next few years for $380billion.
He will be sending a pod to us in the next few years for $380billion.
October 21, 2025 at 9:25 PM
Good to hear that Trump has said Australia will get their Orcas on time.
He will be sending a pod to us in the next few years for $380billion.
He will be sending a pod to us in the next few years for $380billion.
Reposted by Neil D
What happens when the statistical “laws” we trust break down?
🔗 Read here: atstradingsolutions.com/the-mirage-of-the-average-why-the-laws-of-statistics-fail-in-fractal-markets/
#FractalFinance #Risk #Markets #ComplexSystems #TradingPhilosophy
🔗 Read here: atstradingsolutions.com/the-mirage-of-the-average-why-the-laws-of-statistics-fail-in-fractal-markets/
#FractalFinance #Risk #Markets #ComplexSystems #TradingPhilosophy
The Mirage of the Average: Why the Laws of Statistics Fail in Fractal Markets – Traders Outpost
A continuation of “The Death of the Bell Curve: Proof That Markets Are Fractal” “Beyond the mirage of the mean lies the geometry of uncertainty.” The Illusion of Certainty In our previous post, we …
atstradingsolutions.com
October 11, 2025 at 12:21 AM
What happens when the statistical “laws” we trust break down?
🔗 Read here: atstradingsolutions.com/the-mirage-of-the-average-why-the-laws-of-statistics-fail-in-fractal-markets/
#FractalFinance #Risk #Markets #ComplexSystems #TradingPhilosophy
🔗 Read here: atstradingsolutions.com/the-mirage-of-the-average-why-the-laws-of-statistics-fail-in-fractal-markets/
#FractalFinance #Risk #Markets #ComplexSystems #TradingPhilosophy
I think the market for #DRO.ax product is almost unlimited after reading thar NATO is completely unprepared for Russia's use of cheap drones to trick NATO into using weapons that cost 100 times more, to counter the threat.
They have a lot of catching up to do.
They have a lot of catching up to do.
October 8, 2025 at 8:27 AM
I think the market for #DRO.ax product is almost unlimited after reading thar NATO is completely unprepared for Russia's use of cheap drones to trick NATO into using weapons that cost 100 times more, to counter the threat.
They have a lot of catching up to do.
They have a lot of catching up to do.
September results for the portfolio was decent which was a surprise.
Maybe the pullback will be in October, we are getting frothy all over the world.
The newer momentum rotation portfolio, only started with a small pool back in July has stormed higher.
Maybe the pullback will be in October, we are getting frothy all over the world.
The newer momentum rotation portfolio, only started with a small pool back in July has stormed higher.
October 3, 2025 at 7:46 AM
September results for the portfolio was decent which was a surprise.
Maybe the pullback will be in October, we are getting frothy all over the world.
The newer momentum rotation portfolio, only started with a small pool back in July has stormed higher.
Maybe the pullback will be in October, we are getting frothy all over the world.
The newer momentum rotation portfolio, only started with a small pool back in July has stormed higher.
Why doesn't the Labor party release their economic modelling that shows house prices will increase by only 0.5% after they introduce the subsidy to LMI.
Their models are created by idiots, garbage in garbage out.
If house prices increase faster than before we, need an apology from these buffoons.
Their models are created by idiots, garbage in garbage out.
If house prices increase faster than before we, need an apology from these buffoons.
October 2, 2025 at 10:16 AM
Why doesn't the Labor party release their economic modelling that shows house prices will increase by only 0.5% after they introduce the subsidy to LMI.
Their models are created by idiots, garbage in garbage out.
If house prices increase faster than before we, need an apology from these buffoons.
Their models are created by idiots, garbage in garbage out.
If house prices increase faster than before we, need an apology from these buffoons.
Just waiting for Australia to go into a Big Short situation.
The government learns FA from history.
They have now introduced a scheme where you can buy a home with just a 5% deposit with the government carrying the default risk.
They truly are stupid without any ounce of economics brainpower.
The government learns FA from history.
They have now introduced a scheme where you can buy a home with just a 5% deposit with the government carrying the default risk.
They truly are stupid without any ounce of economics brainpower.
October 1, 2025 at 9:14 AM
Just waiting for Australia to go into a Big Short situation.
The government learns FA from history.
They have now introduced a scheme where you can buy a home with just a 5% deposit with the government carrying the default risk.
They truly are stupid without any ounce of economics brainpower.
The government learns FA from history.
They have now introduced a scheme where you can buy a home with just a 5% deposit with the government carrying the default risk.
They truly are stupid without any ounce of economics brainpower.
Why oh why wont Australian politicians face reality and cancel the appalling AUKUS submarine contract with the US.
Imagine if you had a deal with Germany as Hitler came to power, would that be cancelled?
AUKUS is one of the biggest con jobs foised on this country by the witless Liberal politicians
Imagine if you had a deal with Germany as Hitler came to power, would that be cancelled?
AUKUS is one of the biggest con jobs foised on this country by the witless Liberal politicians
September 24, 2025 at 4:11 AM
Why oh why wont Australian politicians face reality and cancel the appalling AUKUS submarine contract with the US.
Imagine if you had a deal with Germany as Hitler came to power, would that be cancelled?
AUKUS is one of the biggest con jobs foised on this country by the witless Liberal politicians
Imagine if you had a deal with Germany as Hitler came to power, would that be cancelled?
AUKUS is one of the biggest con jobs foised on this country by the witless Liberal politicians