Neale Mahoney
@nealemahoney.bsky.social
Prof of Economics at Stanford (https://nmahoney.people.stanford.edu/). Director of SIEPR (https://siepr.stanford.edu/). Former White House National Economic Council. Fan of Arsenal, history, and all types of music. https://nealemahoney.substack.com
If you read one thing this Sunday, read @jaredb-econ.bsky.social's post on whether the affordability crisis is a crisis (link below), featuring the Affordability Serenity Prayer:
econjared.substack.com/p/is-the-aff...
econjared.substack.com/p/is-the-aff...
December 7, 2025 at 5:02 PM
If you read one thing this Sunday, read @jaredb-econ.bsky.social's post on whether the affordability crisis is a crisis (link below), featuring the Affordability Serenity Prayer:
econjared.substack.com/p/is-the-aff...
econjared.substack.com/p/is-the-aff...
I'm hiring predocs to work with me on econ policy research projects starting in Summer 2026. Topics include healthcare, consumer finance, energy markets, housing, and childcare.
You'll be part of an awesome community of @siepr.bsky.social predocs.
Details here:
siepr.stanford.edu/programs/sie...
You'll be part of an awesome community of @siepr.bsky.social predocs.
Details here:
siepr.stanford.edu/programs/sie...
September 9, 2025 at 3:04 AM
I'm hiring predocs to work with me on econ policy research projects starting in Summer 2026. Topics include healthcare, consumer finance, energy markets, housing, and childcare.
You'll be part of an awesome community of @siepr.bsky.social predocs.
Details here:
siepr.stanford.edu/programs/sie...
You'll be part of an awesome community of @siepr.bsky.social predocs.
Details here:
siepr.stanford.edu/programs/sie...
Updated our numbers with Caleb Brobst on how healthcare jobs are propping up the labor market
- Healthcare jobs were 133% of non-farm payroll growth over last 3 months. Non-health care was negative.
- Healthcare jobs were 49% of NFP over last 6 months
Link to original piece: lnkd.in/eaRfxMDB
- Healthcare jobs were 133% of non-farm payroll growth over last 3 months. Non-health care was negative.
- Healthcare jobs were 49% of NFP over last 6 months
Link to original piece: lnkd.in/eaRfxMDB
September 5, 2025 at 5:56 PM
Updated our numbers with Caleb Brobst on how healthcare jobs are propping up the labor market
- Healthcare jobs were 133% of non-farm payroll growth over last 3 months. Non-health care was negative.
- Healthcare jobs were 49% of NFP over last 6 months
Link to original piece: lnkd.in/eaRfxMDB
- Healthcare jobs were 133% of non-farm payroll growth over last 3 months. Non-health care was negative.
- Healthcare jobs were 49% of NFP over last 6 months
Link to original piece: lnkd.in/eaRfxMDB
5. The decision comes exactly one week after Trump signed the OBBBA.
The CBO estimates that bill will strip 16 million people of their health insurance.
By allowing reporting of medical debt, the decision removes a financial safety net when it's more important than ever
The CBO estimates that bill will strip 16 million people of their health insurance.
By allowing reporting of medical debt, the decision removes a financial safety net when it's more important than ever
July 16, 2025 at 3:03 PM
5. The decision comes exactly one week after Trump signed the OBBBA.
The CBO estimates that bill will strip 16 million people of their health insurance.
By allowing reporting of medical debt, the decision removes a financial safety net when it's more important than ever
The CBO estimates that bill will strip 16 million people of their health insurance.
By allowing reporting of medical debt, the decision removes a financial safety net when it's more important than ever
2. Removing medical debt from credit reports improves credit access.
Our study (w/ @raykluender.bsky.social @francisawong.bsky.social & @wesyin.bsky.social) shows modest but meaningful improvements in credit access when medical debt is experimentally removed
Our study (w/ @raykluender.bsky.social @francisawong.bsky.social & @wesyin.bsky.social) shows modest but meaningful improvements in credit access when medical debt is experimentally removed
July 16, 2025 at 3:03 PM
2. Removing medical debt from credit reports improves credit access.
Our study (w/ @raykluender.bsky.social @francisawong.bsky.social & @wesyin.bsky.social) shows modest but meaningful improvements in credit access when medical debt is experimentally removed
Our study (w/ @raykluender.bsky.social @francisawong.bsky.social & @wesyin.bsky.social) shows modest but meaningful improvements in credit access when medical debt is experimentally removed
1. More than any other debt, medical debt is the result of bad luck, not bad financial management.
Dobkin et al. (2018) show large increases in medical debt following hospital admissions
Dobkin et al. (2018) show large increases in medical debt following hospital admissions
July 16, 2025 at 3:03 PM
1. More than any other debt, medical debt is the result of bad luck, not bad financial management.
Dobkin et al. (2018) show large increases in medical debt following hospital admissions
Dobkin et al. (2018) show large increases in medical debt following hospital admissions
On Friday a judge struck down a CFPB rule that would've wiped medical debt from credit reports
The decision will reduce credit access while giving debt collectors more leverage
It comes a week after Trump signed a law that will kick 16 million off health insurance
Compounding cruelty with cruelty
The decision will reduce credit access while giving debt collectors more leverage
It comes a week after Trump signed a law that will kick 16 million off health insurance
Compounding cruelty with cruelty
July 16, 2025 at 3:03 PM
On Friday a judge struck down a CFPB rule that would've wiped medical debt from credit reports
The decision will reduce credit access while giving debt collectors more leverage
It comes a week after Trump signed a law that will kick 16 million off health insurance
Compounding cruelty with cruelty
The decision will reduce credit access while giving debt collectors more leverage
It comes a week after Trump signed a law that will kick 16 million off health insurance
Compounding cruelty with cruelty
This is a terrible outcome.
In my research, I've shown the subscription cancellation problem is big
The click-to-cancel rule was poised to make meaningful progress on this problem
Now we're back to the sludge
The result will be less competition, higher prices, and lower quality.
In my research, I've shown the subscription cancellation problem is big
The click-to-cancel rule was poised to make meaningful progress on this problem
Now we're back to the sludge
The result will be less competition, higher prices, and lower quality.
July 9, 2025 at 1:18 AM
This is a terrible outcome.
In my research, I've shown the subscription cancellation problem is big
The click-to-cancel rule was poised to make meaningful progress on this problem
Now we're back to the sludge
The result will be less competition, higher prices, and lower quality.
In my research, I've shown the subscription cancellation problem is big
The click-to-cancel rule was poised to make meaningful progress on this problem
Now we're back to the sludge
The result will be less competition, higher prices, and lower quality.
BBB is historically unpopular
July 3, 2025 at 4:04 PM
BBB is historically unpopular
Reupping this piece on how Medicaid has grown 32% in Republican congressional districts since 2013, with the fastest growth in frontline districts (where Rs face the closest races in 2026) and in rural, poor, and white districts of the country.
June 26, 2025 at 10:09 PM
Reupping this piece on how Medicaid has grown 32% in Republican congressional districts since 2013, with the fastest growth in frontline districts (where Rs face the closest races in 2026) and in rural, poor, and white districts of the country.
This is economic policy gone horribly wrong
Can't remember the last time a chart made me this mad
budgetlab.yale.edu/research/com...
Can't remember the last time a chart made me this mad
budgetlab.yale.edu/research/com...
June 12, 2025 at 7:51 PM
This is economic policy gone horribly wrong
Can't remember the last time a chart made me this mad
budgetlab.yale.edu/research/com...
Can't remember the last time a chart made me this mad
budgetlab.yale.edu/research/com...
Videos and more here: siepr.stanford.edu/events/polic...
June 5, 2025 at 4:08 PM
Videos and more here: siepr.stanford.edu/events/polic...
Nice write-up of the @siepr.bsky.social Abundance Policy Forum in today's Stanford Report.
The event brought together leaders from across the policy spectrum to share their perspectives and convened experts from policy, industry, and academia to dig into the details.
My remarks:
The event brought together leaders from across the policy spectrum to share their perspectives and convened experts from policy, industry, and academia to dig into the details.
My remarks:
June 5, 2025 at 4:08 PM
Nice write-up of the @siepr.bsky.social Abundance Policy Forum in today's Stanford Report.
The event brought together leaders from across the policy spectrum to share their perspectives and convened experts from policy, industry, and academia to dig into the details.
My remarks:
The event brought together leaders from across the policy spectrum to share their perspectives and convened experts from policy, industry, and academia to dig into the details.
My remarks:
My good friend @robsandia.bsky.social is running for Iowa governor.
He's a highly effective State Auditor, working with both parties to root out waste, fraud, and abuse.
He's a popular Democrat in an increasingly red state.
He's a big fan of breakfast pizza.
And he's a solid dude.
He's a highly effective State Auditor, working with both parties to root out waste, fraud, and abuse.
He's a popular Democrat in an increasingly red state.
He's a big fan of breakfast pizza.
And he's a solid dude.
June 4, 2025 at 9:15 PM
My good friend @robsandia.bsky.social is running for Iowa governor.
He's a highly effective State Auditor, working with both parties to root out waste, fraud, and abuse.
He's a popular Democrat in an increasingly red state.
He's a big fan of breakfast pizza.
And he's a solid dude.
He's a highly effective State Auditor, working with both parties to root out waste, fraud, and abuse.
He's a popular Democrat in an increasingly red state.
He's a big fan of breakfast pizza.
And he's a solid dude.
Swing district Republicans are right to be worried about the fallout from Medicaid cuts.
Our Briefing Book piece shows that Medicaid has grown fastest in frontline Republican districts.
Our Briefing Book piece shows that Medicaid has grown fastest in frontline Republican districts.
May 20, 2025 at 3:43 PM
Swing district Republicans are right to be worried about the fallout from Medicaid cuts.
Our Briefing Book piece shows that Medicaid has grown fastest in frontline Republican districts.
Our Briefing Book piece shows that Medicaid has grown fastest in frontline Republican districts.
To commemorate Goodison Park’s final match, a few photos from when my dad and I went to watch Arsenal vs. Everton in March 2016.
The fish and chips were exquisite, and Arsenal won 2-0. A lovely day all around.
The fish and chips were exquisite, and Arsenal won 2-0. A lovely day all around.
May 18, 2025 at 6:20 PM
To commemorate Goodison Park’s final match, a few photos from when my dad and I went to watch Arsenal vs. Everton in March 2016.
The fish and chips were exquisite, and Arsenal won 2-0. A lovely day all around.
The fish and chips were exquisite, and Arsenal won 2-0. A lovely day all around.
Overall consumer sentiment directionally similar but less stark
May 16, 2025 at 5:57 PM
Overall consumer sentiment directionally similar but less stark
Fresh charts on Republicans' buyer's remorse based on today's UMich print (w/ @weakinstrument.bsky.social)
R consumer expectations was up +15 points between the election and inauguration
Down -14 points since Trump stepped foot in the Oval Office
R consumer expectations was up +15 points between the election and inauguration
Down -14 points since Trump stepped foot in the Oval Office
May 16, 2025 at 5:57 PM
Fresh charts on Republicans' buyer's remorse based on today's UMich print (w/ @weakinstrument.bsky.social)
R consumer expectations was up +15 points between the election and inauguration
Down -14 points since Trump stepped foot in the Oval Office
R consumer expectations was up +15 points between the election and inauguration
Down -14 points since Trump stepped foot in the Oval Office
Purple passage from the great @jaredb-econ.bsky.social
April 29, 2025 at 3:20 PM
Purple passage from the great @jaredb-econ.bsky.social
I spoke with @zulekhanathoo.bsky.social of @usatoday.com on how Trump has failed to deliver on his campaign promises of lower prices and how his reckless tariffs will raise the costs of everything from birthday presents to groceries
April 27, 2025 at 7:56 PM
I spoke with @zulekhanathoo.bsky.social of @usatoday.com on how Trump has failed to deliver on his campaign promises of lower prices and how his reckless tariffs will raise the costs of everything from birthday presents to groceries
I stand with our @stanforduniversity.bsky.social leadership
April 15, 2025 at 5:45 PM
I stand with our @stanforduniversity.bsky.social leadership
Growth has been the fastest in frontline districts (L), where Republicans face the closest races in 2026, and in rural, poor, and white districts (R)
April 14, 2025 at 1:59 PM
Growth has been the fastest in frontline districts (L), where Republicans face the closest races in 2026, and in rural, poor, and white districts (R)
Medicaid has grown by 8.5 million enrollees or 32% in Republican congressional districts since 2013
April 14, 2025 at 1:59 PM
Medicaid has grown by 8.5 million enrollees or 32% in Republican congressional districts since 2013
Today’s report on plunging consumer sentiment (L) coupled with a pullback in discretionary spending (R) are worrying signs that the policy chaos is starting to infect the real economy
April 11, 2025 at 3:17 PM
Today’s report on plunging consumer sentiment (L) coupled with a pullback in discretionary spending (R) are worrying signs that the policy chaos is starting to infect the real economy
