Henri Nowotzin
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henri.nowotzin.eu
Henri Nowotzin
@henri.nowotzin.eu
Economics, Future of Work and Unions
Student at University of Münster & Strasbourg
@talkingeconomics.de
Reposted by Henri Nowotzin
Very helpful essay on the labour market effects of (generative) AI
digitaleconomy.stanford.edu/news/ai-and-...
AI and Labor Markets: What We Know and Don't Know
Postdoctoral Fellow Bharat Chandar writes about what we know--and don't know-- about AI and labor markets.
digitaleconomy.stanford.edu
October 15, 2025 at 8:09 AM
Reposted by Henri Nowotzin
The announcement of Germany's large fiscal package has not only increased German government bond yields; it has triggered a broader rise in Eurozone yields (Italy, France, Spain etc).
March 24, 2025 at 6:05 AM
Reposted by Henri Nowotzin
MASSIVE FISCAL PACKAGE OUT OF BERLIN: 12-20%+ of GDP.

- 500 billion fund for public investment
- All defence spending above 1% of GDP not counted for debt brake.
- Federal states can borrow 0.35% p.y. for investment.

Germany is back - economically and militarily.

1/x
March 4, 2025 at 6:26 PM
Reposted by Henri Nowotzin
This week, the Trump Admin is planning to implement 25% tariffs on Canada & Mexico as well as an add'l 10% tariff on China. This would come on top of the 10% China tariff already put in place on Feb 1.
@budgetlab.bsky.social published an analysis today of all of these tariffs together in tandem
1/8
March 3, 2025 at 4:46 PM
Reposted by Henri Nowotzin
Given that the results of the German elections were always going to be bad from a progressive European perspective, the outcome has a number of silver linings.
Starting with the little guys:
- FDP are out. Liberals got their comeuppance for their destructive climate, fiscal and EU policies.
1/5
February 24, 2025 at 7:23 AM
Reposted by Henri Nowotzin
Polls close shortly in Germany. What a good election outcome for Europe would look like:

- stable two-part government formed swiftly
- AfD underperforming (sub-20%)
- clear 2/3 majority (420+ seats) for debt-brake reform
- parties pivoting fast from campaign to wider realities
February 23, 2025 at 4:53 PM