jonnyswift8.bsky.social
@jonnyswift8.bsky.social
Pragmatic liberal
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March 28, 2025 at 4:15 PM
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it is truly insane how low information the average american is. they're just ripping everything off of the walls while slowly building camps and deporting their enemies but the average person will say you're being a drama queen, politics never change, etc.
March 28, 2025 at 4:26 AM
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"The most methodologically sophisticated book-length treatment of the effects of Fox News on the US political system yet written."

The House that Fox News Built? by Kevin Arceneaux, Johanna Dunaway, Martin Johnson & Ryan J. Vander Wielen

Out Now #PoliSky 💙📚

cup.org/3Ru3DhG
The House that Fox News Built?
Cambridge Core - American Government, Politics and Policy - The House that Fox News Built?
cup.org
March 28, 2025 at 3:46 PM
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putting my retirement fund in credit-default swaps on bundled chipotle delivery debt
DoorDash, $DASH, and Klarna have signed a deal where customers can choose to pay for food deliveries in interest-free installments
March 21, 2025 at 7:31 AM
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Yesterday someone called the white house "rapist wakanda" in response to having Conor McGregor there and getting the Tate brothers out of Romania and there really isn't a better way to describe all of what's going on as related to gender
In a dark way it's kinda funny how literally all of this is about gender but you sound like you're wearing a tinfoil hat when you explain it
March 19, 2025 at 5:03 PM
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4/🧵 The pattern diverges from what @mayasen.bsky.social and I found during Trump's first term, when judge ideology strongly predicted case outcomes. What changed? The nature of the challenges—today's cases pose more fundamental constitutional violations uniting judges across partisan divides.
March 18, 2025 at 9:32 PM
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5/🧵 Trump's attacks on judges—including Republican appointees—for unfavorable rulings reveals an authoritarian assault that should alarm us all. Demanding judicial loyalty over constitutional fidelity represents a dangerous erosion of separation of powers, the cornerstone of our Madisonian republic.
March 18, 2025 at 9:32 PM
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3/🧵 Modeling the outcomes with a logistic regression confirms that judicial ideology doesn't predict ruling outcomes. This isn't commonly the case—ideology is typically a moderate to strong predictor of case outcomes, making this ideological consensus particularly noteworthy.
March 18, 2025 at 9:32 PM
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2/🧵 Here is the breakdown by ideological groupings. While liberal judges heard more cases (due to geography and venue selection), the consistency of rulings across ideological lines demolishes the narrative that judicial decisions against Trump reflect political bias.
March 18, 2025 at 9:32 PM
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Absolutely. People in the left get nervous about the neoliberal vibes but I think it’s actually be a much needed departure from the actually-existing neoliberal era
March 18, 2025 at 8:10 PM
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From the other site:
Checking in on the 12% rule.
March 17, 2025 at 8:46 PM
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It occurs to me from a real game theory perspective that what "they" anticipate is that a decentralized, post national American oligarchy will naturally cause China and Russia's oligarchy to fragment - it's not about undermining the other guys elections it's about finessing his oligarchs
March 16, 2025 at 10:23 PM
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2/ My big beef is that I cannot seem to find out how to turn off this annoying "help me write" prompt in Gmail. And for us, this isn't a free service for which we're supposed to be the product. We purchase it. We use the enterprise edition. But it still appears to be impossible to disable.
March 17, 2025 at 3:14 AM
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This sounds like snark. But it's mean in earnest. If AI is so good why do companies like Apple and Google, which aren't usually quite so heavy-handed, make it all but impossible to turn it off and keep it off in their core apps? Seems to speak for itself.
March 17, 2025 at 2:59 AM
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The deep inner reason why Republicans have hitched themselves so completely and irrevocably to Trump is that they understand that their party has no future without the thing that Trump represents and proposes: the final, illegal, post-democratic takeover of the US state.
March 17, 2025 at 12:36 AM
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I think everyone just kind of accepted that shit sucked and tried to move on from it.

Helps that Vietnam immediately had a more pressing foe in the form of China.
March 15, 2025 at 7:45 PM
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It’s kinda weird how chill our relationship with Vietnam is because America holds grudges for humiliations big time. Like, Cuba and Iran are on the shit list forever. But John McCain was like “what’s a little horrific torture between friends?” and that somehow worked and here we are.
March 15, 2025 at 7:33 PM
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The New York Times is the first to put out comprehensive estimates on the cost of a year without U.S.A.I.D. and they’re higher than I thought:
- 1.65 million deaths from AIDS
- 500,000 from lack of vaccines
- 550,000 from lack of food aid
- 290,000 from malaria
- 310,000 from TB
Killing children is by design, I'm afraid. "Pro-natalists" like Musk claim they aren't racist, but their pressure to have children is solely focused on white women, while they back policies that literally kill of non-white children.

He's a eugenicist.

www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
Opinion | Musk Said No One Has Died Since Aid Was Cut. That Isn’t True.
A journey through the front lines of global poverty shows that when the world’s richest men slash aid for the world’s poorest children, the result is sickness, starvation and death.
www.nytimes.com
March 15, 2025 at 4:42 PM
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I'd couch it more, in that media is *inherently* right wing the same way Oil is.

Small business owners and private contractors *everywhere*.
March 15, 2025 at 11:50 PM
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again I point to 'liz truss but without the ability to remove liz truss' as the key to understanding what will likely happen in the next few months to the US economy.
February 26, 2025 at 9:57 PM
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Musk has now poured $8.3 million into buying the tie-breaking Wisconsin Supreme Court seat for Brad Schimel. That is vastly more than any other single donor—to eliminate a state-level check on his and Trump's power.

Help us fight back and elect Susan Crawford: PeopleVMusk.com
March 10, 2025 at 8:07 PM
Has nothing to do with protests, Teslas poopy sales + less than stellar releases are the main reason
I think it’s just straight not true that most scared Tesla customers will buy gas cars instead; every time we see a market report, Tesla’s lost EV market share but EV share is up overall
This anti-Musk movement focused on Tesla is so interesting to me. Punishing Musk and driving down value of his company vs. the reality that most Tesla customers who are scared away will probably buy gas cars instead. Competing interests - punish Musk and hurt the environment?
March 10, 2025 at 4:01 PM
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midterms and off-years have higher info electorates. it is not a coincidence that they responded more positively to democracy/issues messaging, leading to Dem overperformance. but they were not, it turned out, predictive of a lot of voters
unfortunately one thing we can take away from 2024 is that high-minded calls to civic virtue and american ideals are simply not a match for 'borger too exponsive' among *low-info* voters
Stancil has actual and unironic west wing brain, and that both means he’s pretty principled and unwilling to back down in the face of adversity, and that he’s convinced that relatively minor messaging choices are life and death, because the right speech could solved everything.
March 10, 2025 at 5:13 AM
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I’m not sure what the dominant theory about this is but I think it’s “if dems do a bunch of internet stuff they will make mistakes and it will be even worse” but I think we have to be past that. “It is better for no one to notice me than to get negative attention” is killing America.
March 9, 2025 at 6:24 PM
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we make a whole point about eg British bureaucrats specifically being stuck up and taking themselves too seriously but "this dude takes his government job way too seriously" is kind of how you prefer serious officials to behave
there's something wildly fascinating in how Ward Brehm, a Bush-era appointee on USADF is upholding the institutional mission of the USADF against Peter Marocco to the point of lawsuits
March 8, 2025 at 6:13 AM