Next time: are the events of losing all three games where the Giants held late leads independent? (5/5)

Bayesian: A rational gambler would expect a Giants win by the leading team to be 96.7/3.3 = 29.03 times more likely than not, and would risk $2903 to win $100. Limited by the wisdom of the gambling crowd. (4/5) en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayesia...

Frequentist: In all simulations of this game from this point onwards, the leading team wins 96.7% of the time. Limited by the faithfulness of the simulation to reality. (3/5) en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Frequen...

Classical: In the universe of all games where one team holds a 10-point lead with 4 minutes to play, the leading team wins 96.7% of them. Limited by the fact that the number of football games is not fixed. (2/5) en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Classic...

Me today (but I fixed it using some of the same tips suggested upthread): bsky.app/profile/matt...

Yes, that's exactly what happened. I had tried it with "&..." as it literally appeared in the quoted post.

Thanks. I tried what you suggested and it sort of worked. It still provided an AI overview, but below a much better pre-AI result:

He’s saying now his military occupation of DC is so successful that crime has disappeared. In two weeks he will say it’s still an emergency so he has to maintain it

Trump is good at finding the weak points where laws require virtuous behavior and unraveling them. As long as SCOTUS maintains that only the president can say what’s an “emergency” or “cause” for firing, he’ll claim the right to do whatever he wants.

I know this is a fool’s errand, but I’m wondering what he means by this. People say “10 times less than” when they mean “1/10 of”. Is that what he thinks he is saying?

It gives you some shortcuts to nice formatting too. I gave in and am happy about the decision

But he told us where we stand!

Texas v. Johnson enters the chat en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Texas_v...

If you use spreadsheets like databases, where every tab is a table, the first row has all the column names, and every row after the first is a record, then you’re mostly there. Google Tables allows you to put as many of those on a tab as you want. You get another way to reference data ranges too

Hard agree. But I wouldn’t consider MetLife Stadium and its environs as representative

From my Union County perspective, it seems that service on the Raritan Valley line has gotten slightly better but the Morris & Essex has gotten significantly worse in the past 10 years. Which surprises me since property values along the M&E are much higher.