Joe Rowles
@justjoro.bsky.social
Rhetoric Professor & Bookseller
Writer covering the Denver Broncos, fantasy worlds, and fantastic books
Building stories and sharing good reads at Tomes & Treasures
Writer covering the Denver Broncos, fantasy worlds, and fantastic books
Building stories and sharing good reads at Tomes & Treasures
Pinned
Denver Broncos Debrief: Do you Bo-Lieve?
Can Bo Nix and the Broncos offense finally surpass Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs to take control of the AFC West?
joerowles.substack.com
The Broncos biggest game since Super Bowl 50 as the Chiefs come to Denver.
Can Payton fix up Nix for the moment?
Do you Bo-lieve?
joerowles.substack.com/p/denver-bro...
Can Payton fix up Nix for the moment?
Do you Bo-lieve?
joerowles.substack.com/p/denver-bro...
Reposted by Joe Rowles
November 13, 2025 at 10:37 PM
Is Bo Nix ready to elevate his play and take the Broncos on a Dark Horse Super Bowl ride? 🐴
November 13, 2025 at 11:31 PM
Is Bo Nix ready to elevate his play and take the Broncos on a Dark Horse Super Bowl ride? 🐴
The Broncos biggest game since Super Bowl 50 as the Chiefs come to Denver.
Can Payton fix up Nix for the moment?
Do you Bo-lieve?
joerowles.substack.com/p/denver-bro...
Can Payton fix up Nix for the moment?
Do you Bo-lieve?
joerowles.substack.com/p/denver-bro...
Denver Broncos Debrief: Do you Bo-Lieve?
Can Bo Nix and the Broncos offense finally surpass Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs to take control of the AFC West?
joerowles.substack.com
November 13, 2025 at 10:27 PM
The Broncos biggest game since Super Bowl 50 as the Chiefs come to Denver.
Can Payton fix up Nix for the moment?
Do you Bo-lieve?
joerowles.substack.com/p/denver-bro...
Can Payton fix up Nix for the moment?
Do you Bo-lieve?
joerowles.substack.com/p/denver-bro...
Chiefs have 10 players w/ 200+ yards from scrimmage:
Kelce remains their leading receiver bc Rice missed 6 of 9 games.
Worthy, Brown, & Thornton give them vertical threats, Smith-Schuster eats on crossers.
Smith is the forgotten receiving back with five first downs & a 68.4% success rate.
Kelce remains their leading receiver bc Rice missed 6 of 9 games.
Worthy, Brown, & Thornton give them vertical threats, Smith-Schuster eats on crossers.
Smith is the forgotten receiving back with five first downs & a 68.4% success rate.
November 13, 2025 at 5:02 PM
Chiefs have 10 players w/ 200+ yards from scrimmage:
Kelce remains their leading receiver bc Rice missed 6 of 9 games.
Worthy, Brown, & Thornton give them vertical threats, Smith-Schuster eats on crossers.
Smith is the forgotten receiving back with five first downs & a 68.4% success rate.
Kelce remains their leading receiver bc Rice missed 6 of 9 games.
Worthy, Brown, & Thornton give them vertical threats, Smith-Schuster eats on crossers.
Smith is the forgotten receiving back with five first downs & a 68.4% success rate.
W/ @benjaminsolak.bsky.social back the @minakimes.bsky.social previews are must listen for me:
On Broncos - Chiefs:
KC needs to dial down moonshots for more horizontal.
Look for Den dime 🤔
Nix can't play scared. O needs to attack LBs.
"I have faith in Payton" 👀
open.spotify.com/episode/1kks...
On Broncos - Chiefs:
KC needs to dial down moonshots for more horizontal.
Look for Den dime 🤔
Nix can't play scared. O needs to attack LBs.
"I have faith in Payton" 👀
open.spotify.com/episode/1kks...
NFC West Side Story! Previewing Every Week 11 Game
open.spotify.com
November 13, 2025 at 2:24 PM
W/ @benjaminsolak.bsky.social back the @minakimes.bsky.social previews are must listen for me:
On Broncos - Chiefs:
KC needs to dial down moonshots for more horizontal.
Look for Den dime 🤔
Nix can't play scared. O needs to attack LBs.
"I have faith in Payton" 👀
open.spotify.com/episode/1kks...
On Broncos - Chiefs:
KC needs to dial down moonshots for more horizontal.
Look for Den dime 🤔
Nix can't play scared. O needs to attack LBs.
"I have faith in Payton" 👀
open.spotify.com/episode/1kks...
Reposted by Joe Rowles
Inspired by @stevenruiz.bsky.social talking about Caleb Williams's time to throw, I looked at what we can call Creation Time, which is the difference between time to pressure and time to throw when pressured, then plotted it against pressure to sack rate, per FTN.
Caleb in a world on his own.
Caleb in a world on his own.
November 12, 2025 at 3:43 PM
Inspired by @stevenruiz.bsky.social talking about Caleb Williams's time to throw, I looked at what we can call Creation Time, which is the difference between time to pressure and time to throw when pressured, then plotted it against pressure to sack rate, per FTN.
Caleb in a world on his own.
Caleb in a world on his own.
The Broncos would be wise to run the ball against the Chiefs, who've struggled to stop it.
They'll miss J.K. Dobbins, he had a 53.6% success rate across 153 attempts for 772 yards 37 first downs & 4 TDs this year.
R.J. Harvey has a 34% success rate on his 50 rushing attempts.
They'll miss J.K. Dobbins, he had a 53.6% success rate across 153 attempts for 772 yards 37 first downs & 4 TDs this year.
R.J. Harvey has a 34% success rate on his 50 rushing attempts.
November 13, 2025 at 2:37 AM
The Broncos would be wise to run the ball against the Chiefs, who've struggled to stop it.
They'll miss J.K. Dobbins, he had a 53.6% success rate across 153 attempts for 772 yards 37 first downs & 4 TDs this year.
R.J. Harvey has a 34% success rate on his 50 rushing attempts.
They'll miss J.K. Dobbins, he had a 53.6% success rate across 153 attempts for 772 yards 37 first downs & 4 TDs this year.
R.J. Harvey has a 34% success rate on his 50 rushing attempts.
Reposted by Joe Rowles
New free column on @ftnfantasy.com from @brykno.bsky.social looks at quarterback success rate and how different QBs are having successes and failures this year.
ftnfantasy.com/nfl/jones-st...
ftnfantasy.com/nfl/jones-st...
Jones, Stafford Lead Quarterback Success Rate
Daniel Jones leads the league in success rate but is starting to have problems with sacks, and other things we can learn from going inside the QB numbers.
ftnfantasy.com
November 12, 2025 at 3:50 PM
New free column on @ftnfantasy.com from @brykno.bsky.social looks at quarterback success rate and how different QBs are having successes and failures this year.
ftnfantasy.com/nfl/jones-st...
ftnfantasy.com/nfl/jones-st...
The reason for hope that Bo Nix develops into more?
@natetice.bsky.social "he's a great athlete, & he has a great arm"
It comes down to his footwork, the way he gets spooked by pressure, & his ability to read the field.
Can Sean Payton fix it?
We'll see
open.spotify.com/episode/1pbN...
@natetice.bsky.social "he's a great athlete, & he has a great arm"
It comes down to his footwork, the way he gets spooked by pressure, & his ability to read the field.
Can Sean Payton fix it?
We'll see
open.spotify.com/episode/1pbN...
Fatal flaws for playoff teams: 6 red flags that could sink these contenders + Eagles-Packers recap
open.spotify.com
November 12, 2025 at 6:21 PM
The reason for hope that Bo Nix develops into more?
@natetice.bsky.social "he's a great athlete, & he has a great arm"
It comes down to his footwork, the way he gets spooked by pressure, & his ability to read the field.
Can Sean Payton fix it?
We'll see
open.spotify.com/episode/1pbN...
@natetice.bsky.social "he's a great athlete, & he has a great arm"
It comes down to his footwork, the way he gets spooked by pressure, & his ability to read the field.
Can Sean Payton fix it?
We'll see
open.spotify.com/episode/1pbN...
301's @natetice.bsky.social "it's very predictable because they have to keep Bo Nix on the rails"
"It leads to a lot of tendencies defenses can tee off on"
"Yes he has some drops, but some of the drops because he missed..."
"The plays aren't given room to breath"
open.spotify.com/episode/1pbN...
"It leads to a lot of tendencies defenses can tee off on"
"Yes he has some drops, but some of the drops because he missed..."
"The plays aren't given room to breath"
open.spotify.com/episode/1pbN...
Fatal flaws for playoff teams: 6 red flags that could sink these contenders + Eagles-Packers recap
open.spotify.com
November 12, 2025 at 6:08 PM
301's @natetice.bsky.social "it's very predictable because they have to keep Bo Nix on the rails"
"It leads to a lot of tendencies defenses can tee off on"
"Yes he has some drops, but some of the drops because he missed..."
"The plays aren't given room to breath"
open.spotify.com/episode/1pbN...
"It leads to a lot of tendencies defenses can tee off on"
"Yes he has some drops, but some of the drops because he missed..."
"The plays aren't given room to breath"
open.spotify.com/episode/1pbN...
On today's Football 301 @natetice.bsky.social & Matt Harmon discussed fatal flaws on playoff contenders.
The Broncos have at least a top 3 defense, a top 6 offensive line, and decent receivers.
Bo Nix:
"This playbook right now because of the QB is very thin"
open.spotify.com/episode/1pbN...
The Broncos have at least a top 3 defense, a top 6 offensive line, and decent receivers.
Bo Nix:
"This playbook right now because of the QB is very thin"
open.spotify.com/episode/1pbN...
Spotify – Web Player
open.spotify.com
November 12, 2025 at 6:02 PM
On today's Football 301 @natetice.bsky.social & Matt Harmon discussed fatal flaws on playoff contenders.
The Broncos have at least a top 3 defense, a top 6 offensive line, and decent receivers.
Bo Nix:
"This playbook right now because of the QB is very thin"
open.spotify.com/episode/1pbN...
The Broncos have at least a top 3 defense, a top 6 offensive line, and decent receivers.
Bo Nix:
"This playbook right now because of the QB is very thin"
open.spotify.com/episode/1pbN...
Reposted by Joe Rowles
Talking about pressure on the Chiefs.. Win-lose playoff probability swing for the Broncos is 12% versus 29% for the Chiefs..
-- WEEK 11 #NFL 🏈 Playoff Leverage --
Here you can see how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game.
Here you can see how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game.
November 12, 2025 at 4:57 PM
Talking about pressure on the Chiefs.. Win-lose playoff probability swing for the Broncos is 12% versus 29% for the Chiefs..
Broncos may be facing off against the Chiefs without
CB1 Patrick Surtain II
LG1 Ben Powers
RB1 J.K. Dobbins
LB2 Alex Singleton
ZWR/RET Marvin Mims Jr
HB Nate Adkins
Edge rusher Jonathon Cooper has his hand in a cast, ED3 Jonah Ellis left the Raiders game due to injury.
CB1 Patrick Surtain II
LG1 Ben Powers
RB1 J.K. Dobbins
LB2 Alex Singleton
ZWR/RET Marvin Mims Jr
HB Nate Adkins
Edge rusher Jonathon Cooper has his hand in a cast, ED3 Jonah Ellis left the Raiders game due to injury.
November 11, 2025 at 11:31 PM
Broncos may be facing off against the Chiefs without
CB1 Patrick Surtain II
LG1 Ben Powers
RB1 J.K. Dobbins
LB2 Alex Singleton
ZWR/RET Marvin Mims Jr
HB Nate Adkins
Edge rusher Jonathon Cooper has his hand in a cast, ED3 Jonah Ellis left the Raiders game due to injury.
CB1 Patrick Surtain II
LG1 Ben Powers
RB1 J.K. Dobbins
LB2 Alex Singleton
ZWR/RET Marvin Mims Jr
HB Nate Adkins
Edge rusher Jonathon Cooper has his hand in a cast, ED3 Jonah Ellis left the Raiders game due to injury.
Reposted by Joe Rowles
The Bo Nix stat I keep looking at: On throws over 10 yards, his off target rate is 39% (32nd).
When he’s in a clean pocket, that falls to…37% (also 32nd).
When he’s in a clean pocket, that falls to…37% (also 32nd).
November 7, 2025 at 7:11 PM
The Bo Nix stat I keep looking at: On throws over 10 yards, his off target rate is 39% (32nd).
When he’s in a clean pocket, that falls to…37% (also 32nd).
When he’s in a clean pocket, that falls to…37% (also 32nd).
In case you didn't take the time to dive in, Solak shines a light on more of the reason the objective types are worried about Bo Nix and what he does to the Broncos Super Bowl chances:
November 11, 2025 at 10:43 PM
In case you didn't take the time to dive in, Solak shines a light on more of the reason the objective types are worried about Bo Nix and what he does to the Broncos Super Bowl chances:
Reposted by Joe Rowles
👉 How a 5-Man Front Gets a 2-on-1
MachQuarters Anatomy of a Pressure: How to Manipulate Pass Protection
Watch Now! (Free) | www.matchquarters.com/p/how-to-man...
--
MachQuarters Anatomy of a Pressure: How to Manipulate Pass Protection
Watch Now! (Free) | www.matchquarters.com/p/how-to-man...
--
November 11, 2025 at 2:41 PM
👉 How a 5-Man Front Gets a 2-on-1
MachQuarters Anatomy of a Pressure: How to Manipulate Pass Protection
Watch Now! (Free) | www.matchquarters.com/p/how-to-man...
--
MachQuarters Anatomy of a Pressure: How to Manipulate Pass Protection
Watch Now! (Free) | www.matchquarters.com/p/how-to-man...
--
If you could add Jaylen Waddle to the Broncos for a first round pick, would you do it if you knew it cost you the next Ray Lewis or Alan Faneca in 2026?
November 10, 2025 at 5:16 PM
If you could add Jaylen Waddle to the Broncos for a first round pick, would you do it if you knew it cost you the next Ray Lewis or Alan Faneca in 2026?
Reposted by Joe Rowles
Broncos with a Safety blitz to open the game vs. the Raiders.
The move to get Hufanga near the box after the first month of the season has really amplified this defense on early downs.
Joseph is starting to mix in different patterns to keep offenses honest.
Talked about this in Oct (below).
...
The move to get Hufanga near the box after the first month of the season has really amplified this defense on early downs.
Joseph is starting to mix in different patterns to keep offenses honest.
Talked about this in Oct (below).
...
November 10, 2025 at 2:33 PM
Broncos with a Safety blitz to open the game vs. the Raiders.
The move to get Hufanga near the box after the first month of the season has really amplified this defense on early downs.
Joseph is starting to mix in different patterns to keep offenses honest.
Talked about this in Oct (below).
...
The move to get Hufanga near the box after the first month of the season has really amplified this defense on early downs.
Joseph is starting to mix in different patterns to keep offenses honest.
Talked about this in Oct (below).
...
Reposted by Joe Rowles
The Seahawks fell a little bit in DVOA despite this week's big win but they still rank as the No. 8 DVOA team ever measured through 9 games.
November 10, 2025 at 2:23 PM
The Seahawks fell a little bit in DVOA despite this week's big win but they still rank as the No. 8 DVOA team ever measured through 9 games.
Reposted by Joe Rowles
We're all expecting the Chiefs to make the playoffs, and they probably will when all is said and done.
That being said, they've lost the tiebreaker to the #6 and #7 seeds and are behind to the #5 seed. If they lose this week, they won't be in control of their playoff fate, either...
That being said, they've lost the tiebreaker to the #6 and #7 seeds and are behind to the #5 seed. If they lose this week, they won't be in control of their playoff fate, either...
November 10, 2025 at 5:24 AM
We're all expecting the Chiefs to make the playoffs, and they probably will when all is said and done.
That being said, they've lost the tiebreaker to the #6 and #7 seeds and are behind to the #5 seed. If they lose this week, they won't be in control of their playoff fate, either...
That being said, they've lost the tiebreaker to the #6 and #7 seeds and are behind to the #5 seed. If they lose this week, they won't be in control of their playoff fate, either...
Ain't just Broncos Country
Vikings fans are coming up with historical comparison copes never before coped.
November 10, 2025 at 10:07 AM
Ain't just Broncos Country
Reposted by Joe Rowles
Safe to say Kevin Stefanski won't be getting his 3rd coach of the year honor anytime soon...
the Jets trade their entire roster and still have enough to beat the Browns
November 9, 2025 at 9:17 PM
Safe to say Kevin Stefanski won't be getting his 3rd coach of the year honor anytime soon...
Reposted by Joe Rowles
I think I'm done comparing the 2025 Patriots to the 1998 Cardinals. They're a lot better than that team.
Nobody good to compare them to. Other teams with super easy schedules were:
1) better (91 BUF, 99 STL)
2) much worse
3) veteran QBs
4) young QB not as good but much better defense (79 TB)
Nobody good to compare them to. Other teams with super easy schedules were:
1) better (91 BUF, 99 STL)
2) much worse
3) veteran QBs
4) young QB not as good but much better defense (79 TB)
November 9, 2025 at 9:18 PM
I think I'm done comparing the 2025 Patriots to the 1998 Cardinals. They're a lot better than that team.
Nobody good to compare them to. Other teams with super easy schedules were:
1) better (91 BUF, 99 STL)
2) much worse
3) veteran QBs
4) young QB not as good but much better defense (79 TB)
Nobody good to compare them to. Other teams with super easy schedules were:
1) better (91 BUF, 99 STL)
2) much worse
3) veteran QBs
4) young QB not as good but much better defense (79 TB)
Reposted by Joe Rowles
Early Sunday reminder to use all-up alignments.
- The RB (25) is in charge of the LB.
- The QB is in charge of Bynum (0).
Penix works to the longer developing route AWAY from the pressure. 💥
--
- The RB (25) is in charge of the LB.
- The QB is in charge of Bynum (0).
Penix works to the longer developing route AWAY from the pressure. 💥
--
November 9, 2025 at 3:02 PM
Early Sunday reminder to use all-up alignments.
- The RB (25) is in charge of the LB.
- The QB is in charge of Bynum (0).
Penix works to the longer developing route AWAY from the pressure. 💥
--
- The RB (25) is in charge of the LB.
- The QB is in charge of Bynum (0).
Penix works to the longer developing route AWAY from the pressure. 💥
--
Reposted by Joe Rowles
the stare down is killing me
November 9, 2025 at 5:24 PM
the stare down is killing me