Jake Horowitz
@jakehorowitz.bsky.social
Safety and justice nerd @pewtrusts.org and amateur mycologist
Great explainer, per usual. Using Jeff's data (from sample of states), one can see that 6.8% of cleared murders (and 4% of all murders) are cleared by the death of the offender (under exceptional clearance). This is one way of gauging just how at-risk these individuals are.
New this week: I wrote about what happens when a crime gets cleared by exception and how it varies by crime type and state
jasher.substack.com/p/when-crime...
jasher.substack.com/p/when-crime...
When Crime Get Exceptionally Cleared
Crime statistics can be confusing and difficult to effectively communicate, and no statistic embodies this as much as clearance rates.
jasher.substack.com
February 24, 2025 at 1:30 PM
Great explainer, per usual. Using Jeff's data (from sample of states), one can see that 6.8% of cleared murders (and 4% of all murders) are cleared by the death of the offender (under exceptional clearance). This is one way of gauging just how at-risk these individuals are.
From US Attorney Sassoon’s letter to AG Bondi. Sassoon clerked for Scalia.
February 14, 2025 at 2:16 AM
From US Attorney Sassoon’s letter to AG Bondi. Sassoon clerked for Scalia.
“Rickey’s gotta go” www.nytimes.com/2024/12/21/s...
Rickey Henderson, Baseball’s Flamboyant ‘Man of Steal,’ Dies at 65
Widely regarded as the greatest leadoff hitter in baseball history, he was not just one of the game’s most exciting players but also one of its most eccentric.
www.nytimes.com
December 22, 2024 at 1:37 PM
“Rickey’s gotta go” www.nytimes.com/2024/12/21/s...
I believe the phrase you’re looking for is The Art of the Deal
Breaking News: A plan to avert a government shutdown backed by Speaker Mike Johnson and President-elect Trump failed as some Republicans joined Democrats to reject it.
House Rejects Republicans' Plan to Avert Government Shutdown: Live Updates
www.nytimes.com
December 20, 2024 at 12:10 AM
I believe the phrase you’re looking for is The Art of the Deal
2024 likely to go down as having one of the lowest number of crimes per capita in half a century.
Murder almost certainly fell at a historic rate in 2024 while reported violent crime fell a little bit and reported property crime fell a lot. My post this week summarizing America's crime trends in 2024:
jasher.substack.com/p/crime-in-2...
jasher.substack.com/p/crime-in-2...
Crime in 2024: A Historic Drop in Murder with Declining Violent and Property Crime
America’s crime trends in 2024 were remarkably positive with an enormous decline in murder, a continued small but steady decline in violent crime, and a sizable decline in motor vehicle theft on the h...
jasher.substack.com
December 18, 2024 at 4:58 PM
2024 likely to go down as having one of the lowest number of crimes per capita in half a century.
U.S. deaths attributable to alcohol (either fully or partially) up 29% to 178,000/year. 117k from chronic causes (incl cirrhosis, heart disease, cancer, etc.) and 61k from acute causes (incl poisoning, accidents, etc.). www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes...
December 18, 2024 at 4:49 PM
U.S. deaths attributable to alcohol (either fully or partially) up 29% to 178,000/year. 117k from chronic causes (incl cirrhosis, heart disease, cancer, etc.) and 61k from acute causes (incl poisoning, accidents, etc.). www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes...
Struck by this contextual paragraph in WaPo's coverage of the Abundant Life shooting wapo.st/49ERsah
December 18, 2024 at 1:23 PM
Struck by this contextual paragraph in WaPo's coverage of the Abundant Life shooting wapo.st/49ERsah
New Gallup data shows collapsing confidence in US courts, presumably reflecting increasing R/D agreement that rule of law is under assault news.gallup.com/poll/653897/...
December 17, 2024 at 5:29 PM
New Gallup data shows collapsing confidence in US courts, presumably reflecting increasing R/D agreement that rule of law is under assault news.gallup.com/poll/653897/...
Biz’ verisimilitude unrivaled
December 1, 2024 at 5:34 PM
Biz’ verisimilitude unrivaled
If having a sexual relationship with an underaged, abused runaway *doesn’t* alter the legacy of a 42-year old legendary male author, we have issues. www.nytimes.com/2024/11/23/b...
A Long-Held Secret is Now Public. Will it Alter Cormac McCarthy’s Legacy?
Revelations about a relationship between the author and a woman who was 16 when they met shocked readers, but not scholars of his work. Now there’s a debate about how much she influenced his writing.
www.nytimes.com
November 23, 2024 at 1:05 PM
If having a sexual relationship with an underaged, abused runaway *doesn’t* alter the legacy of a 42-year old legendary male author, we have issues. www.nytimes.com/2024/11/23/b...