I run a big, careful survey of AI researchers, asking what they think the future AI will bring. They think ~5% very bad outcomes. People sometimes attribute this to the survey methodology being bad. It isn't—here's a detailed response to key criticisms.

aiimpacts.substack.com/p/faq-expert...

Many humans being powerless is a familiar situation, but we think like there's some law against every human being powerless. That changes if you introduce a new species with superior performance at everything.

Transcription software creates a better record of what I say when I'm experiencing transcription software than is ideal

If I lie down and close my eyes, I often get right to sleep. However, doing so sounds dreadful: I want to live! There are a handful of kinds of living that actually make me sleepy though, and one of them is mathy puzzles you can do in your head. Anyone have good ones?