Luis Simón
@luissimonn.bsky.social
Prof & Director CSDS - VUB // Director & Senior Analyst Brussels Office Elcano
In this new piece for @ejir.bsky.social Stephan Klose and I discuss how US allies balance security and autonomy, focusing on 🇯🇵 and 🇵🇱 . 🙏 to @erc.europa.eu for the support 👇👇
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
cc: @michitotsuruoka.bsky.social @lanoszka.bsky.social @danielfiott.bsky.social
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
cc: @michitotsuruoka.bsky.social @lanoszka.bsky.social @danielfiott.bsky.social
With or without you: how junior allies balance security and autonomy - Luis Simón, Stephan Klose, 2025
Secondary states that engage in external balancing are willing to trade some autonomy for the increased security that comes with the protection offered by a gre...
journals.sagepub.com
October 23, 2025 at 7:39 AM
In this new piece for @ejir.bsky.social Stephan Klose and I discuss how US allies balance security and autonomy, focusing on 🇯🇵 and 🇵🇱 . 🙏 to @erc.europa.eu for the support 👇👇
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
cc: @michitotsuruoka.bsky.social @lanoszka.bsky.social @danielfiott.bsky.social
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
cc: @michitotsuruoka.bsky.social @lanoszka.bsky.social @danielfiott.bsky.social
Reposted by Luis Simón
New special issue by @luissimonn.bsky.social and @danielfiott.bsky.social very much gets at the complexities over time of how great powers do wedging or binding, to themselves and others. Here: China, EU, US. A great analytical framework I hope others use: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Player and playground: Europe in US–China competition
The intensifying great power competition between the United States and China is having a profound effect on global order and Europe’s place in the world. Sino-American competition affects multiple ...
www.tandfonline.com
October 20, 2025 at 2:49 PM
New special issue by @luissimonn.bsky.social and @danielfiott.bsky.social very much gets at the complexities over time of how great powers do wedging or binding, to themselves and others. Here: China, EU, US. A great analytical framework I hope others use: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Reposted by Luis Simón
𝐒𝐩𝐞𝐜𝐢𝐚𝐥 𝐈𝐬𝐬𝐮𝐞: '𝐄𝐮𝐫𝐨𝐩𝐞 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐔𝐧𝐢𝐭𝐞𝐝 𝐒𝐭𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐬-𝐂𝐡𝐢𝐧𝐚 𝐑𝐢𝐯𝐚𝐥𝐫𝐲' 🇪🇺 🇺🇲 🇨🇳
co-edited by @luissimonn.bsky.social & @danielfiott.bsky.social
Issue 47(6) is now available in open access! It features the following articles:
www.tandfonline.com/toc/geui20/4...
co-edited by @luissimonn.bsky.social & @danielfiott.bsky.social
Issue 47(6) is now available in open access! It features the following articles:
www.tandfonline.com/toc/geui20/4...
Journal of European Integration
Europe and the United States-China Rivalry. Volume 47, Issue 6 of Journal of European Integration
www.tandfonline.com
September 16, 2025 at 7:06 AM
𝐒𝐩𝐞𝐜𝐢𝐚𝐥 𝐈𝐬𝐬𝐮𝐞: '𝐄𝐮𝐫𝐨𝐩𝐞 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐔𝐧𝐢𝐭𝐞𝐝 𝐒𝐭𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐬-𝐂𝐡𝐢𝐧𝐚 𝐑𝐢𝐯𝐚𝐥𝐫𝐲' 🇪🇺 🇺🇲 🇨🇳
co-edited by @luissimonn.bsky.social & @danielfiott.bsky.social
Issue 47(6) is now available in open access! It features the following articles:
www.tandfonline.com/toc/geui20/4...
co-edited by @luissimonn.bsky.social & @danielfiott.bsky.social
Issue 47(6) is now available in open access! It features the following articles:
www.tandfonline.com/toc/geui20/4...
Check out our @jei-publication.bsky.social special issue on Europe in US-China rivalry. Huge thx to @danielfiott.bsky.social for co-leading this, to all the great authors, and to @erc.europa.eu
September 13, 2025 at 12:24 PM
Check out our @jei-publication.bsky.social special issue on Europe in US-China rivalry. Huge thx to @danielfiott.bsky.social for co-leading this, to all the great authors, and to @erc.europa.eu
Reposted by Luis Simón
I am extremely proud and pleased to see this major academic work on European autonomy and U.S.-China rivalry published as a special issue by the Journal of European Integration. All articles are open access! More below👇🏻
www.tandfonline.com/toc/geui20/4...
www.tandfonline.com/toc/geui20/4...
Journal of European Integration
Europe and the United States-China Rivalry. Volume 47, Issue 6 of Journal of European Integration
www.tandfonline.com
September 13, 2025 at 11:33 AM
I am extremely proud and pleased to see this major academic work on European autonomy and U.S.-China rivalry published as a special issue by the Journal of European Integration. All articles are open access! More below👇🏻
www.tandfonline.com/toc/geui20/4...
www.tandfonline.com/toc/geui20/4...
Reposted by Luis Simón
Luis Simón (@luissimonn.bsky.social), Lotje Boswinkel (@lotjeboswinkel.bsky.social) se penchent sur la question de la négociation et de la signature d’un accord qui ont été des sujets importants depuis l’arrivée de Donald Trump et les différentes tentatives.
lerubicon.org/lukraine-leu...
lerubicon.org/lukraine-leu...
L'Ukraine, l'Europe et l'art de la négociation
L’annonce du futur président Donald Trump quant à la fin de la guerre en Ukraine irait à l’encontre de la volonté européenne d’aide l’Ukraine à se défendre contre la guerre d’agression menée par la Ru...
lerubicon.org
July 10, 2025 at 10:18 AM
Luis Simón (@luissimonn.bsky.social), Lotje Boswinkel (@lotjeboswinkel.bsky.social) se penchent sur la question de la négociation et de la signature d’un accord qui ont été des sujets importants depuis l’arrivée de Donald Trump et les différentes tentatives.
lerubicon.org/lukraine-leu...
lerubicon.org/lukraine-leu...
Reposted by Luis Simón
#ICYMI Our Director @luissimonn.bsky.social recently published a commentary piece with @warontherocks.bsky.social outlining three alternative approaches to deterrence in Europe and the Indo-Pacific.
Read now🔸 warontherocks.com/2025/06/thre...
Read now🔸 warontherocks.com/2025/06/thre...
June 30, 2025 at 6:41 AM
#ICYMI Our Director @luissimonn.bsky.social recently published a commentary piece with @warontherocks.bsky.social outlining three alternative approaches to deterrence in Europe and the Indo-Pacific.
Read now🔸 warontherocks.com/2025/06/thre...
Read now🔸 warontherocks.com/2025/06/thre...
Reposted by Luis Simón
❗New Analysis❗
"Three Alternative Approaches to Deterrence in Europe and the Indo-Pacific", by Luis Simón for War on the Rocks.
Read🔸 warontherocks.com/2025/06/thre... #Deterrence @luissimonn.bsky.social @warontherocks.bsky.social
"Three Alternative Approaches to Deterrence in Europe and the Indo-Pacific", by Luis Simón for War on the Rocks.
Read🔸 warontherocks.com/2025/06/thre... #Deterrence @luissimonn.bsky.social @warontherocks.bsky.social
June 19, 2025 at 5:02 PM
❗New Analysis❗
"Three Alternative Approaches to Deterrence in Europe and the Indo-Pacific", by Luis Simón for War on the Rocks.
Read🔸 warontherocks.com/2025/06/thre... #Deterrence @luissimonn.bsky.social @warontherocks.bsky.social
"Three Alternative Approaches to Deterrence in Europe and the Indo-Pacific", by Luis Simón for War on the Rocks.
Read🔸 warontherocks.com/2025/06/thre... #Deterrence @luissimonn.bsky.social @warontherocks.bsky.social
Reposted by Luis Simón
New @csds.bsky.social policy brief with @luissimonn.bsky.social in which we explore four scenarios for US force posture in Europe, and the various dilemma’s and trade-offs that Europeans face moving forward 👉 csds.vub.be/publication/...
What if Hell Breaks Loose? Imagining a post-American Europe - CSDS
The second Trump administration is encouraging Europeans to take primary responsibility for conventional defence, but what this means for United States’ (US) conventional forces in Europe remains uncl...
csds.vub.be
June 11, 2025 at 10:04 AM
New @csds.bsky.social policy brief with @luissimonn.bsky.social in which we explore four scenarios for US force posture in Europe, and the various dilemma’s and trade-offs that Europeans face moving forward 👉 csds.vub.be/publication/...
Reposted by Luis Simón
❗Top Ten Time❗
What are the most popular CSDS analytical products of 2025, so far? Congratulations to all our authors and speakers on our list!
Engage with our work:
Policy Briefs🔸 csds.vub.be/policy-briefs/
In-Depth Papers🔸 csds.vub.be/in-depth-pap...
Strategy Speaks🔸 csds.vub.be/podcasts/
What are the most popular CSDS analytical products of 2025, so far? Congratulations to all our authors and speakers on our list!
Engage with our work:
Policy Briefs🔸 csds.vub.be/policy-briefs/
In-Depth Papers🔸 csds.vub.be/in-depth-pap...
Strategy Speaks🔸 csds.vub.be/podcasts/
June 6, 2025 at 12:49 PM
❗Top Ten Time❗
What are the most popular CSDS analytical products of 2025, so far? Congratulations to all our authors and speakers on our list!
Engage with our work:
Policy Briefs🔸 csds.vub.be/policy-briefs/
In-Depth Papers🔸 csds.vub.be/in-depth-pap...
Strategy Speaks🔸 csds.vub.be/podcasts/
What are the most popular CSDS analytical products of 2025, so far? Congratulations to all our authors and speakers on our list!
Engage with our work:
Policy Briefs🔸 csds.vub.be/policy-briefs/
In-Depth Papers🔸 csds.vub.be/in-depth-pap...
Strategy Speaks🔸 csds.vub.be/podcasts/
Reposted by Luis Simón
🔴LIVE NOW | The Impossible State Podcast
What Are U.S. and NATO Views on China?
Speakers:
@victordcha.bsky.social
@henriettalevin.bsky.social
@luissimonn.bsky.social
We’ll be live-posting key takeaways right here on Bluesky.
🔗 www.csis.org/events/impos...
What Are U.S. and NATO Views on China?
Speakers:
@victordcha.bsky.social
@henriettalevin.bsky.social
@luissimonn.bsky.social
We’ll be live-posting key takeaways right here on Bluesky.
🔗 www.csis.org/events/impos...
The Impossible State Live Podcast: What Are U.S. and NATO Views on China? | CSIS Events
Please join the Impossible State podcast for a discussion on the United States and NATO views of China.
www.csis.org
May 28, 2025 at 2:59 PM
🔴LIVE NOW | The Impossible State Podcast
What Are U.S. and NATO Views on China?
Speakers:
@victordcha.bsky.social
@henriettalevin.bsky.social
@luissimonn.bsky.social
We’ll be live-posting key takeaways right here on Bluesky.
🔗 www.csis.org/events/impos...
What Are U.S. and NATO Views on China?
Speakers:
@victordcha.bsky.social
@henriettalevin.bsky.social
@luissimonn.bsky.social
We’ll be live-posting key takeaways right here on Bluesky.
🔗 www.csis.org/events/impos...
In this thread @tongfi-kim.bsky.social summarises superbly our latest article for @cspjournal.bsky.social
Open Access Article in @cspjournal.bsky.social by @luissimonn.bsky.social and me. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10..... THREAD. Many people who see this post (well, not so many) are probably familiar with wedge strategies, “a state’s attempt to prevent, break up, or weaken a threatening or blocking
Levels of division: How wedge strategies shape international and domestic politics
States often seek to undermine their competitors in order to obtain a favorable balance of power. Yet, the literature on how they actually do that remains sparse and disconnected. We focus on how a...
www.tandfonline.com
April 27, 2025 at 7:22 AM
In this thread @tongfi-kim.bsky.social summarises superbly our latest article for @cspjournal.bsky.social
Reposted by Luis Simón
Open Access Article in @cspjournal.bsky.social by @luissimonn.bsky.social and me. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10..... THREAD. Many people who see this post (well, not so many) are probably familiar with wedge strategies, “a state’s attempt to prevent, break up, or weaken a threatening or blocking
Levels of division: How wedge strategies shape international and domestic politics
States often seek to undermine their competitors in order to obtain a favorable balance of power. Yet, the literature on how they actually do that remains sparse and disconnected. We focus on how a...
www.tandfonline.com
April 24, 2025 at 11:52 AM
Open Access Article in @cspjournal.bsky.social by @luissimonn.bsky.social and me. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10..... THREAD. Many people who see this post (well, not so many) are probably familiar with wedge strategies, “a state’s attempt to prevent, break up, or weaken a threatening or blocking
Reposted by Luis Simón
‼️Brussels 360 Speakers‼️
Join us and Luis Simón (CSDS) on the #Brussels360 course to discuss and learn about US grand strategy and its effects on European security.
🐦 Apply by 23 April 2025 for early-bird fees!
Apply today🔸 csds.vub.be/executive-co... @luissimonn.bsky.social
Join us and Luis Simón (CSDS) on the #Brussels360 course to discuss and learn about US grand strategy and its effects on European security.
🐦 Apply by 23 April 2025 for early-bird fees!
Apply today🔸 csds.vub.be/executive-co... @luissimonn.bsky.social
April 9, 2025 at 12:57 PM
‼️Brussels 360 Speakers‼️
Join us and Luis Simón (CSDS) on the #Brussels360 course to discuss and learn about US grand strategy and its effects on European security.
🐦 Apply by 23 April 2025 for early-bird fees!
Apply today🔸 csds.vub.be/executive-co... @luissimonn.bsky.social
Join us and Luis Simón (CSDS) on the #Brussels360 course to discuss and learn about US grand strategy and its effects on European security.
🐦 Apply by 23 April 2025 for early-bird fees!
Apply today🔸 csds.vub.be/executive-co... @luissimonn.bsky.social
Check this out 👇👇👇
❗New In-Depth Paper❗
Capping a two-year NATO SPS project, we are absolutely delighted to publish our report entitled "Primed for Deterrence? NATO and the Indo-Pacific in the Age of Great Power Competition".
Read🔸 csds.vub.be/publication/...
Capping a two-year NATO SPS project, we are absolutely delighted to publish our report entitled "Primed for Deterrence? NATO and the Indo-Pacific in the Age of Great Power Competition".
Read🔸 csds.vub.be/publication/...
April 8, 2025 at 3:24 PM
Check this out 👇👇👇
What can Europeans do to strengthen deterrence should the U.S draw down its engagement in Europe? To find out listen to this terrific @csds.bsky.social podcast with @lotjeboswinkel.bsky.social @elieperot.bsky.social & @danielfiott.bsky.social
❗New Strategy Speaks Episode❗
In episode 14 of #StrategySpeaks, Lotje Boswinkel and Elie Perot join Daniel Fiott for a discussion about Europe's nuclear and conventional military deterrence.
Apple🔸
podcasts.apple.com/be/podcast/s...
Spotify🔸 creators.spotify.com/pod/show/csd...
In episode 14 of #StrategySpeaks, Lotje Boswinkel and Elie Perot join Daniel Fiott for a discussion about Europe's nuclear and conventional military deterrence.
Apple🔸
podcasts.apple.com/be/podcast/s...
Spotify🔸 creators.spotify.com/pod/show/csd...
April 5, 2025 at 12:32 PM
What can Europeans do to strengthen deterrence should the U.S draw down its engagement in Europe? To find out listen to this terrific @csds.bsky.social podcast with @lotjeboswinkel.bsky.social @elieperot.bsky.social & @danielfiott.bsky.social
Reposted by Luis Simón
First and most importantly: I am immensely, immensely grateful to @kienzle.bsky.social and @rgwhitman.bsky.social for their incredible support - from the research proposal to the viva. They were true supervisor superheroes and I learned so much from them!
April 1, 2025 at 11:03 AM
First and most importantly: I am immensely, immensely grateful to @kienzle.bsky.social and @rgwhitman.bsky.social for their incredible support - from the research proposal to the viva. They were true supervisor superheroes and I learned so much from them!
Wondering what this debate about France’s nuclear umbrella is all about: check out this excellent piece by @elieperot.bsky.social on the opportunities and limitations
❗New CSDS Policy Brief❗
"Revisiting Deterrence: Towards a French Nuclear Umbrella Over Europe?", by Elie Perot.
Read🔸 csds.vub.be/publication/... @elieperot.bsky.social
"Revisiting Deterrence: Towards a French Nuclear Umbrella Over Europe?", by Elie Perot.
Read🔸 csds.vub.be/publication/... @elieperot.bsky.social
March 20, 2025 at 8:36 AM
Wondering what this debate about France’s nuclear umbrella is all about: check out this excellent piece by @elieperot.bsky.social on the opportunities and limitations
Must-read piece by @lotjeboswinkel.bsky.social for @warontherocks.bsky.social on why the European allies must step up their long range strike game
cc: @csds.bsky.social
warontherocks.com/2025/03/euro...
cc: @csds.bsky.social
warontherocks.com/2025/03/euro...
Europe, Deterrence, and Long-Range Strike - War on the Rocks
It turns out Europe’s favorite American import isn’t fast food or Netflix. It’s missiles, and Europe needs to start making its own. Eight weeks into the
warontherocks.com
March 20, 2025 at 7:58 AM
Must-read piece by @lotjeboswinkel.bsky.social for @warontherocks.bsky.social on why the European allies must step up their long range strike game
cc: @csds.bsky.social
warontherocks.com/2025/03/euro...
cc: @csds.bsky.social
warontherocks.com/2025/03/euro...
Reposted by Luis Simón
❗Executive Course❗
3 days. 16 hours. Geopolitics. Policy. Technology.
Join us in June 2025 for our new "Brussels 360" executive course! Your unique learning and networking opportunity in Brussels! #Brussels360
Apply now🔸 csds.vub.be/brussels-360/
3 days. 16 hours. Geopolitics. Policy. Technology.
Join us in June 2025 for our new "Brussels 360" executive course! Your unique learning and networking opportunity in Brussels! #Brussels360
Apply now🔸 csds.vub.be/brussels-360/
February 19, 2025 at 10:13 AM
❗Executive Course❗
3 days. 16 hours. Geopolitics. Policy. Technology.
Join us in June 2025 for our new "Brussels 360" executive course! Your unique learning and networking opportunity in Brussels! #Brussels360
Apply now🔸 csds.vub.be/brussels-360/
3 days. 16 hours. Geopolitics. Policy. Technology.
Join us in June 2025 for our new "Brussels 360" executive course! Your unique learning and networking opportunity in Brussels! #Brussels360
Apply now🔸 csds.vub.be/brussels-360/
Reposted by Luis Simón
La guerra en Ucrania y un EEUU cada vez más distante de la seguridad europea obliga a renovar esfuerzos en la industria de defensa europea y España tendrá que contribuir a su desarrollo.
✍️ Félix Arteaga @danielfiott.bsky.social @luissimonn.bsky.social
www.realinstitutoelcano.org/analisis/a-p...
✍️ Félix Arteaga @danielfiott.bsky.social @luissimonn.bsky.social
www.realinstitutoelcano.org/analisis/a-p...
¿A por todas? El renacer industrial de la defensa española y europea
España necesita un enfoque estratégico para reestructurar su base industrial de defensa en un contexto geopolítico deteriorado.
www.realinstitutoelcano.org
February 25, 2025 at 12:10 PM
La guerra en Ucrania y un EEUU cada vez más distante de la seguridad europea obliga a renovar esfuerzos en la industria de defensa europea y España tendrá que contribuir a su desarrollo.
✍️ Félix Arteaga @danielfiott.bsky.social @luissimonn.bsky.social
www.realinstitutoelcano.org/analisis/a-p...
✍️ Félix Arteaga @danielfiott.bsky.social @luissimonn.bsky.social
www.realinstitutoelcano.org/analisis/a-p...
Reposted by Luis Simón
El 27/02, 12 h., Charles Powell modera la mesa redonda de @rielcano.bsky.social "¿Hacia dónde va la guerra en Ucrania?" con Félix Arteaga, Carlota G. Encina, Mira Milosevich, Miguel Otero y @luissimonn.bsky.social.
#GuerraUcrania2025
Todos los detalles ⤵️
www.realinstitutoelcano.org/actividades/...
#GuerraUcrania2025
Todos los detalles ⤵️
www.realinstitutoelcano.org/actividades/...
Mesa redonda ‘‘¿Hacia dónde va la guerra en Ucrania?’’
La guerra en Ucrania cumple tres años en una fase crítica, con esfuerzos diplomáticos para lograr un alto el fuego.
www.realinstitutoelcano.org
February 24, 2025 at 3:58 PM
El 27/02, 12 h., Charles Powell modera la mesa redonda de @rielcano.bsky.social "¿Hacia dónde va la guerra en Ucrania?" con Félix Arteaga, Carlota G. Encina, Mira Milosevich, Miguel Otero y @luissimonn.bsky.social.
#GuerraUcrania2025
Todos los detalles ⤵️
www.realinstitutoelcano.org/actividades/...
#GuerraUcrania2025
Todos los detalles ⤵️
www.realinstitutoelcano.org/actividades/...
Reposted by Luis Simón
Happy to share this new publication! 📖 I received the new Oxford Handbook of NATO in the mail yesterday morning 📚
@luissimonn.bsky.social and I have a chapter on NATO's adaptation between 2014-2022, titled 'forward deployment and reassurance.' (1/2)
@luissimonn.bsky.social and I have a chapter on NATO's adaptation between 2014-2022, titled 'forward deployment and reassurance.' (1/2)
February 20, 2025 at 8:24 AM
Happy to share this new publication! 📖 I received the new Oxford Handbook of NATO in the mail yesterday morning 📚
@luissimonn.bsky.social and I have a chapter on NATO's adaptation between 2014-2022, titled 'forward deployment and reassurance.' (1/2)
@luissimonn.bsky.social and I have a chapter on NATO's adaptation between 2014-2022, titled 'forward deployment and reassurance.' (1/2)
Reposted by Luis Simón
❗Podcast❗
Our Director Luis Simón recently appeared on "The Insider" podcast by War on the Rocks. He discussed his recent piece for WoTR on the "axis of upheaval".
Listen🔸 warontherocks.com/episode/the-... @luissimonn.bsky.social @warontherocks.bsky.social
Our Director Luis Simón recently appeared on "The Insider" podcast by War on the Rocks. He discussed his recent piece for WoTR on the "axis of upheaval".
Listen🔸 warontherocks.com/episode/the-... @luissimonn.bsky.social @warontherocks.bsky.social
February 14, 2025 at 7:58 AM
❗Podcast❗
Our Director Luis Simón recently appeared on "The Insider" podcast by War on the Rocks. He discussed his recent piece for WoTR on the "axis of upheaval".
Listen🔸 warontherocks.com/episode/the-... @luissimonn.bsky.social @warontherocks.bsky.social
Our Director Luis Simón recently appeared on "The Insider" podcast by War on the Rocks. He discussed his recent piece for WoTR on the "axis of upheaval".
Listen🔸 warontherocks.com/episode/the-... @luissimonn.bsky.social @warontherocks.bsky.social
Reposted by Luis Simón
❗New Analysis❗
Writing in War on the Rocks, our Director Luis Simón reflects on how the Trump administration may deal with the "Axis of Upheaval". An extremely timely read for our followers.
Read🔸 warontherocks.com/2025/01/the-... @luissimonn.bsky.social @warontherocks.bsky.social
Writing in War on the Rocks, our Director Luis Simón reflects on how the Trump administration may deal with the "Axis of Upheaval". An extremely timely read for our followers.
Read🔸 warontherocks.com/2025/01/the-... @luissimonn.bsky.social @warontherocks.bsky.social
January 29, 2025 at 3:25 PM
❗New Analysis❗
Writing in War on the Rocks, our Director Luis Simón reflects on how the Trump administration may deal with the "Axis of Upheaval". An extremely timely read for our followers.
Read🔸 warontherocks.com/2025/01/the-... @luissimonn.bsky.social @warontherocks.bsky.social
Writing in War on the Rocks, our Director Luis Simón reflects on how the Trump administration may deal with the "Axis of Upheaval". An extremely timely read for our followers.
Read🔸 warontherocks.com/2025/01/the-... @luissimonn.bsky.social @warontherocks.bsky.social