@newtonmarunner.bsky.social
Life Insurance Actuary, 8x NYC Marathon Finisher, Pasta Aficionado
It’s late.
I really don’t have the time for this “well, ackshually …” cuteness.
I really don’t have the time for this “well, ackshually …” cuteness.
November 12, 2025 at 4:23 AM
It’s late.
I really don’t have the time for this “well, ackshually …” cuteness.
I really don’t have the time for this “well, ackshually …” cuteness.
You do that with running shoes, and you’ll blow more than your savings margins on injuries.
November 12, 2025 at 4:11 AM
You do that with running shoes, and you’ll blow more than your savings margins on injuries.
I’m even old enough to remember when the GOP voted against increasing the ACA subsidies in the ARP Plan.
So no, based on GOP policy positions this past decade, I don’t find what you wrote to be credible.
So no, based on GOP policy positions this past decade, I don’t find what you wrote to be credible.
November 12, 2025 at 3:59 AM
I’m even old enough to remember when the GOP voted against increasing the ACA subsidies in the ARP Plan.
So no, based on GOP policy positions this past decade, I don’t find what you wrote to be credible.
So no, based on GOP policy positions this past decade, I don’t find what you wrote to be credible.
I’m old enough to remember when the House GOP voted 70+ times to repeal the ACA in full.
I’m old enough to remember when Donald Trump (and Mitch McConnell) tried to repeal the ACA in full.
I’m old enough to remember when Donald Trump (and Mitch McConnell) tried to repeal the ACA in full.
November 12, 2025 at 3:59 AM
I’m old enough to remember when the House GOP voted 70+ times to repeal the ACA in full.
I’m old enough to remember when Donald Trump (and Mitch McConnell) tried to repeal the ACA in full.
I’m old enough to remember when Donald Trump (and Mitch McConnell) tried to repeal the ACA in full.
Reality is the public voted to take away the ACA subsidy increases in the 2021 ARP when they elected a GOP House, Senate, and WH on 5 Nov 2024.
Elections have consequences.
Elections have consequences.
November 12, 2025 at 2:34 AM
Reality is the public voted to take away the ACA subsidy increases in the 2021 ARP when they elected a GOP House, Senate, and WH on 5 Nov 2024.
Elections have consequences.
Elections have consequences.
Reposted
I’m a furloughed Fed employee. The biggest betrayal of all was by the voters last November, aided and abetted by the people who have done nothing but attack Democrats, drowning out the party platform and agenda over and over in a swarm of doomerism.
If you can’t be mad at the GOP, be mad at them.
If you can’t be mad at the GOP, be mad at them.
November 11, 2025 at 11:04 PM
I’m a furloughed Fed employee. The biggest betrayal of all was by the voters last November, aided and abetted by the people who have done nothing but attack Democrats, drowning out the party platform and agenda over and over in a swarm of doomerism.
If you can’t be mad at the GOP, be mad at them.
If you can’t be mad at the GOP, be mad at them.
Seth Moulton is our go-to person at TransitMatters.
I vowed never to vote for him statewide in Mass. after he challenged Nancy Pelosi for Speaker.
His political instincts — or lack thereof — have never disappointed me since then.
I vowed never to vote for him statewide in Mass. after he challenged Nancy Pelosi for Speaker.
His political instincts — or lack thereof — have never disappointed me since then.
November 12, 2025 at 2:21 AM
Seth Moulton is our go-to person at TransitMatters.
I vowed never to vote for him statewide in Mass. after he challenged Nancy Pelosi for Speaker.
His political instincts — or lack thereof — have never disappointed me since then.
I vowed never to vote for him statewide in Mass. after he challenged Nancy Pelosi for Speaker.
His political instincts — or lack thereof — have never disappointed me since then.
Gosh feeding four boys sounds hard!
We had enough trouble with two boys and one girl (where one boy exercised vigorously and ate for two)!
Go mom!
We had enough trouble with two boys and one girl (where one boy exercised vigorously and ate for two)!
Go mom!
November 12, 2025 at 2:16 AM
Gosh feeding four boys sounds hard!
We had enough trouble with two boys and one girl (where one boy exercised vigorously and ate for two)!
Go mom!
We had enough trouble with two boys and one girl (where one boy exercised vigorously and ate for two)!
Go mom!
I was going to say that Gavin Newsom under proportional allocation would lose VA/NC/AL by 30+ delegates each, GA by 50+ delegates, etc., and nobody has ever made up under proportional allocation that kind of net delegate loss.
You were more concise.
You were more concise.
November 12, 2025 at 2:08 AM
I was going to say that Gavin Newsom under proportional allocation would lose VA/NC/AL by 30+ delegates each, GA by 50+ delegates, etc., and nobody has ever made up under proportional allocation that kind of net delegate loss.
You were more concise.
You were more concise.
Shapiro is likely under proportional allocation to lose VA/NC/AL by 30+ delegates each, GA by 50+ delegates, etc. Nobody since Dems adopted proportional allocation in 1992 has ever overcome those kinds of delegate deficits.
November 11, 2025 at 6:47 PM
Shapiro is likely under proportional allocation to lose VA/NC/AL by 30+ delegates each, GA by 50+ delegates, etc. Nobody since Dems adopted proportional allocation in 1992 has ever overcome those kinds of delegate deficits.
You don’t have to worry. Like most other potential Democratic Presidential aspirants, Josh Shapiro doesn’t have a route to the majority of pledged delegates.
November 11, 2025 at 6:47 PM
You don’t have to worry. Like most other potential Democratic Presidential aspirants, Josh Shapiro doesn’t have a route to the majority of pledged delegates.
Exactly.
There’s some truth to Frank Sinatra’s quote about NYC.
If someone is successful in NYC, what are they going to do? Move to NH?
There’s some truth to Frank Sinatra’s quote about NYC.
If someone is successful in NYC, what are they going to do? Move to NH?
November 11, 2025 at 6:32 PM
Exactly.
There’s some truth to Frank Sinatra’s quote about NYC.
If someone is successful in NYC, what are they going to do? Move to NH?
There’s some truth to Frank Sinatra’s quote about NYC.
If someone is successful in NYC, what are they going to do? Move to NH?
No.
Telling federal civil servants that they are not every year expected as part of their job to risk going *weeks* without pay while their rent/mortgage is still present is what will prevent government shutdowns.
Telling federal civil servants that they are not every year expected as part of their job to risk going *weeks* without pay while their rent/mortgage is still present is what will prevent government shutdowns.
November 11, 2025 at 4:17 PM
No.
Telling federal civil servants that they are not every year expected as part of their job to risk going *weeks* without pay while their rent/mortgage is still present is what will prevent government shutdowns.
Telling federal civil servants that they are not every year expected as part of their job to risk going *weeks* without pay while their rent/mortgage is still present is what will prevent government shutdowns.
The way I put it is that the American Rescue Plan ACA subsidy increases are repealed, and we’re back to 2014 ACA subsidy levels, but I feel like even that isn’t numerically accurate.
November 11, 2025 at 3:56 PM
The way I put it is that the American Rescue Plan ACA subsidy increases are repealed, and we’re back to 2014 ACA subsidy levels, but I feel like even that isn’t numerically accurate.
And by giving the GOP the WH, Senate, and House they *still* voted on 5 November 2024 to repeal the Biden-Harris ACA subsidy increases. …
November 11, 2025 at 3:51 PM
And by giving the GOP the WH, Senate, and House they *still* voted on 5 November 2024 to repeal the Biden-Harris ACA subsidy increases. …
Okay, I can buy into ”roughly equal.” Given Spanberger’s margin of victory being the first double digit Dem VA-Gov victory in 40 years (and that by 11), I don’t buy that Sherrill is a ”superior” candidate to Spanberger.
November 11, 2025 at 1:54 PM
Okay, I can buy into ”roughly equal.” Given Spanberger’s margin of victory being the first double digit Dem VA-Gov victory in 40 years (and that by 11), I don’t buy that Sherrill is a ”superior” candidate to Spanberger.
Not *that* far left. Arlington and Alexandria still aren’t Hoboken and Jersey City. Fairfax and Loudon County still aren’t Montclair, etc.
And Spanberger herself in 2018 won Eric Cantor/Dave Brat’s old seat (which hadn gone D in 100+ yrs) in part by vowing not to vote for Nancy Pelosi as Speaker.
And Spanberger herself in 2018 won Eric Cantor/Dave Brat’s old seat (which hadn gone D in 100+ yrs) in part by vowing not to vote for Nancy Pelosi as Speaker.
November 11, 2025 at 1:50 PM
Not *that* far left. Arlington and Alexandria still aren’t Hoboken and Jersey City. Fairfax and Loudon County still aren’t Montclair, etc.
And Spanberger herself in 2018 won Eric Cantor/Dave Brat’s old seat (which hadn gone D in 100+ yrs) in part by vowing not to vote for Nancy Pelosi as Speaker.
And Spanberger herself in 2018 won Eric Cantor/Dave Brat’s old seat (which hadn gone D in 100+ yrs) in part by vowing not to vote for Nancy Pelosi as Speaker.
I just balk at the idea that the quality of a candidate’s opponent is the *entirety* of getting elected.
The voting electorate is a factor, too.
Otherwise, Doug Jones should have had no problems whatsoever defeating Roy Moore a few years ago.
The voting electorate is a factor, too.
Otherwise, Doug Jones should have had no problems whatsoever defeating Roy Moore a few years ago.
November 11, 2025 at 1:30 PM
I just balk at the idea that the quality of a candidate’s opponent is the *entirety* of getting elected.
The voting electorate is a factor, too.
Otherwise, Doug Jones should have had no problems whatsoever defeating Roy Moore a few years ago.
The voting electorate is a factor, too.
Otherwise, Doug Jones should have had no problems whatsoever defeating Roy Moore a few years ago.
Heck, it wasn’t *that* long ago that we almost sent *Ollie North* to the Senate.
November 11, 2025 at 1:19 PM
Heck, it wasn’t *that* long ago that we almost sent *Ollie North* to the Senate.
Virginia sends Democrats like Chuck Robb, Tim Kaine, Ralph Northam, Abigail Spanberger, etc. to the Senate and Governor’s mansion and Republicans like John Warner, George Allen, Jim Gilmore, Bob McDonnell, etc. to the same offices.
November 11, 2025 at 1:19 PM
Virginia sends Democrats like Chuck Robb, Tim Kaine, Ralph Northam, Abigail Spanberger, etc. to the Senate and Governor’s mansion and Republicans like John Warner, George Allen, Jim Gilmore, Bob McDonnell, etc. to the same offices.
Based on Virginia’s voting history.
Virginia has never sent a liberal like Frank Lautenberg, Jon Corzine, Phil Murphy, or even a Bill Bradley to the Senate or Governor’s Mansion.
Virginia has never sent a liberal like Frank Lautenberg, Jon Corzine, Phil Murphy, or even a Bill Bradley to the Senate or Governor’s Mansion.
November 11, 2025 at 1:19 PM
Based on Virginia’s voting history.
Virginia has never sent a liberal like Frank Lautenberg, Jon Corzine, Phil Murphy, or even a Bill Bradley to the Senate or Governor’s Mansion.
Virginia has never sent a liberal like Frank Lautenberg, Jon Corzine, Phil Murphy, or even a Bill Bradley to the Senate or Governor’s Mansion.