Jonas Heering
jonasheering.bsky.social
Jonas Heering
@jonasheering.bsky.social
PhD Student in International Relations at Georgetown University
Here's what the plot is supposed to look like!
December 3, 2025 at 5:12 PM
14/ For more interesting results see the paper here. Comments welcome! osf.io/preprints/so...
OSF
osf.io
December 3, 2025 at 4:45 PM
13/ As data center expansion becomes more politically salient, understanding how multidimensional concerns about climate change, electricity costs, and local environmental damage intersect with concerns about digital sovereignty only becomes more important!
December 3, 2025 at 4:45 PM
12/ This suggests that existing cleavages over the energy transition will also shape the politics of data center expansion.

www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
The Green Transition and Political Polarization Along Occupational Lines | American Political Science Review | Cambridge Core
The Green Transition and Political Polarization Along Occupational Lines
www.cambridge.org
December 3, 2025 at 4:45 PM
11/ Preferences toward data center attributes don't vary a lot by party ID, except when it comes to energy source: AfD voters don't care at all if data centers are run on fossil fuels or renewables; Green/Die Linke voters strongly prefer renewables over gas and coal-powered data centers.
December 3, 2025 at 4:45 PM
10/ The negative effect of having a data center operated by a US firms is as large as the effect of a data center that increases local electricity prices by 20%. This is striking esp. in Germany where electricity prices are already high.

Notably, local tax & employment benefits matter very little.
December 3, 2025 at 4:45 PM
9/ We then use a conjoint to see what types of data centers respondents would support in their communities:

Nationality of the company operating the data center has the LARGEST effect on support! I.e. #digitalsovereignty matters.

Impact on local electricity prices & water usage also matter a lot.
December 3, 2025 at 4:45 PM
8/ We use 2 survey experiments in Germany to evaluate this question. First, we look at whether priming respondents with digital sovereignty concerns changes support for building more data centers in Germany, in general.

It does but effects are quite small.
December 3, 2025 at 4:45 PM
7/ This suggests that public support will be important as governments seek to promote building more data centers.

But how does the public think about the environmental, economic, and geopolitical tradeoffs that data center expansion entails?
December 3, 2025 at 4:45 PM
6/ Local opposition is also fueled geopolitical tensions and negative sentiments toward US Big Tech companies, i.e. the companies building many of these data centers.

www.wired.com/story/climat...
Anti-Trump Protesters Take Aim at ‘Naive’ US-UK AI Deal
Thousands marched in London to protest President Donald Trump’s second state visit. Among them were many environmental activists unhappy with Britain’s new AI deal with the US.
www.wired.com
December 3, 2025 at 4:45 PM
5/ As data center expansion accelerates, local communities across the world are pushing back, sometimes blocking new data center construction.

www.nytimes.com/2025/10/20/t...
From Mexico to Ireland, Fury Mounts Over a Global A.I. Frenzy
www.nytimes.com
December 3, 2025 at 4:45 PM
4/ But data centers use a lot of electricity, straining power grids and raising local electricity prices, including in Germany. Add to that concerns about data centers' water usage, limited local job creation, and potential impacts on emission reductions.

algorithmwatch.org/en/germany-d...
Germany’s Data Center Boom is Pushing the Power Grid to its Limits - AlgorithmWatch
As Europe pursues the vision of becoming an AI continent, the AI infrastructure boom in Germany is already exposing the limits of the energy supply and physical infrastructure. And the question remain...
algorithmwatch.org
December 3, 2025 at 4:45 PM
3/ Data center expansion serves economic & geopolitical ends: as governments pursue #digitalsovereignty & "sovereign AI," building more domestic digital infrastructure becomes key.

E.g. see this recent statement from the Franco-German digital sovereignty summit: www.elysee.fr/en/emmanuel-...
December 3, 2025 at 4:45 PM
2/ Amid the global #AI race, data center construction is expanding rapidly.

Source: www.iea.org/data-and-sta...
December 3, 2025 at 4:45 PM