Heikki.
@heikki-machine.bsky.social
CG and game art person who also farms smallish family farm. I like most things mechanical.
Here is Ark prediction for Tesla from a few years back.
In the real world Tesla sales track behind 2024 AND 2023 in China and Europe. This despite the L (long) variant in china and facelift Model Y release this year. These are the latest products and no new ones in foreseeable future.
In the real world Tesla sales track behind 2024 AND 2023 in China and Europe. This despite the L (long) variant in china and facelift Model Y release this year. These are the latest products and no new ones in foreseeable future.
December 8, 2025 at 11:12 AM
Here is Ark prediction for Tesla from a few years back.
In the real world Tesla sales track behind 2024 AND 2023 in China and Europe. This despite the L (long) variant in china and facelift Model Y release this year. These are the latest products and no new ones in foreseeable future.
In the real world Tesla sales track behind 2024 AND 2023 in China and Europe. This despite the L (long) variant in china and facelift Model Y release this year. These are the latest products and no new ones in foreseeable future.
the same Cathie Wood who predicted Tesla would sell 18 million vehicles next year? that one?
December 8, 2025 at 11:03 AM
the same Cathie Wood who predicted Tesla would sell 18 million vehicles next year? that one?
Ark simulated that in 2025 Tesla would sell 9.3 million vehicles at 40% gross margins.
The 2026 numbers look thrilling too!
(x.com/funwithnumbe...)
The 2026 numbers look thrilling too!
(x.com/funwithnumbe...)
December 8, 2025 at 11:01 AM
Ark simulated that in 2025 Tesla would sell 9.3 million vehicles at 40% gross margins.
The 2026 numbers look thrilling too!
(x.com/funwithnumbe...)
The 2026 numbers look thrilling too!
(x.com/funwithnumbe...)
Not really arguing against but the story is visible in the same exact way in the non-log chart.
December 1, 2025 at 2:24 PM
Not really arguing against but the story is visible in the same exact way in the non-log chart.
PB 140kg for 2 reps.
My highest weight for deadlift was 110kg until last spring. Did 130kgx3 a few weeks back. The odd thing is that in several years I have trained much more. I have only like 5-6 weight sessions since July. Plenty of indoor rowing though but even that largely at "zone 2".
My highest weight for deadlift was 110kg until last spring. Did 130kgx3 a few weeks back. The odd thing is that in several years I have trained much more. I have only like 5-6 weight sessions since July. Plenty of indoor rowing though but even that largely at "zone 2".
November 30, 2025 at 1:32 PM
PB 140kg for 2 reps.
My highest weight for deadlift was 110kg until last spring. Did 130kgx3 a few weeks back. The odd thing is that in several years I have trained much more. I have only like 5-6 weight sessions since July. Plenty of indoor rowing though but even that largely at "zone 2".
My highest weight for deadlift was 110kg until last spring. Did 130kgx3 a few weeks back. The odd thing is that in several years I have trained much more. I have only like 5-6 weight sessions since July. Plenty of indoor rowing though but even that largely at "zone 2".
Here we can see Elon, genius of our time, explain the battery technology going into 2020 Tesla Roadster so that it can both have 600 mile range AND 1.9 second 0-60mph time.
Someone still think they had the vehicle somehow designed in 2017 when they revealed it and started taking payments...
Someone still think they had the vehicle somehow designed in 2017 when they revealed it and started taking payments...
November 20, 2025 at 12:32 PM
Here we can see Elon, genius of our time, explain the battery technology going into 2020 Tesla Roadster so that it can both have 600 mile range AND 1.9 second 0-60mph time.
Someone still think they had the vehicle somehow designed in 2017 when they revealed it and started taking payments...
Someone still think they had the vehicle somehow designed in 2017 when they revealed it and started taking payments...
Not me. Nor my cat.
November 18, 2025 at 4:18 PM
Not me. Nor my cat.
I love that the news states it as if it was real. “This is how it works”. nuts.
November 14, 2025 at 9:33 PM
I love that the news states it as if it was real. “This is how it works”. nuts.
November 14, 2025 at 1:54 PM
When I lived in LA my last vehicle was a pickup. This was my neighbour's truck and mine. Mine was red.
(1990 2wd, no power steering or power windows 😁)
(1990 2wd, no power steering or power windows 😁)
November 12, 2025 at 10:04 PM
When I lived in LA my last vehicle was a pickup. This was my neighbour's truck and mine. Mine was red.
(1990 2wd, no power steering or power windows 😁)
(1990 2wd, no power steering or power windows 😁)
Limited to 105 years - which was much frowned upon by the banks…
November 9, 2025 at 10:40 PM
Limited to 105 years - which was much frowned upon by the banks…
It was special in many ways.
November 7, 2025 at 10:54 PM
It was special in many ways.
Some years ago my sister's son drew things in school that made the teacher invite the parents to discuss the violent drawings.
Well... Here are things my 9 year old draws.
I am very proud of course (the real reason why I post).
Well... Here are things my 9 year old draws.
I am very proud of course (the real reason why I post).
November 7, 2025 at 4:49 PM
Some years ago my sister's son drew things in school that made the teacher invite the parents to discuss the violent drawings.
Well... Here are things my 9 year old draws.
I am very proud of course (the real reason why I post).
Well... Here are things my 9 year old draws.
I am very proud of course (the real reason why I post).
Which one of these calls itself the land of the free?
Sports victory celebrations from around the world,
samples from Madrid, London & Helsinki, almost any major city has similar material.
Sports victory celebrations from around the world,
samples from Madrid, London & Helsinki, almost any major city has similar material.
November 2, 2025 at 6:38 PM
Which one of these calls itself the land of the free?
Sports victory celebrations from around the world,
samples from Madrid, London & Helsinki, almost any major city has similar material.
Sports victory celebrations from around the world,
samples from Madrid, London & Helsinki, almost any major city has similar material.
It's been quite a journey
October 30, 2025 at 1:13 PM
It's been quite a journey
Lauri Markkanen is undoubtedly the best Finnish basketball player.
Here is all the points he made in recent record 51 pt game #utah #utahjaz #laurimarkkanen #markkanen
Here is all the points he made in recent record 51 pt game #utah #utahjaz #laurimarkkanen #markkanen
October 29, 2025 at 10:44 AM
Lauri Markkanen is undoubtedly the best Finnish basketball player.
Here is all the points he made in recent record 51 pt game #utah #utahjaz #laurimarkkanen #markkanen
Here is all the points he made in recent record 51 pt game #utah #utahjaz #laurimarkkanen #markkanen
That is 167 times the current annual net profit - which is declining. And TWO TIMES Tesla ALL TIME revenue - including sales of emission credits.
From 2016 Q1 to 2025 Q3 Tesla cumulative revenue is about 495 billion, didn't tally the earlier years but ~$4 bn making it almost exactly $500 bn.
From 2016 Q1 to 2025 Q3 Tesla cumulative revenue is about 495 billion, didn't tally the earlier years but ~$4 bn making it almost exactly $500 bn.
October 29, 2025 at 10:20 AM
That is 167 times the current annual net profit - which is declining. And TWO TIMES Tesla ALL TIME revenue - including sales of emission credits.
From 2016 Q1 to 2025 Q3 Tesla cumulative revenue is about 495 billion, didn't tally the earlier years but ~$4 bn making it almost exactly $500 bn.
From 2016 Q1 to 2025 Q3 Tesla cumulative revenue is about 495 billion, didn't tally the earlier years but ~$4 bn making it almost exactly $500 bn.
Elon Musk's 1 trillion dollar compensation package in perspective.
The company's net income peaked in 2023 with an outlier quarter. We are now at $6 billion TTM net income pace - still shrinking.
Tesla has made net profit of less than $50 billion since its birth and growth is negative.
1/2
The company's net income peaked in 2023 with an outlier quarter. We are now at $6 billion TTM net income pace - still shrinking.
Tesla has made net profit of less than $50 billion since its birth and growth is negative.
1/2
October 29, 2025 at 9:29 AM
Elon Musk's 1 trillion dollar compensation package in perspective.
The company's net income peaked in 2023 with an outlier quarter. We are now at $6 billion TTM net income pace - still shrinking.
Tesla has made net profit of less than $50 billion since its birth and growth is negative.
1/2
The company's net income peaked in 2023 with an outlier quarter. We are now at $6 billion TTM net income pace - still shrinking.
Tesla has made net profit of less than $50 billion since its birth and growth is negative.
1/2
2019 and before Tesla lost money. So I am generous and ignoring that. Tesla’s cumulative profit since it started to make a profit is ~ $44bn
Clearly the 1000 billion comp package is the only reasonable outcome - says nobody sane and impartial.
Clearly the 1000 billion comp package is the only reasonable outcome - says nobody sane and impartial.
October 28, 2025 at 10:44 AM
2019 and before Tesla lost money. So I am generous and ignoring that. Tesla’s cumulative profit since it started to make a profit is ~ $44bn
Clearly the 1000 billion comp package is the only reasonable outcome - says nobody sane and impartial.
Clearly the 1000 billion comp package is the only reasonable outcome - says nobody sane and impartial.
For me it seems to roughly line up with Pump up the Jam, Ferrari F40, collapse of USSR and Berlin wall. So seems legit. those were the days.
Though personally I think ”moped years”, age 15-17, were rad!
Though personally I think ”moped years”, age 15-17, were rad!
October 25, 2025 at 9:23 PM
For me it seems to roughly line up with Pump up the Jam, Ferrari F40, collapse of USSR and Berlin wall. So seems legit. those were the days.
Though personally I think ”moped years”, age 15-17, were rad!
Though personally I think ”moped years”, age 15-17, were rad!
12 actuators for both hands together. 1.2 actuators per digit...
Haha. I crapped on their original release presentation so much.
So obviously utter nonsense.
Haha. I crapped on their original release presentation so much.
So obviously utter nonsense.
October 24, 2025 at 6:37 AM
12 actuators for both hands together. 1.2 actuators per digit...
Haha. I crapped on their original release presentation so much.
So obviously utter nonsense.
Haha. I crapped on their original release presentation so much.
So obviously utter nonsense.
"12 motion actuators for hands" was - less than one per digit 🤣
ANY sentient, non-Tesla-share-owning, person who spends any time thinking, could have told how insanely unrealistic all Optimus claims were, and are.
For record, my now nuked X account pointed immediately the silliness.
ANY sentient, non-Tesla-share-owning, person who spends any time thinking, could have told how insanely unrealistic all Optimus claims were, and are.
For record, my now nuked X account pointed immediately the silliness.
October 23, 2025 at 9:11 AM
"12 motion actuators for hands" was - less than one per digit 🤣
ANY sentient, non-Tesla-share-owning, person who spends any time thinking, could have told how insanely unrealistic all Optimus claims were, and are.
For record, my now nuked X account pointed immediately the silliness.
ANY sentient, non-Tesla-share-owning, person who spends any time thinking, could have told how insanely unrealistic all Optimus claims were, and are.
For record, my now nuked X account pointed immediately the silliness.
Well I am old enough to remember when Elon wore the same hat.
October 21, 2025 at 10:19 PM
Well I am old enough to remember when Elon wore the same hat.