Laurie Laybourn
@laurielaybourn.bsky.social
How do we navigate uncharted climate territory? Lead: www.scri.org.uk
Researcher at Chatham House, IPPR, University of Exeter
Researcher at Chatham House, IPPR, University of Exeter
If it takes a village to raise a child, it takes a city to make a documentary...
In this final bonus post, read about the people, articles, books, and films that helped and inspired us as we made @overshootpod.bsky.social👇
In this final bonus post, read about the people, articles, books, and films that helped and inspired us as we made @overshootpod.bsky.social👇
November 25, 2025 at 7:48 AM
If it takes a village to raise a child, it takes a city to make a documentary...
In this final bonus post, read about the people, articles, books, and films that helped and inspired us as we made @overshootpod.bsky.social👇
In this final bonus post, read about the people, articles, books, and films that helped and inspired us as we made @overshootpod.bsky.social👇
In summer 1945, the UK prime minister wrote an extraordinarily prescient memo about the strategic consequences of the atomic bomb
Eighty years later, as a new climate reality dawns, something similar needs to happen
Read my latest @overshootpod.bsky.social bonus essay👇
Eighty years later, as a new climate reality dawns, something similar needs to happen
Read my latest @overshootpod.bsky.social bonus essay👇
November 19, 2025 at 3:44 PM
In summer 1945, the UK prime minister wrote an extraordinarily prescient memo about the strategic consequences of the atomic bomb
Eighty years later, as a new climate reality dawns, something similar needs to happen
Read my latest @overshootpod.bsky.social bonus essay👇
Eighty years later, as a new climate reality dawns, something similar needs to happen
Read my latest @overshootpod.bsky.social bonus essay👇
In 1992, the English Premier League was founded and governments promised to avoid 'dangerous' climate change
One of those things didn't work out
Our next @overshootpod.bsky.social bonus essay delves deeper into carbon removals and explores why net-zero might be the most dangerous moment in history
One of those things didn't work out
Our next @overshootpod.bsky.social bonus essay delves deeper into carbon removals and explores why net-zero might be the most dangerous moment in history
November 6, 2025 at 10:53 AM
In 1992, the English Premier League was founded and governments promised to avoid 'dangerous' climate change
One of those things didn't work out
Our next @overshootpod.bsky.social bonus essay delves deeper into carbon removals and explores why net-zero might be the most dangerous moment in history
One of those things didn't work out
Our next @overshootpod.bsky.social bonus essay delves deeper into carbon removals and explores why net-zero might be the most dangerous moment in history
Derailment shows that adaptation can't be seen as separate or even contradictory to decarbonisation
Spiralling climate impacts require more adaptation
But this can be done in a way that accelerates decarbonisation, reinforcing climate action even as climate consequences spiral
Spiralling climate impacts require more adaptation
But this can be done in a way that accelerates decarbonisation, reinforcing climate action even as climate consequences spiral
October 28, 2025 at 8:21 AM
Derailment shows that adaptation can't be seen as separate or even contradictory to decarbonisation
Spiralling climate impacts require more adaptation
But this can be done in a way that accelerates decarbonisation, reinforcing climate action even as climate consequences spiral
Spiralling climate impacts require more adaptation
But this can be done in a way that accelerates decarbonisation, reinforcing climate action even as climate consequences spiral
We call it 'derailment' as the prevailing assumption that the world has closed off temperature pathways above ~3°C cannot be held with much confidence when considering feedback loops
Instead, the world could be 'derailed' from these pathways by vicious cycles in societies (as well as in nature)
Instead, the world could be 'derailed' from these pathways by vicious cycles in societies (as well as in nature)
October 28, 2025 at 8:21 AM
We call it 'derailment' as the prevailing assumption that the world has closed off temperature pathways above ~3°C cannot be held with much confidence when considering feedback loops
Instead, the world could be 'derailed' from these pathways by vicious cycles in societies (as well as in nature)
Instead, the world could be 'derailed' from these pathways by vicious cycles in societies (as well as in nature)
But the Spanish example shows that the opposite can also occur
Climate impacts could create anger and confusion, which is exploited to delay climate action
Impacts could also crowd out resources that would otherwise be used for climate action
We call these vicious cycles: derailment risk
Climate impacts could create anger and confusion, which is exploited to delay climate action
Impacts could also crowd out resources that would otherwise be used for climate action
We call these vicious cycles: derailment risk
October 28, 2025 at 8:21 AM
But the Spanish example shows that the opposite can also occur
Climate impacts could create anger and confusion, which is exploited to delay climate action
Impacts could also crowd out resources that would otherwise be used for climate action
We call these vicious cycles: derailment risk
Climate impacts could create anger and confusion, which is exploited to delay climate action
Impacts could also crowd out resources that would otherwise be used for climate action
We call these vicious cycles: derailment risk
It is often hoped that, as the world overshoots 1.5C and climate consequences escalate, virtuous cycles will reinforce climate action
Worsening impacts will act as a 'wake up', spurring more action
Producing more green tech makes it cheaper, spurring demand and more production
This is happening
Worsening impacts will act as a 'wake up', spurring more action
Producing more green tech makes it cheaper, spurring demand and more production
This is happening
October 28, 2025 at 8:21 AM
It is often hoped that, as the world overshoots 1.5C and climate consequences escalate, virtuous cycles will reinforce climate action
Worsening impacts will act as a 'wake up', spurring more action
Producing more green tech makes it cheaper, spurring demand and more production
This is happening
Worsening impacts will act as a 'wake up', spurring more action
Producing more green tech makes it cheaper, spurring demand and more production
This is happening
Often, climate action is spoken about in one-way relationships
Action is needed to reduce the adverse impacts of climate change, with decarbonisation tackling the problem at root and adaptation increasing resilience to inevitable shocks
In turn, these actions have consequences, changing society
Action is needed to reduce the adverse impacts of climate change, with decarbonisation tackling the problem at root and adaptation increasing resilience to inevitable shocks
In turn, these actions have consequences, changing society
October 28, 2025 at 8:21 AM
Often, climate action is spoken about in one-way relationships
Action is needed to reduce the adverse impacts of climate change, with decarbonisation tackling the problem at root and adaptation increasing resilience to inevitable shocks
In turn, these actions have consequences, changing society
Action is needed to reduce the adverse impacts of climate change, with decarbonisation tackling the problem at root and adaptation increasing resilience to inevitable shocks
In turn, these actions have consequences, changing society
Episode 5 of 𝗢𝘃𝗲𝗿𝘀𝗵𝗼𝗼𝘁: 𝗡𝗮𝘃𝗶𝗴𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗮 𝘄𝗼𝗿𝗹𝗱 𝗯𝗲𝘆𝗼𝗻𝗱 𝟭.𝟱°𝗖 is out!
As the world heads over 1.5°C, what's the strategy?
In front of a live audience, we explore what 1.5°C overshoot means for geopolitics, the law & more
Spotify open.spotify.com/episode/547f...
Apple podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/o...
As the world heads over 1.5°C, what's the strategy?
In front of a live audience, we explore what 1.5°C overshoot means for geopolitics, the law & more
Spotify open.spotify.com/episode/547f...
Apple podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/o...
October 27, 2025 at 8:57 AM
Episode 5 of 𝗢𝘃𝗲𝗿𝘀𝗵𝗼𝗼𝘁: 𝗡𝗮𝘃𝗶𝗴𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗮 𝘄𝗼𝗿𝗹𝗱 𝗯𝗲𝘆𝗼𝗻𝗱 𝟭.𝟱°𝗖 is out!
As the world heads over 1.5°C, what's the strategy?
In front of a live audience, we explore what 1.5°C overshoot means for geopolitics, the law & more
Spotify open.spotify.com/episode/547f...
Apple podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/o...
As the world heads over 1.5°C, what's the strategy?
In front of a live audience, we explore what 1.5°C overshoot means for geopolitics, the law & more
Spotify open.spotify.com/episode/547f...
Apple podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/o...
📢 The 4th episode of @overshootpod.bsky.social is out now!
Last year, Spain was hit by one of the worst disasters in its history
It was driven by climate change
But it ended up boosting climate deniers...
How can the world stop this from happening again?
Listen now: overshootpod.com
Last year, Spain was hit by one of the worst disasters in its history
It was driven by climate change
But it ended up boosting climate deniers...
How can the world stop this from happening again?
Listen now: overshootpod.com
October 20, 2025 at 8:37 AM
📢 The 4th episode of @overshootpod.bsky.social is out now!
Last year, Spain was hit by one of the worst disasters in its history
It was driven by climate change
But it ended up boosting climate deniers...
How can the world stop this from happening again?
Listen now: overshootpod.com
Last year, Spain was hit by one of the worst disasters in its history
It was driven by climate change
But it ended up boosting climate deniers...
How can the world stop this from happening again?
Listen now: overshootpod.com
Thanks for listening @thetimes.com!
Great to see @overshootpod.bsky.social featured in this week's Times Environment newsletter
Great to see @overshootpod.bsky.social featured in this week's Times Environment newsletter
October 14, 2025 at 11:16 AM
Thanks for listening @thetimes.com!
Great to see @overshootpod.bsky.social featured in this week's Times Environment newsletter
Great to see @overshootpod.bsky.social featured in this week's Times Environment newsletter
October 11, 2025 at 8:59 AM
Interested in immersive, surprising stories?
Listen to 𝗢𝘃𝗲𝗿𝘀𝗵𝗼𝗼𝘁: 𝗡𝗮𝘃𝗶𝗴𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗮 𝘄𝗼𝗿𝗹𝗱 𝗯𝗲𝘆𝗼𝗻𝗱 𝟭.𝟱°𝗖
I'm humbled with the positive reception, which includes scientists, novelists, politicians, activists👇
Visit: www.overshootpod.com
Follow: @overshootpod.bsky.social
Listen to 𝗢𝘃𝗲𝗿𝘀𝗵𝗼𝗼𝘁: 𝗡𝗮𝘃𝗶𝗴𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗮 𝘄𝗼𝗿𝗹𝗱 𝗯𝗲𝘆𝗼𝗻𝗱 𝟭.𝟱°𝗖
I'm humbled with the positive reception, which includes scientists, novelists, politicians, activists👇
Visit: www.overshootpod.com
Follow: @overshootpod.bsky.social
October 10, 2025 at 9:27 AM
Interested in immersive, surprising stories?
Listen to 𝗢𝘃𝗲𝗿𝘀𝗵𝗼𝗼𝘁: 𝗡𝗮𝘃𝗶𝗴𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗮 𝘄𝗼𝗿𝗹𝗱 𝗯𝗲𝘆𝗼𝗻𝗱 𝟭.𝟱°𝗖
I'm humbled with the positive reception, which includes scientists, novelists, politicians, activists👇
Visit: www.overshootpod.com
Follow: @overshootpod.bsky.social
Listen to 𝗢𝘃𝗲𝗿𝘀𝗵𝗼𝗼𝘁: 𝗡𝗮𝘃𝗶𝗴𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗮 𝘄𝗼𝗿𝗹𝗱 𝗯𝗲𝘆𝗼𝗻𝗱 𝟭.𝟱°𝗖
I'm humbled with the positive reception, which includes scientists, novelists, politicians, activists👇
Visit: www.overshootpod.com
Follow: @overshootpod.bsky.social
“An essential guide to a critical issue. Please tune in.”
- @georgemonbiot.bsky.social
Listen to the trailer on overshootpod.com and follow @overshootpod.bsky.social
Episode 1 coming soon
- @georgemonbiot.bsky.social
Listen to the trailer on overshootpod.com and follow @overshootpod.bsky.social
Episode 1 coming soon
October 2, 2025 at 9:32 AM
“An essential guide to a critical issue. Please tune in.”
- @georgemonbiot.bsky.social
Listen to the trailer on overshootpod.com and follow @overshootpod.bsky.social
Episode 1 coming soon
- @georgemonbiot.bsky.social
Listen to the trailer on overshootpod.com and follow @overshootpod.bsky.social
Episode 1 coming soon
But someone will say, "You have faith; I have deeds.” Show me your faith without deeds, and I will show you my faith by my deeds.
January 21, 2025 at 5:22 PM
But someone will say, "You have faith; I have deeds.” Show me your faith without deeds, and I will show you my faith by my deeds.
Good to see our @climate-risk.bsky.social report on climate blind spots in national security mentioned in the UK parliament recently.
Climate-induced threats have been consistently and significantly underestimated and now pose major security risks
Read the report here: www.ippr.org/articles/sec...
Climate-induced threats have been consistently and significantly underestimated and now pose major security risks
Read the report here: www.ippr.org/articles/sec...
January 10, 2025 at 5:21 PM
Good to see our @climate-risk.bsky.social report on climate blind spots in national security mentioned in the UK parliament recently.
Climate-induced threats have been consistently and significantly underestimated and now pose major security risks
Read the report here: www.ippr.org/articles/sec...
Climate-induced threats have been consistently and significantly underestimated and now pose major security risks
Read the report here: www.ippr.org/articles/sec...
The derailment doom loop playing out...
Musk: climate change effects are only bad because of regulation & govt, so we need deregulation & reduction in govt capacity
Consequence: places become more vulnerable (and emissions go up), leading to worse climate impacts, which justify more Trumpism
Musk: climate change effects are only bad because of regulation & govt, so we need deregulation & reduction in govt capacity
Consequence: places become more vulnerable (and emissions go up), leading to worse climate impacts, which justify more Trumpism
January 10, 2025 at 11:51 AM
The derailment doom loop playing out...
Musk: climate change effects are only bad because of regulation & govt, so we need deregulation & reduction in govt capacity
Consequence: places become more vulnerable (and emissions go up), leading to worse climate impacts, which justify more Trumpism
Musk: climate change effects are only bad because of regulation & govt, so we need deregulation & reduction in govt capacity
Consequence: places become more vulnerable (and emissions go up), leading to worse climate impacts, which justify more Trumpism
We're in a new climate reality
January 10, 2025 at 8:47 AM
We're in a new climate reality
An increasingly climate-destabilised world could spur greater action, as the enormity of the problem is more widely felt
But it could also derail action, as we become distracted and overwhelmed by compounding shocks & counter-productive reactions
In reality, it'll be a complex combination of both
But it could also derail action, as we become distracted and overwhelmed by compounding shocks & counter-productive reactions
In reality, it'll be a complex combination of both
December 19, 2024 at 10:29 AM
An increasingly climate-destabilised world could spur greater action, as the enormity of the problem is more widely felt
But it could also derail action, as we become distracted and overwhelmed by compounding shocks & counter-productive reactions
In reality, it'll be a complex combination of both
But it could also derail action, as we become distracted and overwhelmed by compounding shocks & counter-productive reactions
In reality, it'll be a complex combination of both
The new reality doesn’t mean it’s ‘game over’, that the world has ‘lost’ the fight against climate change.
Much is and will increasingly be lost, of course.
But binary thinking - manifest in the win/lose climate narratives that we often hear - isn't appropriate for what is now happening.
Much is and will increasingly be lost, of course.
But binary thinking - manifest in the win/lose climate narratives that we often hear - isn't appropriate for what is now happening.
December 19, 2024 at 10:29 AM
The new reality doesn’t mean it’s ‘game over’, that the world has ‘lost’ the fight against climate change.
Much is and will increasingly be lost, of course.
But binary thinking - manifest in the win/lose climate narratives that we often hear - isn't appropriate for what is now happening.
Much is and will increasingly be lost, of course.
But binary thinking - manifest in the win/lose climate narratives that we often hear - isn't appropriate for what is now happening.
On the other hand, climate impacts are hitting at the harder/soonest end of what was expected. Destabilising consequences are accelerating, from inflation to fear. The 1.5C goal will soon be lost. The era of globally-dangerous, non-linear climate consequences has begun...
December 19, 2024 at 10:29 AM
On the other hand, climate impacts are hitting at the harder/soonest end of what was expected. Destabilising consequences are accelerating, from inflation to fear. The 1.5C goal will soon be lost. The era of globally-dangerous, non-linear climate consequences has begun...
On the one hand, climate action is speeding up
Decades of clean energy investments are paying off. The rollout of renewables is reaching exponential levels, beating fossil sources around the world
Climate activism now extends from board rooms and courtrooms to cabinet tables and kitchen tables.
Decades of clean energy investments are paying off. The rollout of renewables is reaching exponential levels, beating fossil sources around the world
Climate activism now extends from board rooms and courtrooms to cabinet tables and kitchen tables.
December 19, 2024 at 10:29 AM
On the one hand, climate action is speeding up
Decades of clean energy investments are paying off. The rollout of renewables is reaching exponential levels, beating fossil sources around the world
Climate activism now extends from board rooms and courtrooms to cabinet tables and kitchen tables.
Decades of clean energy investments are paying off. The rollout of renewables is reaching exponential levels, beating fossil sources around the world
Climate activism now extends from board rooms and courtrooms to cabinet tables and kitchen tables.
Great piece from @andrewdessler.com: if emissions stop, warming should also stop
Misconceptions of 'locked-in warming' stem from what would happen if atmospheric concentrations were held steady (dashed line)
But zero emissions (solid line) stops warming
www.theclimatebrink.com/p/climate-ch...
Misconceptions of 'locked-in warming' stem from what would happen if atmospheric concentrations were held steady (dashed line)
But zero emissions (solid line) stops warming
www.theclimatebrink.com/p/climate-ch...
December 3, 2024 at 12:57 PM
Great piece from @andrewdessler.com: if emissions stop, warming should also stop
Misconceptions of 'locked-in warming' stem from what would happen if atmospheric concentrations were held steady (dashed line)
But zero emissions (solid line) stops warming
www.theclimatebrink.com/p/climate-ch...
Misconceptions of 'locked-in warming' stem from what would happen if atmospheric concentrations were held steady (dashed line)
But zero emissions (solid line) stops warming
www.theclimatebrink.com/p/climate-ch...
