Heropass
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heropass.bsky.social
Heropass
@heropass.bsky.social
46 followers 34 following 29 posts
Meditation, music, math.
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brrrock.bsky.social
they are laughing…
laughing
April 14, 2025 at 10:06 PM
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thinkyparts.bsky.social
Here’s the clip.
April 14, 2025 at 4:51 PM
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emptywheel.bsky.social
Remember. that their SINGLE high profile operation against TdA, targeting the very same apartment at which Trump did a campaign event, netted a single solitary arrest of a real TdA member.

xcancel.com/BillMelugin_...
A February 6 Tweet from Fox News deportation propagandist Bill Melugin (which he RTed). It says: EXCLUSIVE: We were embedded w/ ICE as part of a massive federal operation in Aurora, CA targeting Tren de Aragua gang members. But the op fell far short of its goals, possibly due to leaks to the media that the raid was coming. I’m told 30 arrests were made, & only 1 was TdA. Acting ICE Director Caleb Vitello told me the following at one of the locations: “I do get the impression that there were some intel leaks here. And I think that, probably, they did know we were coming. But we're still coming. And just because something leaks now and then, it’s not going to stop us.”
March 18, 2025 at 2:12 PM
heropass.bsky.social
That is under assumption that the two events are independent, which in this case they are not. So yeah he got his math wrong.
March 18, 2025 at 6:06 PM
heropass.bsky.social
If the two events (winning on a specific ground) aren’t independent, then the math is all wrong, even if the 40% estimate were correct.
March 18, 2025 at 6:03 PM
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obarcala.bsky.social
Such a weird little encapsulation of how DOJ's subservience to Trump causes them to make arguments that are really against the government's interests as a whole. DOJ would never make an argument that would lead to automatic stays in every case, except that this one is in Trump's interest.
March 18, 2025 at 4:03 PM
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petree09.bsky.social
Not exactly the same but re: Trump requiring bad arguments:

At this morning's TRO hearing on Texas A&M's drag ban the TX AG's office said "we don't believe drag shows on university campus violate Trump's EO but we believe Trump's admin thinks they violate the EO"

What are we even doing here?
March 18, 2025 at 4:11 PM