Michael Harris
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Michael Harris
@mikeharrisny.bsky.social
110 followers 92 following 110 posts
Ex-hedge fund trader
Blog http://tinyurl.com/m5yy8k29
Free book http://tinyurl.com/3c6hxnhx
No investment advice.
No sponsored content.
Posts Replies Media Videos
mikeharrisny.bsky.social
Mid-Week Update—November 6, 2025 youtu.be/2BVFq1I7fbU?... via #YouTube
Mid-Week Update—November 6, 2025
YouTube video by Markets and More
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November 6, 2025 at 12:25 PM
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New free article: Diversification with Gold and the Long Winters www.priceactionlab.com/Blog/2025/10... #gold #GLD #XAUUSD #SPY
Diversification with Gold and the Long Winters
Gold has shown unique diversification properties for tactical investing, although it experiences prolonged periods of poor performance. Is it worth using gold as a diversifier in an equities portfolio
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October 29, 2025 at 5:40 PM
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New free article: Gold’s Rally Has Caused a Crisis in Macro Analysis www.priceactionlab.com/Blog/2025/10... #GLD #IAU #gold
Gold’s Rally Has Caused a Crisis in Macro Analysis
Macro analysts are dumbfounded by the strong rally in gold and are chasing prices higher using post hoc rationalizations. Meanwhile, simple technical models have maintained long positions in gold sinc
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October 14, 2025 at 3:05 PM
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Investing with Moon Phases: Part Two www.priceactionlab.com/Blog/2025/10... #SPX #astrology
Investing with Moon Phases: Part Two
This is the second part of a two-part article series on moon phases and investment. In the first article, we discussed what led to the notion that moon phases affect stock market values and a regime c
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October 8, 2025 at 9:43 AM
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Investing with Moon Phases: Part One www.priceactionlab.com/Blog/2025/10... #SPX #astrology #Investing
Investing with Moon Phases: Part One
This is the first of a two-part article series on moon phases and investment. In the first article, I seek to determine what led to the notion that moon phases affect stock market values, and in the s
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October 2, 2025 at 7:41 PM
mikeharrisny.bsky.social
Stop Backtesting Trading Strategies Now and Watch this Video youtu.be/IABvw5h31pY #tradingstrategy
Stop Backtesting Trading Strategies Now and Watch this Video
YouTube video by Quantitative and Technical Analysis
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September 27, 2025 at 1:25 PM
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On Strategy Ensembles and High Risk-Adjusted Returns www.priceactionlab.com/Blog/2025/09... #TradingStrategy
On Strategy Ensembles and High Risk-Adjusted Returns
There is a high level of noise, especially on financial social media, about the value of strategy ensembles and high risk-adjusted returns.Many traders, and especially those in the retail spac
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September 24, 2025 at 8:22 AM
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Retail Has a Huge Advantage Over Funds When It Comes to Tail Risk www.priceactionlab.com/Blog/2025/09... #investing #SPX
Retail Has a Huge Advantage Over Funds When It Comes to Tail Risk
Tail risk hedging is expensive and requires research and analysis to minimize the cost. Retail investors have an advantage when it comes to tail risk and depending on market conditions, they can use s
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September 11, 2025 at 8:44 AM
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US Dollar: Ignore the Doomers www.priceactionlab.com/Blog/2025/08... #dollar
US Dollar: Ignore the Doomers
Price action in the US dollar has been within normal bounds despite the recent drop. Here are the charts.US dollar doomers focus on a year-to-date loss of about 10% in support of some unclear
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August 28, 2025 at 8:42 AM
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New free article: The One Market Edge That Will Thrive in the AI Revolution www.priceactionlab.com/Blog/2025/08... #AI
The One Market Edge That Will Thrive in the AI Revolution
Artificial Intelligence (AI) will eliminate most market edges, but there is one edge that will thrive.AI will offer a wide variety of choices to traders and investors based on the findings and
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August 18, 2025 at 12:02 PM
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Clairvoyant traders, the cat disagrees, and the coming stock market chop youtu.be/RyCqa8chDdI?... via #YouTube #SPX #INTC #markets
Clairvoyant traders, the cat disagrees, and the coming stock market chop
YouTube video by Quantitative and Technical Analysis
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August 15, 2025 at 11:52 AM
mikeharrisny.bsky.social
The Biggest Threat to Investors and Traders www.priceactionlab.com/Blog/2025/08... #investing #trading #risk #SPX
The Biggest Threat to Investors and Traders
The explosion in the availability of online content is the biggest threat to investors and tradersNot long ago, anyone wanting to publish an article on trading or investing had to go through t
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August 13, 2025 at 8:55 AM
mikeharrisny.bsky.social
A Remarkably Robust Anti-Correlation www.priceactionlab.com/Blog/2025/07... #SPX #DXY #gold #bonds
A Remarkably Robust Anti-Correlation
The US dollar index and gold have exhibited a remarkably robust anti-correlation since the mid-1970s, while stocks and gold have been uncorrelated.Here is a chart that shows the 24- and 60-mon
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July 31, 2025 at 9:02 AM
mikeharrisny.bsky.social
New video: Unusual Market Gains and Naïve Bullish Forecasts youtu.be/T1yrhSlylAA?... via #YouTube
Unusual Market Gains and Naïve Bullish Forecasts
YouTube video by Quantitative and Technical Analysis
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July 22, 2025 at 1:30 PM
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Combining Momentum, Mean Reversion, and Seasonality youtu.be/IR6zm1YOdi4?... via #YouTube #SPY #TLT #GLD #QQQ
Combining Momentum, Mean Reversion, and Seasonality
YouTube video by Quantitative and Technical Analysis
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July 5, 2025 at 12:47 PM
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Buying New Highs and the Effect of Upward Drift www.priceactionlab.com/Blog/2025/07... #SPX #investing
Buying New Highs and the Effect of Upward Drift
In a recent article, Barry L. Ritholtz, co-founder, chairman, and chief investment officer of Ritholtz Wealth Management LLC., wrote that all-time highs are bullish. Here is the analysis but with some
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July 2, 2025 at 9:08 AM
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New article: Crude Oil the Peacemaker www.priceactionlab.com/Blog/2025/06... #CL_F #ES_F #IranUSConflict #inflation #CrudeOil
Crude Oil the Peacemaker
The rally in crude oil prices probably forced a cancellation or delay of further US plans for attacks in Iran and imposed a ceasefire deal.The ceasefire decision on June 23, 2025, was most pro
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June 24, 2025 at 9:11 AM
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Trading strategies for alpha youtu.be/zu_rERHxevo?... via #YouTube #tradingstrategy #trading
Trading strategies for alpha
YouTube video by Quantitative and Technical Analysis
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June 18, 2025 at 9:49 AM
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New free article: Confusing Finance Terminology is Driving Investors to Passive Index Funds www.priceactionlab.com/Blog/2025/06... #SPY #SPX #UPRO #markets
Confusing Finance Terminology is Driving Investors to Passive Index Funds
Recently, investors have pushed back against confusing marketing that uses academic finance terminology. We briefly discuss volatility drag and convexity.In the 1980s and early 1990s, investin
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June 11, 2025 at 9:53 AM
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New video: youtu.be/HzmZPHbdRmA #tradingstrategy
Trading strategy design: Quant vs. speculation
YouTube video by Quantitative and Technical Analysis
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June 10, 2025 at 10:48 AM
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New video from Common Sense Macro: Are extinctionists in control of geopolitics? Elon Musk's position and the future of equities youtu.be/lIyIlDFZro4?... via #YouTube
Are extinctionists in control of geopolitics? Elon Musk's position and the future of equities.
YouTube video by Michael Harris - Common Sense Macro
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May 30, 2025 at 6:37 PM
mikeharrisny.bsky.social
The Elusive Gold-to-Silver Ratio www.priceactionlab.com/Blog/2025/05... #GLD #SLV
The Elusive Gold-to-Silver Ratio
Precious metals traders and gold bugs often make references to the gold-to-silver ratio and attempt to make inferences about price action in that market and especially about the potential of silver to
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May 23, 2025 at 3:23 PM
mikeharrisny.bsky.social
New article: Investing in Managed Futures is a Long-Term Commitment www.priceactionlab.com/Blog/2025/05... #SPX
Investing in Managed Futures is a Long Term Commitment
Managed futures can experience long "winters," high drawdowns, and long recovery periods. Investing in managed futures is a high-risk, long-term commitment.Below is an example based on the per
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May 15, 2025 at 4:12 PM
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New video: Market price action on May 12, 2025, large gaps, short squeeze, and financial engineering youtu.be/G7s0ur1IMiE?... via #YouTube #market #trading #investing #SPY #SPX
Market price action on May 12, 2025, large gaps, short squeeze, and financial engineering
YouTube video by Quantitative and Technical Analysis
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May 13, 2025 at 11:51 AM
mikeharrisny.bsky.social
Regime change in S&P 500 Index 2-Standard Deviation Moves www.priceactionlab.com/Blog/2025/05... #SPX
Regime change in S&P 500 Index 2-Standard Deviation Moves
An intriguing regime change in the forward performance of 2-standard deviation moves in the S&P 500 index has occurred after 2008.Equity indexes are surging today due to optimism about tariff
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May 12, 2025 at 9:40 PM