Something to do with rounders?

Interesting that this would suggest they underperform their national polling in Wales? (Given UKIP outperformed their 2016 national result in Caerphilly by about 10 points)

No, and as it says they had a councillor elected in Eye. I do suspect this is the effect of large landowners influence though (as v powerful figures) and not particularly broad support. My pet theory is nonconformism (and Liberal link) played a big role in limiting fascist success in rural Britain

they were given short shrift by the villagers (at least if my nan was to be believed!). Think its a bit of a myth they had much support beyond that - it was a strong Liberal area largely due to noncomformism still having a good foothold

I grew up in a village in north Suffolk where the fascists turned up to support a local farmer who had refused to pay tithes in resisting bailiffs (there's still a memorial to the animals seized in the 'tithe wars). There was certainly some support for the NUF from large landowners/farmers but

Yes potentially kind of inflating the Reform numbers twice over (2024 voters for left leaning parties + women underrepresented in the non-DK sample). Just all the more reason to normalise publishing don't know figures up front!

It has 42% of women responding "don't know"

I suspect the Lib Dems would win it given their local success and how its slightly older/posher than parts of London the Greens perform best in

All our trophies would rust! (not a problem they'd have in Norwich)

So long as there's premier league football idm

This and the whole "Ipswich should be winning the league" thing has made me uncomfortable enough to switch off until the start

Yes I think potentially, but the only thing is that is gonna take some kinda long term realignment in their fiscal/economic positions and idk whether thats possible internally

and the wealthiest part of the population is gonna become more graduate heavy rapidly - probably creates a growing pool for an economically centre/centre-right but also not nationalist/far right party which the Tories have abandoned

I also think demographic changes - the interaction of wealth and education primarily - point to this. The 2019 Tory electorate was kinda sustained by high asset wealth and low education being quite well correlated (via age) but over the coming decade(s) that's gonna unravel

appreciate there's significant differences between the 2 though

think in a way the long-term chances of Lib Dem growth lie in replacing the Tories as the kind of pro-system party than Labour as the main party of the left. Kinda what's happened in France - Macron's electorate looks far more like the trad Republican vote (characterised by wealth) than the PS one