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@linesdown.bsky.social
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Economic indicators for the left.
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US freight activity
Cass Freight Index (SA) Shipments 2010 2015 Expenditures 2010 2015 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.0 0.9 2020 2025 4.5 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 2020 2025 The Daily Shot*
November 14, 2025 at 2:33 PM
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US bankruptcy filings from S&P
US bankruptcy filings by year •Year-to-date through October Rest of the year 1,000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 828 634 586 639 687 655 558 576 634 589 524 520 518 471 405 372 2010 2011 2012 201320142015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Includes S&P Global Market Intelligence-covered US companies that announced a bankruptcy between Jan. 1, 2010, and Oct. 31, 2025. US bankruptcy filings by month 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Jan. 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Data compiled Nov. 4, 2025. Includes S&P Global Market Intelligence-covered US companies that announced a bankruptcy between Jan. 1, 2020, and Oct. 31, 2025. S&P Global Market Intelligence's bankruptcy coverage is limited to public companies or private companies with public debt where either assets or liabilities at the time of the bankruptcy filing are greater than or equal to $2 million, or private companies where either assets or liabilities at the time of the bankruptcy filing are greater than or equal to $10 million. Involuntary
November 14, 2025 at 2:30 PM
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The 2025 International Energy Agency World Energy Outlook has been released
Electricity generation in the Current Policies Scenario and Stated Policies Scenario, 2015-2035
November 12, 2025 at 9:36 PM
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Incredible things are happening in Canada
November 12, 2025 at 6:20 PM
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Gah!
Germany has been running a deficit in capital goods with China since the start of this year Trade in investment goods, rolling 12-month surplus/deficit (Emn) 1500 1000 500 -500 2010 2015 2020 2025 FINANCIAL TIMES Source: Destatis
November 12, 2025 at 3:30 PM
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US job openings and unemployment
— NFIB Survey: Current Job Openings - Unemployment Rate (Inv.) 0% 50 2% 40 4% 30 6% 20V 8% 10 10% 2010 2015 2020 2025 — NFIB Survey: Current Job Openings - JOLTs Job Openings 12000 50 10000 40 30 W 4! 5000 6000 20V 4000 10 2000 2010 2015 2020 2025 The Daily Shot®
November 12, 2025 at 3:05 PM
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Car loan delinquencies
Americans Behind on Car Payments Hit Record Subprime borrowers late on auto loans reach highest since 1994 / Delinquent subprime auto loans 7.00% 4.00 3.00 2.00 2019 2020 2021 2022 Source: Fitch Auto ABS Indices 2023 2024 2025 Bloomberg
November 12, 2025 at 3:01 PM
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Oof
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index: Expectations 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 1960 Nov Expectations: 49.0 (50.3 est.) 1980 2000 2020 The Daily Shot"
November 10, 2025 at 2:52 PM
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UMichigan Consumer sentiment
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index
November 10, 2025 at 2:49 PM
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US government shutdowns are generally blamed on the party in power so I’m not sure what the plan is here
*Walter Bloomberg • @DeItaone • 50m BESSENT SAYS IMPACT OF GOVT SHUTDOWN ON ECONOMY IS GETTING 'WORSE AND WORSE' 33 {7 46 381 ıll 43K ↑ *Walter Bloomberg • @DeItaone • 51m U.S. TRANSPORTATION SECRETARY DUFFY SAYS AIR TRAVEL WILL BE REDUCED TO A TRICKLE
November 9, 2025 at 3:27 PM
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Can someone explain the lure of cruises to me?
Cruise Intent - Quarterly Percentages Percentage of upcoming travelers planning a cruise vacation 26 25 24 23 22 21 20 23% 23% 22% 22% 21% 20% 02-24 Q1-24 Q3-24 Q4-24 Q1-25 Q2-25 Percentage planning a cruise vacation 13,455 responses from 01/01/2024 to 11/05/2025 Percentage of upcoming travelers planning a cruise vacation, excluding 'not sure' and 'other" Weighted by U.S. Census 18+ © CivicScience 2025 24% Q3-25 26% Q4-25 CIVIC SCIENCE
November 8, 2025 at 12:17 AM
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With US official labor data stopped, people are piecing together data on employment
US Continuing Claims
November 7, 2025 at 10:39 PM
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Bloomberg: “Layoffs for Any October Highest Since 2003”
Warehousing and technology sectors led last month's surge • October job-cut announcements
November 6, 2025 at 9:12 PM
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Neat
'Jenga Tower' US Economy Teeters as Middle Class Pulls Back Spending J! 125 While the cost of living isn't going up nearly as fast as it did in 2022, consumer prices are still up 27% since the onset of the pandemic. Photographer: Spencer Platt/Getty Images By Catarina Saraiva and Jaewon Kang Updated on November 6, 2025 10:14 AM The surprising resilience of the US economy this year is masking underlying weakness among low-and middle-income households, as higher-income Americans continue to drive growth. This dichotomy between the haves and have-nots isn't new, but the economic strain is now bleeding from the lowest earners to the middle class, creating an even starker divide that some economists say makes the economy more susceptible to a downturn. The richest 10% of households are fueling nearly half of total US spending, thanks to a stock market surge that has boosted wealth and in turn propelled economic output this year. Meanwhile, lower-income families are pulling back in the face of tight budgets, still-high living costs and a raft of corporate layoffs. Executives at companies like Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc., Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. and Ethan Allen Interiors Inc. have cited the trend in recent earnings calls, and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said officials are carefully watching signs of a bifurcated economy after the central bank lowered interest rates last week. "I feel like our economy today resembles a top-heavy Jenga tower," said Peter Atwater, the economist who, in 2020, popularized the idea of a "K-shaped" economy, where the well off are on an upward track and the less fortunate experience further declines. In the popular Jenga game, wooden blocks are stacked and then carefully removed by players until the tower becomes too fragile and collapses. The reference is apt as the stock market surges to fresh highs even as hiring stalls and layoffs creep up. Confidence Sinking Among US Lower-Income Earners By contrast, wealthier households are upbeat as stock market rallies • $25k-34k • $35k-49k $200k and above n. 2021 2022 2023 2024 Source: The Conference Board Note: Data for $200k-plus available only for 2025 140 level 120 100 80 60 2025 Oct. 2025 Bloomberg
November 6, 2025 at 8:24 PM
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And Altman too conversationswithtyler.com/episodes/sam...
ALTMAN: At some level, when something gets sufficiently huge, whether or not they are on paper, the federal government is kind of the insurer of last resort, as we've seen in various financial crises and insurance companies screwing things up. I guess, given the magnitude of what I expect Al economic impact to look like, I do think the government ends up as the insurer of last resort, but I think I mean that in a different way than you mean that, and I don't expect them to actually be writing the policies in the way that maybe they do for nuclear.
November 5, 2025 at 9:53 PM
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Length of government shutdowns in the US
35 days 30 days 25 days 20 days 15 days 10 days 5 days O days Oct 2025 Dec 2018 Jan 2018 Oct 2013 The Daily Shot. Dec 1995 Nov 1995 Oct 1990 Dec 1987( Length of US Government Shutdowns Sept 1982 mN / 1981 Sept 1979 Sept 1978 Nov 1977 Oct 1977 Sept 1977 Sept 1976
November 5, 2025 at 3:21 PM
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Average dem voter tonight
November 5, 2025 at 5:09 AM
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Cardboard box recession
November 4, 2025 at 11:39 PM
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It’s a tech stock market
Tech Driving US Stock Market Gains Equal-weighted index's struggle shows tech's outsized impact / S&P 500 / S&P 500 Equal Weighted Nasdaq 100 30% 20 10 -10 -20 viar May JUl Sep 2024 2025 Source: Bloomberg Data is normalized with percentage appreciation as of November 5, 2024. Bloomberg
November 2, 2025 at 11:33 PM
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In 2023 the corporate world started talking about AI and they haven’t stopped
S&P 500 Transcript Analyzer: "Artificial Intelligence" Rolling 3-Month Sum
October 31, 2025 at 3:49 PM
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And now the Q&A
October 29, 2025 at 7:09 PM
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Note where Powell starts speaking
S&P 500 goes DOWN
October 29, 2025 at 6:43 PM
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Good morning
China Dominates Mined Production of Rare Earths 400 thousand metric tons | China 69% 300 200 100 US China Myanmar Thailand Nigeria Australia US Others 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2024
October 27, 2025 at 2:02 PM
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The radicalization of normies. Reminds me of this sign during BLM
Man holds sign that says “a life for a life, immediate decapitation”
October 26, 2025 at 7:44 PM
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Annualized change in food prices from today’s inflation report
CPI Select Food Items (3M Annualized Percent Change) Lunchmeats Coffee Beef And Veal Fresh Vegetables Cookies Frozen Fruits and Vegetables Candy and Chewing Gum Canned Fruits Snacks Milk Pork Canned Vegetables Bread Rice, Pasta, Cornmeal Butter Fresh Fish and Seafood Carbonated Drinks Processed Fish and Seafood Breakfast Cereals Spices, Seasonings, Condiments Nonfrozen Noncarbonated Juices Cheese and Related Products Frozen & Freeze Dried Prepared Baby Food Fresh Fruit Chicken Ice Cream and Related Products Soups Dried Beans Peas & Lentils Peanut Butter Eggs 7.1% 6.2% 6.0% 5.8% 5.6% 5.1% 2.7% 2.2% 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% -0.3% -0.6% -1.4% -2.1% -2.8% -2.8% -3.1% -3.1% -3.6% -3.6% -3.7% -3.8% -7.2% -8.5% 27.4% 25.9% 23.7% 18.1% 13.7% -29.8% -40% -20% 0% 20%
October 24, 2025 at 1:25 PM