Lucas Myers
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lucasdeanemyers.bsky.social
Lucas Myers
@lucasdeanemyers.bsky.social
Analyst of ASEAN, China, and the Indo-Pacific. All views are my own
Check out @hmarston.bsky.social and I in @foreignpolicy.com, where we analyze Sec. Hegseth's Shangri-La speech and the admin's Indo-Pacific policy.

Is this the presidency for the pivot to finally happen? Spoiler: like the MN Vikings, it's probably not our year.

foreignpolicy.com/2025/06/10/h...
Hegseth Fails to Reassure Asian Allies at Shangri-La
Confrontational rhetoric combined with uncertain commitments raise fears of abandonment in Southeast Asia.
foreignpolicy.com
June 11, 2025 at 1:57 PM
Reposted by Lucas Myers
"Trump officials, including Hegseth, continue to refer to the Indo-Pacific as Washington’s “priority theater.” Yet it is clear that the administration’s attention is elsewhere." My latest with @lucasdeanemyers.bsky.social @foreignpolicy.com: foreignpolicy.com/2025/06/10/h...
Hegseth Fails to Reassure Asian Allies at Shangri-La
Confrontational rhetoric combined with uncertain commitments raise fears of abandonment in Southeast Asia.
foreignpolicy.com
June 10, 2025 at 8:42 PM
Xi Jinping finally meets with Min Aung Hlaing in Moscow. The SAC finally got its wish and a big photo op. Meanwhile, on the ground in Myanmar, the resistance continues to hammer the junta. China's pragmatism in Myanmar is long gone:
english.news.cn/20250509/d55...
Urgent: Xi meets Myanmar leader Min Aung Hlaing
english.news.cn
May 9, 2025 at 4:29 PM
China's role in Myanmar is clearly to stop the resistance from overthrowing the SAC. Beijing is fine with EAO controlled periphery, but does not seem to be willing to abide any threat to the Tatmadaw's political role.

www.irrawaddy.com/news/myanmar...
Chinese Envoy in Lashio to Broker Return of Myanmar Military
Frustration mounts among locals as Deng Xijun personally supervises the handover of the northern Shan State capital from the MNDAA to junta forces.
www.irrawaddy.com
April 22, 2025 at 1:49 PM
The people of Myanmar are facing a multitude of unimaginable crises. Last Friday's earthquake is only the latest tragedy
March 31, 2025 at 3:16 PM
Reposted by Lucas Myers
"The humanitarian situation in #Myanmar was already dire, and the earthquake only adds to a number of crises across the country." Learn more in this #NeedToKnow with @indopacificprogram.bsky.social's @lucasdeanemyers.bsky.social. buff.ly/YsyfHsu
Myanmar’s Junta and the 2026 Elections: A Fig Leaf for Legitimacy?
NOTE: This interview was recorded before the 7.7 magnitude earthquake struck Myanmar and Thailand on Friday, March 28. Please see the statement from our guest, Lucas Myers, which follows the episode…
buff.ly
March 31, 2025 at 3:14 PM
New article with @Diplomat_APAC assessing whether Indonesia's hedging strategy has changed under President Prabowo. Verdict: It's still "free" (hedging) but perhaps a bit more "active":

thediplomat.com/2025/03/indo...
Indonesia’s Foreign Policy Under Prabowo: Still Free But More Active?
President Prabowo’s foreign policy thus far paints a picture of continuity – but there are a few longer-term issues to watch regarding China and ASEAN.
thediplomat.com
March 19, 2025 at 5:08 PM
Colleagues and I at @indopacificprogram.bsky.social co-authored a report calling for "Reset" in the Indo-Pacific.

This past November was a change election, and the Trump administration should hit the reset button on US foreign policy in the Indo-Pacific.

www.wilsoncenter.org/publication/...
Hitting the Reset Button in the Indo-Pacific
www.wilsoncenter.org
January 13, 2025 at 5:27 PM