Kieran Doyle
banner
kierdoyle.bsky.social
Kieran Doyle
@kierdoyle.bsky.social
Battery scientist by day, American Soccer Analysis, Statford Bridge Podcast by night

https://www.youtube.com/@kierdoyle

Build a bigger table
All in all, I am sufficiently whelmed. Take out a lot of red card salt, and squint at the soft early season schedule (Arsenal, City, Bournemouth, Newcastle, Villa all still to come) I think this team is probably about the same as last year, which mostly without Palmer is great.
November 12, 2025 at 6:01 AM
Chelsea are much less reliant on transition for chance creation this season. Only 5% of their shots and 12% of their xG are coming from "fast" attacks in 25/26, as opposed to 7% of shots and 13% of xG in 24/25. Small difference, but feels somewhat more sustainable.
November 12, 2025 at 6:01 AM
Only 8% of Chelsea's shots last season were inside the 6 yard box, that's nearly doubled to 14% this season (1.2 p90 up to 2 p90). A huge benefit to chance quality.
November 12, 2025 at 6:01 AM
Through 11 matches, Chelsea are +0.25 xGD per match on corners. Last year they were +0.07 xGD per match. That trend is worth ~7 goals or 3 points over the course of the season.
November 12, 2025 at 6:01 AM
Chelsea last season ran a 0.11 xG/shotF, 0.11 xG/shotA, driven by the back half of the season where the attack stuttered into lots of long shots. So far, Chelsea have the best xG/shotF in the league (0.13) and remain 0.11 xG/shot against (11v11).
November 12, 2025 at 6:01 AM
It's probably too early to start parsing by game states and halves and such through 11 matches, but Chelsea have been much better after the first goal so far all season, and have mostly avoided fading in second halves. One to keep an eye on moving forward.
November 12, 2025 at 6:01 AM
Something to keep an eye on, box touches against down from ~25 to 18, shots down from 11 to 9.5. Take out the red card minutes and Chelsea's defensive numbers looks MUCH improved (1.24 xGA p90 down to 0.86 xGA p90 11v11, no penalties).
November 12, 2025 at 6:01 AM
to this clip**
November 11, 2025 at 6:50 PM
It will tonight - I forgot to record live, so had to let YT process so I can download and upload the audio.
November 10, 2025 at 7:11 PM
That man’s career has a force field around it that turns perfectly intelligent people into the stupidest people on the planet I swear to god
November 10, 2025 at 1:05 AM
Especially if they choose not to shovel the penalty area before hand
November 9, 2025 at 11:55 PM