Kate Mackenzie
@katemac.bsky.social
understander of things climate-related, and some other things
@thepolycrisis.bsky.social
@thepolycrisis.bsky.social
someone needs to remind the FT huh
November 13, 2025 at 12:26 AM
someone needs to remind the FT huh
Reposted by Kate Mackenzie
"Sir, a second Joyce Carol Oates post has hit—"
November 11, 2025 at 5:19 AM
"Sir, a second Joyce Carol Oates post has hit—"
Do I need to tell you that this piece says almost nothing about the effects of climate change itself before coming to the earth-shattering conclusion that maybe energy security is good also for "those concerned about climate" as well as energy?
November 7, 2025 at 4:15 AM
Do I need to tell you that this piece says almost nothing about the effects of climate change itself before coming to the earth-shattering conclusion that maybe energy security is good also for "those concerned about climate" as well as energy?
More scary stuff follows (electricity demand will be 25% of energy demand by 2035 says unspecified IEA projection! cross-border electricity transmission may be vulnerable to malign obstruction!), before acknowledging that RES is intrinsically more secure than FF (not in so many words).
November 7, 2025 at 4:13 AM
More scary stuff follows (electricity demand will be 25% of energy demand by 2035 says unspecified IEA projection! cross-border electricity transmission may be vulnerable to malign obstruction!), before acknowledging that RES is intrinsically more secure than FF (not in so many words).
Some truly interesting stuff is happening, eg developing countries going wild installing cheap Chinese solar panels; India cell mfring to grow 8x by 2030; Aussies now get free daytime electricity; Pakistan is cancelling LNG shipments, no-one wants ICEs but sure, go off on oil supply scares.
November 7, 2025 at 4:01 AM
Some truly interesting stuff is happening, eg developing countries going wild installing cheap Chinese solar panels; India cell mfring to grow 8x by 2030; Aussies now get free daytime electricity; Pakistan is cancelling LNG shipments, no-one wants ICEs but sure, go off on oil supply scares.
many tiny toe beans
November 7, 2025 at 3:54 AM
many tiny toe beans
Don't think you need to be a WEO nerd or even read anything into IEA politics to see the problem here.
The energy commentariat is apparently so denuded we just get to keep hearing the same old voices and lines getting high profile runs again and again (see also Yergin on Odd Lots last week).
The energy commentariat is apparently so denuded we just get to keep hearing the same old voices and lines getting high profile runs again and again (see also Yergin on Odd Lots last week).
November 7, 2025 at 3:53 AM
Don't think you need to be a WEO nerd or even read anything into IEA politics to see the problem here.
The energy commentariat is apparently so denuded we just get to keep hearing the same old voices and lines getting high profile runs again and again (see also Yergin on Odd Lots last week).
The energy commentariat is apparently so denuded we just get to keep hearing the same old voices and lines getting high profile runs again and again (see also Yergin on Odd Lots last week).
Maybe something to do with this, although really who knows www.africanews.com/amp/2025/07/...
Africanews | “I can’t do nuttin’ for ya man”, Nigerian Minister quotes Flavour Flav in rejection of Trump policy
www.africanews.com
November 2, 2025 at 1:06 AM
Maybe something to do with this, although really who knows www.africanews.com/amp/2025/07/...
More on why; dependency on US, China, or importing fossil fuels are all risks to be minimised/avoided
India in the New Global Order | Shreyas Shende
Between hydrocarbon coalitions and the green electric development
www.phenomenalworld.org
October 31, 2025 at 8:26 PM
More on why; dependency on US, China, or importing fossil fuels are all risks to be minimised/avoided
This is about the physical models rather than the IAMs but yes, there are lots of problems with both the cost/benefit and the cost-optimized IAMs!
October 29, 2025 at 10:36 PM
This is about the physical models rather than the IAMs but yes, there are lots of problems with both the cost/benefit and the cost-optimized IAMs!
Reposted by Kate Mackenzie
This paper w @katemac.bsky.social @sarahinscience.bsky.social and crew is a few years old now, but it predicted where we've gotten to, where the overwhelming pressure to "just get a number" out of a black box ecosystem of providers gets you essentially gibberish.
Business risk and the emergence of climate analytics - Nature Climate Change
Assessing future climate-related financial risk requires knowledge of how the climate will change at various spatial and temporal scales. This Perspective examines the demand for climate information f...
www.nature.com
October 24, 2025 at 7:13 PM
This paper w @katemac.bsky.social @sarahinscience.bsky.social and crew is a few years old now, but it predicted where we've gotten to, where the overwhelming pressure to "just get a number" out of a black box ecosystem of providers gets you essentially gibberish.
Read this offshoot discussion in particular. These people are among a very small number of technical experts who know 1) what they’re talking about 2) why & where it matters, and 3) will say it publicly.
bsky.app/profile/sara...
bsky.app/profile/sara...
In the climate modeling world (e.g., IPCC/CMIP), people assume model spread is *the* measure of uncertainty (i.e., the error bar). But model spread provides—in a sense—just the lower bound of uncertainty. As models get better/more complex, their spread may increase to capture the uncertainty better.
October 24, 2025 at 11:55 PM
Read this offshoot discussion in particular. These people are among a very small number of technical experts who know 1) what they’re talking about 2) why & where it matters, and 3) will say it publicly.
bsky.app/profile/sara...
bsky.app/profile/sara...