Joshua R. Kroeker
banner
joshuarkroeker.bsky.social
Joshua R. Kroeker
@joshuarkroeker.bsky.social
Russia, Ukraine / Geopolitics, History, Security. Consultant, Analyst, CEO @ReaktionGroup (founder). All opinions my own. RT(BS?) ≠ endors
Pinned
My most recent piece for the @themoscowtimes.com , looking at the very difficult situation Ukraine is in as Russia steps up its attacks and the West wavers. www.themoscowtimes.com/2025/07/01/w...
While the World Watched the Middle East, This Happened in Ukraine - The Moscow Times
Opinion | The war in Ukraine has reached a pivotal moment.
www.themoscowtimes.com
I try to avoid posting news here without analysis or at least adding a HUMINT perspective, but this is too horrible to avoid: Today, Russia has hit a pension distribution point with a guided bomb (KAB) in a village in the Donetsk region. 21 people killed, with bodies torn apart lying everywhere.
September 9, 2025 at 10:49 AM
Reposted by Joshua R. Kroeker
neue Technologien, die schnell weiterentwickelt werden – auf beiden Seiten. Im neuen Front-Update in Kooperation mit @joshuarkroeker.bsky.social
und der von ihm gegründeten Reaktion Group zeigt
@table.media, wie die Lage in der Ostukraine ist.

Analyse (Abo): table.media/security/ana...
August 29, 2025 at 9:58 AM
1/ Where do U.S.-Russia-Ukraine negotiations go from here?

Despite a flurry of summits and calls in mid-August, a breakthrough remains unlikely. The positions of Moscow, Kyiv, and Washington remain fundamentally incompatible. 🧵 www.linkedin.com/posts/reakti...
Where do U.S.-Russia-Ukraine Negotiations go from here? | Reaktion Group
Where do U.S.-Russia-Ukraine negotiations go from here? Despite a flurry of activity in mid-August, including summits in Anchorage, high-level meetings in Washington, and follow-up calls between Pres...
www.linkedin.com
August 22, 2025 at 10:12 AM
Over the last 4 days, Ukrainians hit the streets to send a clear message: their European path is non-negotiable.

In my latest for @MoscowTimes, I explore Ukraine’s civic resolve — and the risks this moment poses at home and abroad.

www.themoscowtimes.com/2025/07/25/u...
www.themoscowtimes.com
July 26, 2025 at 12:20 PM
“The slight shift by Trump in favour of Ukraine, although it is good news, does not yet represent a significant change in U.S. policy.”

I am again quoted in french media, Les Echos, on the topic of air defence aid for Ukraine. The piece can be read here in French: www.lesechos.fr/monde/enjeux...
Le revirement de Trump sur l'aide à l'Ukraine aurait un impact militaire incertain
L'aide militaire promise par le président américain, à rebours de ce qui émanait de la Maison-Blanche depuis des semaines, devrait aider substantiellement Kiev à se défendre contre les missiles russes. Mais la guerre se joue désormais surtout sur les essaims de drones.
www.lesechos.fr
July 18, 2025 at 6:11 AM
Reposted by Joshua R. Kroeker
vertieft in einer Analyse wird die aktuelle Lage sichtbar.

Danke an @reaktiongroup.bsky.social für die Zusammenarbeit, besonders @joshuarkroeker.bsky.social

Das Update zur milit. Situation in der Ukraine wird etwa alle zwei Wochen erscheinen, mehr erfahren Sie hier:
table.media/security/ana...
Ukraine-Front-Update: Wie Russland auf Krieg durch Verschleiß setzt
Deutschland und die USA nähern sich bei der Frage der Patriot-Systeme an, und Präsident Donald Trump setzt dem russischen Kriegspräsidenten Wladimir Putin eine...
table.media
July 16, 2025 at 11:16 AM
Reposted by Joshua R. Kroeker
diese dann aus Verzweiflung nach Europa gingen. Das Problem droht auch beim russisch-ukrainischen Krieg.
Dagegen setzen wir beim @table.media auf regelmäßige Updates zur militärischen Situation in der Ukraine (und zur humanitären sowieso). Auf einen Blick oder ...
July 16, 2025 at 11:16 AM
Reposted by Joshua R. Kroeker
Ein großes Problem beim Thema Sicherheit ist Gewöhnung. Gewöhnt man sich an manche Umstände, sinkt die Aufmerksamkeit für das Thema. Es war beim Krieg in Syrien stark zu merken. Der Westen stellte sogar kaum noch Mittel für die Versorgung der Geflüchteten in der Region zur Verfügung, bis ...
July 16, 2025 at 11:16 AM
If this is true, then I will be the first to thank Donald Trump. www.reuters.com/world/europe...
Trump says US will send Patriot missiles to Ukraine
Trump said the missiles are necessary for defending Ukraine because Putin "talks nice but then he bombs everybody in the evening."
www.reuters.com
July 14, 2025 at 4:13 PM
Patriot missile resupply is returning to Ukraine, or so says Trump. This comes after a week of D.C. insider gossip in the Beltway press about Elbridge Colby, the undersecretary of defence who was evidently behind the aid stoppage.
July 13, 2025 at 10:12 AM
1/
Lindsey Graham’s weekend golf game with Trump seems to have paid off. Trump reportedly gave him the green light to move forward with a new Russia sanctions bill.
July 5, 2025 at 6:05 PM
The arms stoppage to #Ukraine comes at a particularly pivotal moment for frontline defenses in many key sectors. My contacts across the frontlines were already reporting lack of munitions, especially for short-range air defence amp.cnn.com/cnn/2025/07/...
US-Ukraine military aid: Pentagon pauses some munitions shipments, including air defense missiles, senior White House official says | CNN
The Trump administration is pausing some weapons shipments to Ukraine, including air defense missiles, following a review of military spending and American support to foreign countries, a senior White...
amp.cnn.com
July 3, 2025 at 11:27 AM
Reposted by Joshua R. Kroeker
Guten Morgen,

Security.Table wird Ihnen künftig etwas Besonderes bieten. In Kooperation mit @joshuarkroeker.bsky.social und seinem Team von Reaktion Group werden wir regelmäßig ein Update zur Situation an der Front in der Ukraine liefern.

1/2
July 2, 2025 at 6:01 AM
My most recent piece for the @themoscowtimes.com , looking at the very difficult situation Ukraine is in as Russia steps up its attacks and the West wavers. www.themoscowtimes.com/2025/07/01/w...
While the World Watched the Middle East, This Happened in Ukraine - The Moscow Times
Opinion | The war in Ukraine has reached a pivotal moment.
www.themoscowtimes.com
July 2, 2025 at 1:33 AM
Reposted by Joshua R. Kroeker
Während die Welt auf den Nahen Osten blickt, schlägt Russland umso brutaler auf Kyjiw ein.

"By the time the 10-hour air raid alert ended at about 6:00 a.m., the city was covered in a thick layer of smoke."

von @joshuarkroeker.bsky.social
Kyiv Reels From One of Russia’s Largest Attacks in Months - The Moscow Times
KYIV, Ukraine — At least 15 people were killed and nearly 100 more injured overnight, officials said, as Russia launched one of its largest attacks on the Ukrainian capital in recent months.
www.themoscowtimes.com
June 17, 2025 at 9:20 AM
Today is May 9 — #Russia’s so-called “Victory Day.”
What was once a commemoration of the defeat of #NaziGermany has morphed into something darker: a cult of death that fuels Russia’s brutal war against #Ukraine and its hostility toward the West.
May 9, 2025 at 5:28 PM
Reposted by Joshua R. Kroeker
Vladimir Putin's unilateral ceasefire marking the Victory Day holiday went into effect at midnight.

In an opinion piece, @joshuarkroeker.bsky.social argues that Putin's ceasefires are a calculated attempt to manipulate the international narrative — and Donald Trump.
Putin Wants to Look Like the Good Guy by Proposing Ceasefires. It's a Trap. - The Moscow Times
Opinion | As Orthodox Easter approached, Russian President Vladimir Putin made a familiar move: calling for a ceasefire in Ukraine.
www.themoscowtimes.com
May 8, 2025 at 8:42 AM
My most recent Op-Ed for the @themoscowtimes.com
April 22, 2025 at 9:42 PM
Sumy. Over 100 casualties, with more than 20 killed. A Sunday morning - Palm Sunday no less. A Russian ballistic missile with a cluster munition in the centre of the city.

Cue European “condemnation” in 3, 2, 1…
April 13, 2025 at 10:40 AM
Over 15 people, among them at least 6 children, were killed by a #Russian ballistic missile hitting a restaurant and playground in Kryviy Rih, #Ukraine
Russia wants peace, you say? Russia wants the destruction of the Ukrainian nation and its peoples, I say.
April 4, 2025 at 5:17 PM
Reposted by Joshua R. Kroeker
1/ President #Zelensky has announced that a meeting of military representatives from countries willing to deploy peacekeeping troops in #Ukraine will take place on Friday, April 4. This follows several meetings of the “coalition of the willing,” the most recent in Paris last week.
April 3, 2025 at 9:58 AM
Trump’s stance on Ukraine echoes Kremlin propaganda, mislabels Zelensky, and ignores Russia’s role as the aggressor. Appeasement isn’t peace––it’s an invitation to more war. Ukraine needs support, not sacrifice, as I argue in this piece for @neweasterneurope.eu neweasterneurope.eu/2025/03/28/w...
Why Trump is wrong on Ukraine - New Eastern Europe
Trump’s suggestion that he could swiftly negotiate peace through concessions demonstrates a profound misunderstanding of Russian objectives.
neweasterneurope.eu
March 28, 2025 at 3:04 PM
Reposted by Joshua R. Kroeker
1/ 🚨 #Putin has publicly proposed introducing temporary rule in #Ukraine under UN auspices to hold elections. His argument? Ukraine’s government is illegitimate, and “neo-Nazi groups actually rule the state.”
March 28, 2025 at 2:41 PM
Kyiv now.
This is how Russia responds to peace efforts. Strength against Russia is the inky solution. When will Trump understand that?
March 18, 2025 at 10:12 PM
Reposted by Joshua R. Kroeker
Putin’s Conditional Ceasefire

1/ Russian President Vladimir Putin says he agrees with a 30-day ceasefire in Ukraine—but with tough conditions. His approach raises questions: is this a real step toward peace or a strategic maneuver?
March 14, 2025 at 2:36 PM