Andrew Mangan
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mangan.bsky.social
Andrew Mangan
@mangan.bsky.social
Writer, editor. Currently: Daily Kos. Formerly: FiveThirtyEight, Data for Progress. andrewmangan.com
Trump just hit his lowest net job approval in his second term, per Nate Silver
October 30, 2025 at 9:06 PM
New data finds that Americans think life in the U.S. is getting worse, confirming a trend I looked at last month in my column.

www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...
October 30, 2025 at 8:59 PM
So much digital ink was spilled last year about America's anti-immigration turn ... when, in reality, it was just basic thermostatic politics.

New Gallup data reveals Americans are suddenly more supportive of immigration after they've seen a few months of Trump's crackdown.
July 11, 2025 at 2:26 PM
If House Republicans successfully slash Medicaid, they'll hurt 1 in 5 of those who live in their district (on average).

My latest Survey Says column: www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...
May 19, 2025 at 9:25 PM
At the same time, while national and swing-state polls weren't great overall this year, they were *better* than in 2016 and 2020. 7/9
December 5, 2024 at 6:43 PM
So how did the polls shake out this year? Well, we all know Trump beat his polls again. 6/9
December 5, 2024 at 6:43 PM
In 2020, Trump beat his polls more than he did in 2016, but because Biden won, the left-leaning world largely shrugged it off. But given how tight the polling was between Trump and Harris, it was obvious that an equivalent error this year would mean a relatively easy Trump win. 2/9
December 5, 2024 at 6:43 PM