Martin Wermuth
@martinwermuth.bsky.social
Father, #S4f Mainz Wiesbaden, #overshoot, #climatecatastrophe, #history, #worldpolitics
Pinned
Martin Wermuth
@martinwermuth.bsky.social
· Oct 12
The Dictator’s Speech (Clip) | The Great Dictator (1940) | TCM
YouTube video by Turner Classic Movies
youtu.be
Timeless and now more true, more pressing, more required than ever. In more ways most of us can imagine
youtu.be/k0CzXi9e66M?...
youtu.be/k0CzXi9e66M?...
Reposted by Martin Wermuth
Even with very high global temperatures, Earth's Energy Imbalance is reaching record high levels again.
See the most recent 3 months of NASA CERES (climatology corrected) data:
See the most recent 3 months of NASA CERES (climatology corrected) data:
November 27, 2025 at 12:56 PM
Even with very high global temperatures, Earth's Energy Imbalance is reaching record high levels again.
See the most recent 3 months of NASA CERES (climatology corrected) data:
See the most recent 3 months of NASA CERES (climatology corrected) data:
Reposted by Martin Wermuth
Reposted by Martin Wermuth
Es gibt strenge Anforderungen an den Weihnachtsbaum für den Bundestag. Er soll ein sattes grünes Nadelkleid besitzen und stabil und gesund sein. Schön, dass sich im Harzer Grumbachtal noch eine solche gesunde, 80 Jahre alte Fichte finden ließ. Viele sind dort nicht mehr übrig.
#Normalitätssimulation
#Normalitätssimulation
Weihnachtsbaum für den Bundestag kommt aus dem Harzer Wald
Wie kommt der Weihnachtsbaum aus dem Harz eigentlich zum Bundestag? Wie muss er aussehen und wer entscheidet das eigentlich? Die GZ hat sich vor Ort umgehört.
www.goslarsche.de
November 25, 2025 at 5:02 PM
Es gibt strenge Anforderungen an den Weihnachtsbaum für den Bundestag. Er soll ein sattes grünes Nadelkleid besitzen und stabil und gesund sein. Schön, dass sich im Harzer Grumbachtal noch eine solche gesunde, 80 Jahre alte Fichte finden ließ. Viele sind dort nicht mehr übrig.
#Normalitätssimulation
#Normalitätssimulation
Reposted by Martin Wermuth
Disturbing. Incidentally @rutgerbregman.com has written some interesting books that you might want to read.
www.theguardian.com/media/2025/n...
www.theguardian.com/media/2025/n...
Reith lecturer accuses BBC of cowardice for censoring his remarks on Trump
Dutch writer Rutger Bregman says claim that Trump was ‘most openly corrupt president in US history’ was removed
www.theguardian.com
November 25, 2025 at 6:24 PM
Disturbing. Incidentally @rutgerbregman.com has written some interesting books that you might want to read.
www.theguardian.com/media/2025/n...
www.theguardian.com/media/2025/n...
Reposted by Martin Wermuth
Your 'moment of doom' for Nov. 25, 2025 ~ and he is us
"the species extinction rate is estimated to be between 1 000 and 10 000 times higher than natural extinction rates – the rate of species extinctions that would occur if we humans were not around.”
www.2oceansvibe.com/environment-...
"the species extinction rate is estimated to be between 1 000 and 10 000 times higher than natural extinction rates – the rate of species extinctions that would occur if we humans were not around.”
www.2oceansvibe.com/environment-...
Gone, Gone...And Gone: The IUCN Drops Its 2025 Species Extinction List
Yes, this grim roll call of vanished species comes with a side serving of climate chaos and human meddling.
www.2oceansvibe.com
November 25, 2025 at 1:21 PM
Your 'moment of doom' for Nov. 25, 2025 ~ and he is us
"the species extinction rate is estimated to be between 1 000 and 10 000 times higher than natural extinction rates – the rate of species extinctions that would occur if we humans were not around.”
www.2oceansvibe.com/environment-...
"the species extinction rate is estimated to be between 1 000 and 10 000 times higher than natural extinction rates – the rate of species extinctions that would occur if we humans were not around.”
www.2oceansvibe.com/environment-...
Reposted by Martin Wermuth
I wish I didn’t have to share this. But the BBC has decided to censor my first Reith Lecture.
They deleted the line in which I describe Donald Trump as “the most openly corrupt president in American history.” /1
They deleted the line in which I describe Donald Trump as “the most openly corrupt president in American history.” /1
November 25, 2025 at 9:26 AM
I wish I didn’t have to share this. But the BBC has decided to censor my first Reith Lecture.
They deleted the line in which I describe Donald Trump as “the most openly corrupt president in American history.” /1
They deleted the line in which I describe Donald Trump as “the most openly corrupt president in American history.” /1
Reposted by Martin Wermuth
Giving in to authoritarianism rather than sticking up for free speech. What has become of the BBC?
I wish I didn’t have to share this. But the BBC has decided to censor my first Reith Lecture.
They deleted the line in which I describe Donald Trump as “the most openly corrupt president in American history.” /1
They deleted the line in which I describe Donald Trump as “the most openly corrupt president in American history.” /1
November 25, 2025 at 1:02 PM
Giving in to authoritarianism rather than sticking up for free speech. What has become of the BBC?
Reposted by Martin Wermuth
It’s no accident the ladder climbers & fake smart careerist class occupying our government, mass media, boardrooms etc aren’t capable of understanding/responding to what Hansen is theorizing here.
A proper response would change the world within weeks. And that is the last thing big capital wants.
A proper response would change the world within weeks. And that is the last thing big capital wants.
Warning! This colorful chart is censored by IPCC - mailchi.mp/caa/warning-...
Also available on Substack: jimehansen.substack.com/p/warning-th...
Also available on Substack: jimehansen.substack.com/p/warning-th...
November 23, 2025 at 9:53 AM
It’s no accident the ladder climbers & fake smart careerist class occupying our government, mass media, boardrooms etc aren’t capable of understanding/responding to what Hansen is theorizing here.
A proper response would change the world within weeks. And that is the last thing big capital wants.
A proper response would change the world within weeks. And that is the last thing big capital wants.
Reposted by Martin Wermuth
So we are above RCP8.5 Scenario due to spike in Radiative Forcing...
Warning! This colorful chart is censored by IPCC - mailchi.mp/caa/warning-...
Also available on Substack: jimehansen.substack.com/p/warning-th...
Also available on Substack: jimehansen.substack.com/p/warning-th...
November 22, 2025 at 9:00 PM
So we are above RCP8.5 Scenario due to spike in Radiative Forcing...
Reposted by Martin Wermuth
Another month of NASA CERES satellite data and it's only getting worse!
0.11 W/m² added to the 4-year average Net-flux increase over the North Pacific.
Absorbed Solar Radiation is almost 5W/m² higher than at the start of the century.
All added greenhouse gases since 1750 cause a 4.1 W/m² forcing
0.11 W/m² added to the 4-year average Net-flux increase over the North Pacific.
Absorbed Solar Radiation is almost 5W/m² higher than at the start of the century.
All added greenhouse gases since 1750 cause a 4.1 W/m² forcing
November 22, 2025 at 4:08 PM
Another month of NASA CERES satellite data and it's only getting worse!
0.11 W/m² added to the 4-year average Net-flux increase over the North Pacific.
Absorbed Solar Radiation is almost 5W/m² higher than at the start of the century.
All added greenhouse gases since 1750 cause a 4.1 W/m² forcing
0.11 W/m² added to the 4-year average Net-flux increase over the North Pacific.
Absorbed Solar Radiation is almost 5W/m² higher than at the start of the century.
All added greenhouse gases since 1750 cause a 4.1 W/m² forcing
Reposted by Martin Wermuth
COP30 President:
"We want to ensure transparency, inclusivity, predictability and legitimacy.
Does everyone agree with this approach?"
Saudi Arabia:
"Hell no, we need you to confirm that our backroom huddle meetings remain, so we can halt progress without anyone noticing"
(Somewhat paraphrasing)
"We want to ensure transparency, inclusivity, predictability and legitimacy.
Does everyone agree with this approach?"
Saudi Arabia:
"Hell no, we need you to confirm that our backroom huddle meetings remain, so we can halt progress without anyone noticing"
(Somewhat paraphrasing)
November 22, 2025 at 7:47 PM
COP30 President:
"We want to ensure transparency, inclusivity, predictability and legitimacy.
Does everyone agree with this approach?"
Saudi Arabia:
"Hell no, we need you to confirm that our backroom huddle meetings remain, so we can halt progress without anyone noticing"
(Somewhat paraphrasing)
"We want to ensure transparency, inclusivity, predictability and legitimacy.
Does everyone agree with this approach?"
Saudi Arabia:
"Hell no, we need you to confirm that our backroom huddle meetings remain, so we can halt progress without anyone noticing"
(Somewhat paraphrasing)
Reposted by Martin Wermuth
Die große Menschheitsaufgabe des Jahrzehnts wäre gewesen, ein letztes Handlungsfenster zu nutzen, das kurz Hoffnung machte. Die große Aufgabe des einzelnen Menschen ist nun, Hoffnung zu überwinden. Dabei können Zeiten wie dieser Tage helfen. Das ist brutal. Doch danach folgt neue Handlungsfähigkeit.
November 23, 2025 at 10:00 AM
Die große Menschheitsaufgabe des Jahrzehnts wäre gewesen, ein letztes Handlungsfenster zu nutzen, das kurz Hoffnung machte. Die große Aufgabe des einzelnen Menschen ist nun, Hoffnung zu überwinden. Dabei können Zeiten wie dieser Tage helfen. Das ist brutal. Doch danach folgt neue Handlungsfähigkeit.
Reposted by Martin Wermuth
Warning! This colorful chart is censored by IPCC - mailchi.mp/caa/warning-...
Also available on Substack: jimehansen.substack.com/p/warning-th...
Also available on Substack: jimehansen.substack.com/p/warning-th...
November 21, 2025 at 3:33 PM
Warning! This colorful chart is censored by IPCC - mailchi.mp/caa/warning-...
Also available on Substack: jimehansen.substack.com/p/warning-th...
Also available on Substack: jimehansen.substack.com/p/warning-th...
Reposted by Martin Wermuth
Many people think about cold in Northern Europe if the Atlantic Ocean current system #AMOC fails. But that wouldn’t be the only problem for Europe by far.
This new study shows that severe drought is another one. 🌊
This new study shows that severe drought is another one. 🌊
📢 New paper on the impacts of AMOC collapse on European hydroclimate. 🌊
We find an AMOC collapse would exacerbate drought conditions across Europe, linked to reduced precipitation. In combination with climate change droughts are expected to become more frequent and severe.
doi.org/10.5194/hess...
We find an AMOC collapse would exacerbate drought conditions across Europe, linked to reduced precipitation. In combination with climate change droughts are expected to become more frequent and severe.
doi.org/10.5194/hess...
Changing European hydroclimate under a collapsed AMOC in the Community Earth System Model
Abstract. The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is expected to weaken or even collapse under anthropogenic climate change. Given the importance of the AMOC in the present-day climate,...
doi.org
November 22, 2025 at 5:52 AM
Many people think about cold in Northern Europe if the Atlantic Ocean current system #AMOC fails. But that wouldn’t be the only problem for Europe by far.
This new study shows that severe drought is another one. 🌊
This new study shows that severe drought is another one. 🌊
Reposted by Martin Wermuth
This year will end with about 150-160 days at or above the Paris limit of 1.50°C, down from a record 271 days in 2024.
These are the days, my friend.
These are the days, my friend.
November 22, 2025 at 1:18 PM
This year will end with about 150-160 days at or above the Paris limit of 1.50°C, down from a record 271 days in 2024.
These are the days, my friend.
These are the days, my friend.
Reposted by Martin Wermuth
Fabulous and timely new Europe Dispatch column by @alanderminna.bsky.social just appeared. She not only discusses Trump's latest "peace" plan for Ukraine and Russia (a nothingburger in her eyes) she delves into European military mobility. It’s all free. open.substack.com/pub/phillips...
On "Peace Plans" and Military (Im)Mobility in Europe
In this week’s Europe Dispatch, Minna Ålander discusses persisting lack of military mobility in Europe and likely yet another nothingburger, served by Trump.
open.substack.com
November 21, 2025 at 12:14 PM
Fabulous and timely new Europe Dispatch column by @alanderminna.bsky.social just appeared. She not only discusses Trump's latest "peace" plan for Ukraine and Russia (a nothingburger in her eyes) she delves into European military mobility. It’s all free. open.substack.com/pub/phillips...
Reposted by Martin Wermuth
If Trump's plan does not wake up European states to the reality that the US under his leadership is an existential threat to freedom on the continent--nothing will.
November 21, 2025 at 3:01 AM
If Trump's plan does not wake up European states to the reality that the US under his leadership is an existential threat to freedom on the continent--nothing will.
Reposted by Martin Wermuth
This morning, the President of the United States publicly called for the execution of six Members of Congress.
Donald Trump must be removed from office. Today.
He is a clear & present danger to this country. Right now. Invoke the 25th Amendment, or impeach & convict him. Now.
Donald Trump must be removed from office. Today.
He is a clear & present danger to this country. Right now. Invoke the 25th Amendment, or impeach & convict him. Now.
November 21, 2025 at 5:02 AM
This morning, the President of the United States publicly called for the execution of six Members of Congress.
Donald Trump must be removed from office. Today.
He is a clear & present danger to this country. Right now. Invoke the 25th Amendment, or impeach & convict him. Now.
Donald Trump must be removed from office. Today.
He is a clear & present danger to this country. Right now. Invoke the 25th Amendment, or impeach & convict him. Now.
Reposted by Martin Wermuth
The latest, from November 18, has the planet at 1.61°C above pre-industrial.
Will the planet reach an anomaly of 1.80°C above pre-industrial over the coming few days, as forecast? The Climate 8-ball is busy eating gobsmacking bananas.
Will the planet reach an anomaly of 1.80°C above pre-industrial over the coming few days, as forecast? The Climate 8-ball is busy eating gobsmacking bananas.
November 20, 2025 at 4:53 PM
The latest, from November 18, has the planet at 1.61°C above pre-industrial.
Will the planet reach an anomaly of 1.80°C above pre-industrial over the coming few days, as forecast? The Climate 8-ball is busy eating gobsmacking bananas.
Will the planet reach an anomaly of 1.80°C above pre-industrial over the coming few days, as forecast? The Climate 8-ball is busy eating gobsmacking bananas.
Reposted by Martin Wermuth
Great news for ocean altimetry observations! 🌍🛰
Global sea level rise is also a crucial indicator of Earth's Energy Imbalance.
It takes about 50 times as much heat to increase sea levels by thermal expension of the oceans than it does from melting ice.
Satellites paint a very worrying picture!
Global sea level rise is also a crucial indicator of Earth's Energy Imbalance.
It takes about 50 times as much heat to increase sea levels by thermal expension of the oceans than it does from melting ice.
Satellites paint a very worrying picture!
November 20, 2025 at 3:14 PM
Great news for ocean altimetry observations! 🌍🛰
Global sea level rise is also a crucial indicator of Earth's Energy Imbalance.
It takes about 50 times as much heat to increase sea levels by thermal expension of the oceans than it does from melting ice.
Satellites paint a very worrying picture!
Global sea level rise is also a crucial indicator of Earth's Energy Imbalance.
It takes about 50 times as much heat to increase sea levels by thermal expension of the oceans than it does from melting ice.
Satellites paint a very worrying picture!
Reposted by Martin Wermuth
Breaking News!
Code UFB!!!
CERES data just dropped for August, 2025, and the 36-month running average for Earth albedo just hit yet another new record low, now at 28.701%.
The Climate 8-ball says: "you're going to need a bigger y-axis."
Code UFB!!!
CERES data just dropped for August, 2025, and the 36-month running average for Earth albedo just hit yet another new record low, now at 28.701%.
The Climate 8-ball says: "you're going to need a bigger y-axis."
November 18, 2025 at 1:18 PM
Breaking News!
Code UFB!!!
CERES data just dropped for August, 2025, and the 36-month running average for Earth albedo just hit yet another new record low, now at 28.701%.
The Climate 8-ball says: "you're going to need a bigger y-axis."
Code UFB!!!
CERES data just dropped for August, 2025, and the 36-month running average for Earth albedo just hit yet another new record low, now at 28.701%.
The Climate 8-ball says: "you're going to need a bigger y-axis."
Reposted by Martin Wermuth
I wish there was better news than this headline ⚒️🧪
"Global carbon emissions from fossil fuels are projected to rise by 1.1% in 2025 - reaching a record high" (globalcarbonbudget.org/fossil-fuel-...)
+ Global Carbon Budget 2025 is out globalcarbonbudget.org/gcb-2025/
+ Paper doi.org/10.5194/essd...
"Global carbon emissions from fossil fuels are projected to rise by 1.1% in 2025 - reaching a record high" (globalcarbonbudget.org/fossil-fuel-...)
+ Global Carbon Budget 2025 is out globalcarbonbudget.org/gcb-2025/
+ Paper doi.org/10.5194/essd...
November 19, 2025 at 1:07 PM
I wish there was better news than this headline ⚒️🧪
"Global carbon emissions from fossil fuels are projected to rise by 1.1% in 2025 - reaching a record high" (globalcarbonbudget.org/fossil-fuel-...)
+ Global Carbon Budget 2025 is out globalcarbonbudget.org/gcb-2025/
+ Paper doi.org/10.5194/essd...
"Global carbon emissions from fossil fuels are projected to rise by 1.1% in 2025 - reaching a record high" (globalcarbonbudget.org/fossil-fuel-...)
+ Global Carbon Budget 2025 is out globalcarbonbudget.org/gcb-2025/
+ Paper doi.org/10.5194/essd...
Reposted by Martin Wermuth
Well, once again it was shown that Trump's "support" for Ukraine was a con. He has been working with Putin in secret to craft a "peace" deal which the US and Russia will now try to shove down Ukrainian and European throats. Just sent out this free piece. open.substack.com/pub/phillips...
Trump Was Working With Putin The Entire Time
And Now Europe and Ukraine Will Pay The Price
open.substack.com
November 19, 2025 at 1:43 PM
Well, once again it was shown that Trump's "support" for Ukraine was a con. He has been working with Putin in secret to craft a "peace" deal which the US and Russia will now try to shove down Ukrainian and European throats. Just sent out this free piece. open.substack.com/pub/phillips...
Reposted by Martin Wermuth
This graphic shows the difference from the 1981-2010 baseline. Add about 0.60°C to get the anomaly above the 1850-1900 IPCC pre-industrial baseline.
In other words, an anomaly over pre-industrial above 1.80°C is likely in the next few days.
www.karstenhaustein.com/climate
In other words, an anomaly over pre-industrial above 1.80°C is likely in the next few days.
www.karstenhaustein.com/climate
November 19, 2025 at 2:42 PM
This graphic shows the difference from the 1981-2010 baseline. Add about 0.60°C to get the anomaly above the 1850-1900 IPCC pre-industrial baseline.
In other words, an anomaly over pre-industrial above 1.80°C is likely in the next few days.
www.karstenhaustein.com/climate
In other words, an anomaly over pre-industrial above 1.80°C is likely in the next few days.
www.karstenhaustein.com/climate
Reposted by Martin Wermuth
Btw, in case you have not noticed it--the last few hours have confirmed one thing. The alliance of dictators and autocrats is no longer notional--it is now up and running. The remaining democratic states in the world have to react now.
November 19, 2025 at 3:04 PM
Btw, in case you have not noticed it--the last few hours have confirmed one thing. The alliance of dictators and autocrats is no longer notional--it is now up and running. The remaining democratic states in the world have to react now.