Hugh Butler
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hughbutler35.bsky.social
Hugh Butler
@hughbutler35.bsky.social
Author. Science. Innovation. Books include The TakeOut Diet, The Optimistic Storm Part 1: the end of the fossil fuel era.
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* Various companies in production - Sila Technologies, Group 14.
We know the tech is mainstream when mobile phones have them.
Coming to EVs.
optimisticstorm.com/group14-sili...
More in OptimisticStorm.com Part 1 End of Fossil Fuel Era
November 24, 2025 at 9:01 PM
Battery improvements are in the media daily.
Better phones. Longer range cars. Electric trucks.
For over a decade, we knew silicon could enhance battery capacity.
* Theoretical specific capacity is nearly ten times higher than that of the currently dominant graphite anode.
November 24, 2025 at 9:01 PM
Geologic hydrogen or gold, clear, or orange hydrogen naturally occurs underground. It could be this H2 is a clean and cheap source of energy. Not so fast.
* H2 is an indirect green house gas. The hydrogen molecule is small, and leaks. Pipes. Storage. Transporting.
November 22, 2025 at 9:01 PM
We think AI is writing better emails
But medical clinical trials can be improved five times, saving billions
When you consider that getting a drug to market costs $2.4 billion and takes 5 years.
Within a decade, we will have improved AI impacts across all parts of the health industry.
November 17, 2025 at 9:01 PM
The return on investment for drugs is reportedly a poor 4% compounded return. Current costs for drug discovery is $2.4 billion to get a new drug on the market, and it takes 14 years. Means the company needs to sell at least $600 million each year at peak for the remainder of the drug patent life.
November 15, 2025 at 9:01 PM
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* Cook food
* Use electricity for transport.
optimisticstorm.com/electrify-ev...
More details in my book OptimisticStorm.com Part 1: The end of the fossil fuel era.
November 10, 2025 at 9:02 PM
If you want to listen to two experts in energy, don't miss Michael Liebreich and Lord Adair Turner's reflections on the past 20 years of the energy transition. In the early 2000s, no one knew how the world would decarbonise. Today, wind solar and batteries will provide 95% plus.
November 10, 2025 at 9:02 PM
There's many dumb announcments recently, especilly in the health and energy sectors in USA.
Has Covid Lowered the IQ of people?
Covid spike protein damages the brain and reduces IQ. SARS-CoV-2 spike protein accumulates and persists in the body for years after infection. People get brain fog.
November 8, 2025 at 9:00 PM
Are you older? Should you take statins and other similar drugs?
Stroke remains a significant cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide, with older adults, particularly those over age 60, at the highest risk of first-time ischemic stroke.
November 3, 2025 at 9:02 PM
November 1, 2025 at 9:01 PM
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* if you have lingering issues from your prior COVID infections, you’re at least susceptible to getting them ME or CFS.
* If you recovered from them, they may come back
* When people talk about the devastation from COVID, they usually talk about deaths. (7 million, 20 million, 30 million)
November 1, 2025 at 9:01 PM
Whatever you think of COVID, of its origins, or whether serious or not, one in eight people have long COVID impacts. Long COVID is described as post-infection symptoms persisting for at least a month. Long COVID has been part of the infection right from the beginning.
November 1, 2025 at 9:01 PM
If you thought the world built a lot of renewables in the past few years, just wait for the next half of this decade.
Solar is expected to double the past 5 years' growth.
Incumbent analysts often get projections wrong.

www.canarymedia.com/articles/cle...
October 27, 2025 at 9:02 PM
The Human Cell Atlas (HCA) is will catalogue every cell type within a human being. Daunting project considering the human body is over 37 trillion cells. The task of decoding their roles and charting their locations involves approximately 4,000 researchers working in 190 labs across 102 nations.
October 25, 2025 at 9:01 PM
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en.byd.com/news/byds-ne...
Every announcement - another 10% improvement spells the end of petrol and diesel transportation - cars, buses, trucks, and ships.
For more on this in my nook OptimisticStorm.com - spells the end of fossil fuel (gas, oil)
October 20, 2025 at 9:02 PM
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* can be charged at rate of 1,300 kW by very fast MW charger.
www.spglobal.com/automotive-i...
Meanwhile BYD - 2nd second largest global battery manufacturer, (Sept 2025)
* Survived the "nail" test - the safest battery in the world
* twice as dense as LFP Batteries
October 20, 2025 at 9:02 PM
While "gamechanger" is a common cliche. Sometimes announcements come along worthy of the word.
In April, CATL, the worlds largest battery manufacturer announced
* A range of 520 kilometers (km) with a five-minute charge
* Can go from 5% to 80% charge in 15 minutes in cold weather.
October 20, 2025 at 9:02 PM
Mistrust in science has been on the rise for decades.
- This growing mistrust is primarily fueled by political polarisation.
- It's amplified by partisan media and social media algorithms.
- The spread of misinformation contributes to the lack of trust.
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October 18, 2025 at 9:01 PM
Batteries provide more tools to flatten out peaks.
From Prof Jan Rosenow,
x.com/janrosenow/s...
 ig.ft.com/mega-batteri...
optimisticstorm.com/baseload-to-...
October 14, 2025 at 7:34 PM
Mega batteries are unlocking the energy revolution.
The electricity system is the largest commodity supply chain in the world that doesn’t feature storage. Every technology benefits from storage. The top 1% of peak hours are 8% of your bill. The top 10% of hours are 40% of your bill.
October 14, 2025 at 7:34 PM
Not many are talking about what happens as houses change from gas to electricity. Saving big. But what happens to all those existing pipelines? Will the companies try to get consumers to pay?

optimisticstorm.com/stranded-gas...
October 13, 2025 at 9:01 PM
How much land is needed by solar to power the world?
Golf courses use more land than solar power.
Australia, about 0.016% of land area (About 1 hundredth of one per cent).
interactive.carbonbrief.org/factcheck/so...
In my book OptimisticStorm.com Part 1 - The End of the Fossil Fuel era.
October 11, 2025 at 9:01 PM
Who is right for reduction in oil over next 5 years.
* Oil for plastics feedstock
* Oil for transport.
IEA, in their Oil Report www.iea.org/reports/oil-... show little change by 2030.
October 6, 2025 at 9:01 PM
California, the 5th largest global economy, is showing solar and batteries are pushing out fossil fuels. Cleantech wins even on unfair playing fields!

www.carbonbrief.org/guest-post-c...
October 5, 2025 at 5:32 AM
Despite orders from the White House forcing coal plants to stay open, coal plant retirements in the U.S. are projected to be higher in 2025 than 2024! Coal plants are simply old, dirty, and very expensive.
October 5, 2025 at 5:32 AM