1/3 All the drafts of a possible Russian-Ukrainian agreement that have appeared in recent days address not only the obligations of Russia and Ukraine, but also those of NATO and EU member states.

A demonstrative disciplining of Ukraine’s elites — who voted down a bill limiting the independence of anti-corruption bodies — by the EU is now in Ukraine’s best interest.
The challenge lies in selecting methods that do not undermine Ukraine’s military capacity to defend itself against Russia.

Has the Western strategic community developed contingency plans in the event of a significant breakdown in Ukrainian societal or military morale?”

Today will most probably be the third night of heavy drone and ballistic attacks against Kyiv – the last two nights were sleepless for most people in Kyiv, including me.

Here is a good — albeit rather pessimistic — overview of the situation: www.economist.com/europe/2025/...

For over fifteen minutes, I heard regular booms and explosions in the center of Kyiv. I am wondering whether Trump, in an effort to encourage Putin to end the war — or at least stop terrorizing Ukrainian cities — will now declare that “dear Vladimir” actually deserves the Nobel Prize alongside him

Trump's slapping of Zelenski is reminiscent of Churchill's argument with the Polish Prime Minister, Stanisław Mikołajczyk, when the latter refused to accept the terms of the “deal” with Stalin - the loss of 48% of the country's territory and the formation of a joint government with Stalin’s puppets

Trump's policy towards Russia will be discussed in future university seminars, as an example of a policy based on total ignorance of facts, nihilism of values, imperialism of methods and illusions of results. www.ft.com/content/7380...

Written by a Russian writer in 1859, not understood by most of his compatriots even in 2025.

"If after all our reasoning Ukraine… does not wish to be either Polish or Russian, then what? The question is to be resolved quite simply. Ukraine should be recognized as a free and independent country.”

1/2 An excellent radio report - "Poland's Goast - Ukraine's Heroes" by Tim Whewell - about the Volyn massacre and the heroisation by Ukraine of the UPA - the formation responsible for genocide of the Poles 1943-45 and later defending Ukraine against Sovietisation. www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/...

1/2 An excellent radio report - "Poland's Goast - Ukraine's Heroes" by Tim Whewell - about the Volyn massacre and the heroisation by Ukraine of the UPA - the formation responsible for genocide of the Poles 1943-45 and later defending Ukraine against Sovietisation. www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/...

Elon admits that any post on X with a link is throttled

He advises you to upload content directly to X instead, where he can monetize it

Musk is the richest person in the world and his view is everyone should work for him for free

The Moscow daily Kommersant promotes @OSW_eng's October report "Winning the war with Russia (is still possible). The West’s counter-strategy towards Moscow" with a detailed description of the Kellogg plan. Not only the report's cover is worth your time.
www.osw.waw.pl/en/publikacj...

1/16 Every now and then in the media discourse we hear something about peace plans, cease-fire, truce etc. Here are some comments based on my own recent conversations and observations, conducted in Poland, Ukraine and elsewhere.🧵

🇵🇱 and 🇺🇦 FMs agreed Tuesday to address the Volhynia exhumation issue. Here's my take on whether this long-standing conflict, poisoning relations for years, could see a breakthrough. I also asked @lukaszadamski.bsky.social, @mieroszewskipl.bsky.social, for a comment👇👇

www.kyivpost.com/analysis/42958

My comment on “exhumation issue” for @kyivpost.com after minister Sybiha’s recent visit to Warsaw. “[the] statement is the result of efforts by both Polish diplomacy and Minister Sybiha, who must have worked to persuade Polonoskeptics in the Ukrainian administration” www.kyivpost.com/analysis/42958

1000 days too late www.nytimes.com/2024/11/17/u...

Russian opposition strategy towards the West:
“Do not ask us what we can do for Russia, ask us what you can do for us”.

There is no safe place in Ukraine. There are only less and more risky and extremely dangerous ones. This map shows the movement of missiles today.

Massive shelling of Ukraine with cruise and ballistic missiles has been going on for the past hour. I have heard powerful explosions in Kyiv - anti-aircraft defences are shooting down Russian missiles.
Another morning inappropriately diversified.