Between the three options of preventative action now, mass starvation later, or a refugee crisis, I think it's obvious what we should be trying for.

Climate projections are often SUPER uncertain, but the uncertain statements are of the form "X will look exactly like this." But we know it will be affected somehow. In this case, we know that ANY monsoon disruptions can hurt profoundly.

But more seriously, ANY disruption to the monsoon’s timing OR intensity can drastically harm its harvest. Early, and fields can flood; late, and drought can kill crops before rain comes; too long, crops can be washed away; too short, crops can dry up and the water table be depleted.

Its groundwater is depleting faster than almost anywhere on Earth. The water table depth in Dhaka has dropped from 75 to 25 meters from 1996 to 2023, projected to fall to 120 meters by 2050. Sea level rise and storm surge are already hurting crops, as sea water erodes the land and salts the earth.

Bangladesh is highly dependent on agriculture and vulnerable to climate and economic shocks. 40% of the population is employed in labour-intensive agriculture and it is still a net food importer! With a GDP/cap under US$2,600, it has very little ability to handle a loss of agricultural productivity.

This population density is extremely dependent on the regularity of the monsoon weather pattern. Key points:

1. It is highly likely that the monsoon will be dramatically affected.
2. If this happens, then without dramatic adaptation, millions in Bangladesh may die.

"Because I say so."
"Are you enforcing a law? It's my right to use a public street."
"You can do what I say you can do."
"I don't think that's how it works."
"If you want to keep talking to me, you have to put your hands above your head"

I walked away. Glad to be getting out of this country...

Source, 2023 Charlie Kirk interview: www.truthnetwork.com/show/the-cha...

I'm sorry, this account has done some great work and I'm very glad for it, but you're really squandering your credibility here.

Anyone can see you could just:
- post the numbers as comments in a single thread
- make a separate numbers account

You really risk cultivating an echo chamber audience

Yes! Also that objectivity looks biased as long as there is someone who disagrees with you.

We've seen objective statements framed as opinions again and again: "vaccines work", "dinosaurs once existed", "smoking causes lung cancer," "CO2 emissions cause warming", etc., etc.

This is very disappointing to see. I have some research funds to spare -- if anyone lacks travel funding for the IPCC, please contact me and I will try to help out.

I've been saying this but not sure how to get people to listen: the state ceases to exist when it can no longer process payments