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meteoleipzig.bsky.social
Leipzig Institute for Meteorology
@meteoleipzig.bsky.social
All things blue sky from Leipzig University's experts on weather, climate & society 🌍 🏳️‍🌈🏳️‍⚧️🌪⛈🌤☀️

#ClimateAttribution #PolarClimateChange #Clouds&Climate #ClimComms

https://www.physes.uni-leipzig.de/institut-fuer-meteo
Pinned
Using years of experience in attribution science, a comprehensive study that links heat waves to individual emitters (ie fossil fuel producers) has just been published by @yannquilcaille.bsky.social et al. A systematic step forward as highlighted in my @nature.com News&Views article:

rdcu.be/eFpWu
Heatwaves linked to emissions of individual fossil-fuel and cement producers | Nature
The emissions of leading fossil-fuel and cement producers have been systematically linked to particular heatwaves. Three scientists discuss the methodology behind the result and its potential impact on climate-liability court cases. The emissions of leading fossil-fuel and cement producers have been systematically linked to particular heatwaves. Three scientists discuss the methodology behind the result and its potential impact on climate-liability court cases.
rdcu.be
Reposted by Leipzig Institute for Meteorology
NEW | No growth for fossil fuels in global electricity generation expected in 2025 🔥❌

Ember forecasts no increase in fossil generation as wind and solar are growing fast enough to meet all new electricity demand.
November 13, 2025 at 8:36 AM
Reposted by Leipzig Institute for Meteorology
Shifts in the atmosphere’s circulation patterns are reshaping the Southern Hemisphere’s climate. 🌏

@jumindlin.bsky.social & @marleneclimate.bsky.social (@unileipzig.bsky.social, @meteoleipzig.bsky.social) contributed to a study on the drivers of these changes.

🔗 expect-project.eu/resource/exp...
November 13, 2025 at 8:51 AM
Reposted by Leipzig Institute for Meteorology
"Climate-related disasters forcibly displaced 250 million people globally over the past decade, the equivalent of 70,000 displacements every day. The climate crisis is a “risk multiplier” that compounded existing inequalities & injustices." www.theguardian.com/environment/...
Climate disasters displaced 250 million people in past 10 years, UN report finds
Floods, storms and droughts have uprooted people across the globe as rising temperatures intensify conflict and hunger
www.theguardian.com
November 11, 2025 at 11:45 PM
Reposted by Leipzig Institute for Meteorology
A joint job offer is open for Junior Professorship Financial Economics
@unileipzig.bsky.social together with the excellent @iwh-halle.bsky.social
Really interesting focus on sustainability, links to biodiversity and climate:
www.uni-leipzig.de/en/universit...
Junior Professorship in VWL, esp. Financial Economics (W1)
www.uni-leipzig.de
November 10, 2025 at 10:17 AM
Reposted by Leipzig Institute for Meteorology
Dokumentation über Klima und Amazonas mit der super Kollegin Mira Pöhlker @tropos-de.bsky.social @meteoleipzig.bsky.social
November 10, 2025 at 9:19 PM
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⚖️ Are you working on topics that could be relevant for climate litigation?

➡️ Submit an abstract to our outreach session (which allows you to submit a second abstract)
#EGU26

meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU26/sessio...
November 7, 2025 at 9:22 AM
Reposted by Leipzig Institute for Meteorology
Since 1990, the emissions share of the richest 1% has increased by 13%, and the richest 0.1% has grown by 32%, while the poorest 50% has decreased by 3%.

policy-practice.oxfam.org/resources/cl...
November 10, 2025 at 9:01 AM
Reposted by Leipzig Institute for Meteorology
If we do not seriously move away from burning fossil fuels, hurricanes like Melissa will only become worse. Already today Melissa tested the limits of what preparedness and adaptation can do. These limits are very real for everyone in the Caribbean. www.worldweatherattribution.org/climate-chan...
November 6, 2025 at 9:40 AM
Reposted by Leipzig Institute for Meteorology
"we show that an underestimation of present-day #Antarctic sea ice in the latest generation of #climate models results in an underestimation of future OHU by 3%–14% an underestimation of global cloud feedback by 19%–32% &an underestimation of global atmospheric warming by 6%–7%"

#FasterThanExpected
Increased future ocean heat uptake constrained by Antarctic sea ice extent
Abstract. The ocean takes up over 90 % of the excess heat stored in the Earth system as a result of anthropogenic climate change, which has led to sea level rise and an intensification of marine extre...
esd.copernicus.org
November 5, 2025 at 11:17 AM
Reposted by Leipzig Institute for Meteorology
November 4, 2025 at 9:47 AM
Reposted by Leipzig Institute for Meteorology
8 km of retreat in just 2 months...! 😱

The fastest glacier retreat ever recorded in modern history, at Hektoria Glacier (Antarctic peninsula) 📈🔥

www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Via Etienne Berthier
November 4, 2025 at 8:54 AM
Reposted by Leipzig Institute for Meteorology
There is increasing talk about overshoot of 1.5°C, particularly that *now* we can only achieve 1.5°C by first overshooting 1.5°C.

Well, sorry to tell you, 1.5°C have always been overshoot scenarios. Here from the original 'SSP' 1.5°C scenarios published in 2018.

[Overshoot is a scenario design]
November 4, 2025 at 8:00 AM
Reposted by Leipzig Institute for Meteorology
HadCRUT5 global temperature dataset now updated to Sep 2025.

As usual, data can be downloaded from CRU/UEA website: crudata.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/tem...
And from Met Office/hadobs website: www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcr...

@climateuea.bsky.social @colinmorice.bsky.social
November 3, 2025 at 1:25 PM
Reposted by Leipzig Institute for Meteorology
Incredible shot of the eye of Cat 5 Hurricane Melissa just moments before landfall in Jamaica yesterday taken by ESA's Sentinel 2 satellite. The amount of detail is breathtaking!
October 29, 2025 at 2:48 PM
3 minutes worth watching!
#Melissa in high resolution

www.youtube.com/watch?v=xEYe...
1547Z pass through Hurricane Melissa on 27 October
YouTube video by Flynonymous WX
www.youtube.com
October 29, 2025 at 1:08 PM
Reposted by Leipzig Institute for Meteorology
Hurricanes feed off of warm water. Watch how quickly the eye of #Melissa collapsed as it moved onto land and over the mountainous terrain of Jamaica, and how quickly it is reforming now that it has moved back over water! I will be adding this radar loop to my earth science lectures.
October 29, 2025 at 1:20 AM
Reposted by Leipzig Institute for Meteorology
🎯
It appears that technosolutionism is very selective in the problems it offers to fix and quite transparently pro fossil fuels
This is just mind-bendingly wrong-headed. ‘Let’s just adapt, tech will save us’ has always been a reckless strategy, but as evidence mounts that natural carbon sinks are failing it really does start to sink into a form of climate denialism.
www.newsweek.com/bill-gates-d...
Bill Gates Delivers ‘Tough Truths’ on Climate Just Before Big U.N. Talks
Bill Gates argues against focusing on emissions goals in favor of measures of human development.
www.newsweek.com
October 29, 2025 at 8:37 AM
Reposted by Leipzig Institute for Meteorology
Rolling back clean energy policies to “save” European industry will backfire. It may seem attractive in the short term, but it’s poor industrial policy in the long run.

Standing still on climate policy undermines competitiveness. Industry needs stability and long-term direction, not uncertainty.
October 28, 2025 at 6:54 PM
Reposted by Leipzig Institute for Meteorology
To quote my friend @drkatemarvel.bsky.social, climate change won't make humanity extinct but we can do better than "not extinct". Raise your standards people!
October 28, 2025 at 8:46 PM
Reposted by Leipzig Institute for Meteorology
To understand the climate connection to Hurricane Melissa, check out our real-time attribution page at @climatecentral.org: www.climatecentral.org/tropical-cyc...

"Climate change made the ocean temperatures along Melissa's path 500 to 900 times more likely."
October 28, 2025 at 3:25 PM
Reposted by Leipzig Institute for Meteorology
Stunning video of the enormous eye at the center of hurricane Melissa.

Taken by the 53rd Weather Reconnaissance Squadron “Hurricane Hunters” just before they had to abandon their mission.

Melissa is extremely dangerous, the strongest Atlantic hurricane to occur this late in the season.
US Air Force provides views from inside Hurricane Melissa
The U.S. Defense Department has released footage of views inside Hurricane Melissa. The military said a U.S.
apnews.com
October 28, 2025 at 1:31 PM
Reposted by Leipzig Institute for Meteorology
This storm is a testament to what can happen if a hurricane doesn't blow out its eyewall too quickly. Melissa didn't seem to develop the unstable pinhole eye true of many cat 5 storms.

And of course a testament to the power of weather prediction that we can forecast these things days in advance.
#Melissa unfortunately is still intensifying. A 9am EDT Tropical Cyclone Update indicates that winds are up to 180 mph, with an estimated minimum pressure of 896 mb.

You can see how GLM lightning has 📈 in the past hour, encircling the eye, with eye WV temp still increasing!
October 28, 2025 at 1:51 PM
Reposted by Leipzig Institute for Meteorology
Very Serious People inform me that we should talk less about climate change
A display of pure power from Hurricane Melissa today.

Remarkable satellite imagery.
October 28, 2025 at 1:50 PM