Jakob Hauter
hauterjakob.bsky.social
Jakob Hauter
@hauterjakob.bsky.social
Leverhulme Early Career Postdoc Fellow researching the causes of Russia's wars at the University of Reading. Current Affairs, Media and OSINT Analyst. PhD from UCL SSEES. Focusing on Ukraine & Russia but regularly distracted by German & UK politics. he/him
Pinned
My book on the 2014 outbreak of war in Ukraine's Donbas is available for purchase.
EUR: www.ibidem.eu/en/Topics/So...
GPB: blackwells.co.uk/bookshop/pro...
USD: cup.columbia.edu/book/russias...
und auf Deutsch: www.ibidem.eu/en/Topics/So...
Two months into my @leverhulme.ac.uk fellowship @uniofreading.bsky.social. Excited to be back in academia. Lots of reading to catch up on, but also working on paper drafts and submitted some conference abstracts. More on that soon, hopefully. In the meantime, let me introduce a new family member.
November 9, 2025 at 7:35 PM
Reposted by Jakob Hauter
In other news, today I had a conference call with splendid people from places as varied as the #CaymanIslands, #Ghana, #TrinidadandTobago and #Wales - and yes that’s a turtle, thanks for asking 🇰🇾🇬🇭🇹🇹🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿
October 17, 2025 at 7:29 PM
Reposted by Jakob Hauter
I love finding new ways to make a crescent moon and star, and the winners of the corresponding #FlagTypes category - #Algeria, #Libya, #Malaysia and #Pakistan - showcase four different approaches 🇩🇿🇱🇾🇲🇾🇵🇰
October 17, 2025 at 7:22 PM
Reposted by Jakob Hauter
"We should have considerable uncertainty about the causes of complex social and political outcomes and trends ... Nevertheless, the current balance of evidence does not support blaming America’s epistemic challenges on social media." asteriskmag.com/issues/11/sc...
Scapegoating the Algorithm—Asterisk
America’s epistemic challenges run deeper than social media.
asteriskmag.com
July 27, 2025 at 6:45 PM
Reposted by Jakob Hauter
Im Rückblick erscheint die ganze Affäre als unnötig und als politischer Fehler Selenskyjs sowie seiner Berater. Gleichzeitig hat die Ukraine ihre Demokratiefähigkeit und politische Freiheit auch in Kriegszeiten bewiesen.

@sceeus-ui.bsky.social @uisweden.bsky.social @kiu-network.bsky.social
Experte ordnet Selenskyjs Kehrtwende ein
Nach Demonstrationen in der Ukraine: Experte ordnet Selenskyjs Kehrtwende ein
share.google
July 26, 2025 at 2:11 PM
Reposted by Jakob Hauter
Ukraine Anti-Corruption Investigation Thread
1/10 🧵
How Ukraine’s president went from promising to jail “all top corruption officials” to dismantling the very agencies investigating his inner circle. A stunning reversal revealed by Ukrayinska Pravda.
www.pravda.com.ua/articles/20...
“Вночі б’ють росіяни. Вдень – свої”. Чому президент Зеленський вирішив не перемагати корупцію, а перемогти борців з корупцією?
28 жовтня 2019 року. Після кількох місяців на посаді президент Володимир Зеленський приїхав до НАБУ, щоб виступити перед детективами:
www.pravda.com.ua
July 25, 2025 at 8:45 AM
Many thanks to Martin Laryš from Charles University Prague for reviewing my book!
RUSSIA'S OVERLOOKED INVASION offers a meticulously detailed case study to substantiate #JakobHauter’s thesis that Russia’s actions in 2014 constituted an unambiguous interstate invasion, despite domestic factors that the book introduces and explains.

@columbiaup.bsky.social @hauterjakob.bsky.social
Review - Russia’s Overlooked Invasion
Hauter convincingly recasts Donbas as a Russian invasion using digital forensics, which, while innovative, is a contested method due to its reliance on online sources.
www.e-ir.info
July 23, 2025 at 11:24 AM
My book on the 2014 outbreak of war in Ukraine's Donbas is available for purchase.
EUR: www.ibidem.eu/en/Topics/So...
GPB: blackwells.co.uk/bookshop/pro...
USD: cup.columbia.edu/book/russias...
und auf Deutsch: www.ibidem.eu/en/Topics/So...
July 18, 2025 at 12:24 PM
Looks like Amazon UK is having some trouble stocking and dispatching my book. So maybe go for @blackwells.bsky.social if you want to buy it from the UK - might be a better choice for other reasons as well. blackwells.co.uk/bookshop/pro...
Russia's Overlooked Invasion
The war in Ukraine did not start on 24 February 2022 - Jakob Hauter investigates the escalation of violence in the spring and summer of 2014.
blackwells.co.uk
July 18, 2025 at 12:19 PM
Reposted by Jakob Hauter
Immer wieder wird behauptet, der russisch-ukrainische Krieg habe 2014 mit einem Angriff der Ukraine auf sich selbst begonnen.

Einschlägig zum Beginn des Donbas-Kriegs ist die @uclssees.bsky.social-Dissertation von Dr. @hauterjakob.bsky.social @uniofreading.bsky.social:

@dgoberlin.bsky.social
Russlands unbemerkte Invasion by Jakob Hauter, Andreas Umland
Russlands unbemerkte Invasion - Der Krieg in der Ukraine begann nicht am 24. Februar 2022. Er begann acht Jahre zuvor in der ostukrainischen Donbas-Region. In seinem vielbeachteten Buch untersucht Jak
www.ibidem.eu
July 18, 2025 at 10:28 AM
Academia, I'm coming back! I am thrilled to announce that
@leverhulme.ac.uk has offered me an Early Career Fellowship to research the causes of Russia's war against Ukraine at @uniofreading.bsky.social. I am starting on 1st September and super excited about it! www.reading.ac.uk/news/2025/Re...
Major funding secured for early career research - University of Reading
www.reading.ac.uk
July 10, 2025 at 6:28 PM
Reposted by Jakob Hauter
Excellent long-read analysis by Ukraine's former Minister of Defense, Andriy Zagorodnyuk, who - as peace through military means or negotiations are as unlikely as a Russian withdrawal - suggest Ukraine should adopt a "strategic neutralization" approach: carnegieendowment.org/research/202...
Ukraine’s New Theory of Victory Should be Strategic Neutralization
By ensuring that Russia’s war is operationally pointless, Ukraine can survive, adapt, and achieve success, no matter how prolonged the war.
carnegieendowment.org
June 27, 2025 at 10:41 AM
Interesting read on the challenges of using FPV drones at the front line in Ukraine.
"If this type of pre-aborted mission is included in the total, the success rate [of first-person view drones in Ukraine] drops to between 20 and 30 percent. On the face of it, this success rate is bad, but that is not the whole story." warontherocks.com/2025/06/i-fo...
I Fought in Ukraine and Here’s Why FPV Drones Kind of Suck – War on the Rocks
warontherocks.com
June 26, 2025 at 2:25 PM
Professor Yuriy Savelyev of Taras Shevchenko National University in Kyiv has reviewed my book in @europe-asia.bsky.social. Many thanks for your thoughtful comments! www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.... fyi @umland.bsky.social @columbiaup.bsky.social
Russia’s Overlooked Invasion. The Causes of the 2014 Outbreak of War in Ukraine’s Donbas
Published in Europe-Asia Studies (Vol. 77, No. 2, 2025)
www.tandfonline.com
March 23, 2025 at 9:57 AM
Reposted by Jakob Hauter
Another moment of truth. If Russia does not accept, which is not unlikely as they have not achieved what the want, it could lead to a twist that has been part of the Ukrainian Trump calculus from the start: Putin doesn't deliver, Trump gets angry. Will he then back Ukraine? An open question.
Breaking news: Ukraine is ready to accept a US proposal for an immediate 30-day ceasefire in its war with Russia as long as Moscow does the same, Kyiv and Washington said on Tuesday. www.ft.com/content/3e00...
March 11, 2025 at 6:39 PM
Reposted by Jakob Hauter
1/ In 🇩🇪 and elsewhere the discussion on whether or not the F35 should be cancelled or not starts to gain traction. Can we afford to cancel it? Can we replace it?
Complicated, and the discussion would be more credible if not led by commercial rivals of Lockheed-Martin.
www.welt.de/politik/deut...
Bundeswehr: Keine US-Jets, dafür „Drohnenwall“ – Diese Ausgaben fordern Ökonomen vom Sondervermögen - WELT
Der Finanzbedarf bei der Bundeswehr ist hoch: Mehrere Topmanager deutscher Konzerne fordern in einem Positionspapier die Förderung von Rüstungstechnologien. Von F-16-Kampfjets raten sie aus einem Grun...
www.welt.de
March 6, 2025 at 10:29 AM
Reposted by Jakob Hauter
Gebt den Sondierungen noch zwei Wochen und Markus Söder baut uns allen kiffend ne Wärmepumpe ein.
March 5, 2025 at 1:44 PM
Reposted by Jakob Hauter
Journalists, please do not describe what happened at the White House today as a "spat", "heated exchange" or as Zelensky-Trump "going at each other". Zelensky was ambushed by Vance while very calmly explaining why Ukraine needs security guarantees and doesn't trust a ceasefire...
February 28, 2025 at 10:53 PM
Reposted by Jakob Hauter
Größte Hochachtung für die UKR & die ukr Armee, die entschlossen Unmögliches möglich machen! Möge DE ab heute ebenso entschlossen sein!
#Taurus

Wichtig wahrzunehmen: „griff 🇷🇺 die🇺🇦 wieder an.“ Bereits 2014 griff RU die UKR an. Sehr erkenntnisreich dazu @hauterjakob.bsky.social ⤵️
February 24, 2025 at 6:20 AM
Meine Wahlempfehlung für Sonntag. Wir müssen die Ukraine, das Klima, unsere Demokratie und das vereinte Europa schützen. Den Ernst der Lage haben @gruene.de und @robert-habeck.de am besten verstanden.
February 20, 2025 at 10:44 AM
Reposted by Jakob Hauter
Ein Abkommen allein macht keinen Frieden.

Ein schlecht abgesicherter Waffenstillstand erhöht die Gefahr für den nächsten Krieg in Europa.

(vorherigen Post habe ich gelöscht weil Typo - Entschuldigung und danke für die Hinweise!)
February 18, 2025 at 7:53 AM
Just a little reminder that this edited volume remains available and is still well worth a read.

eBook: www.ibidem.eu/en/Topics/So... or www.amazon.de/-/en/Jakob-H...

Paperback: amazon.co.uk/Civil-War-In... (GBP), cup.columbia.edu/book/civil-w... (USD), www.ibidem.eu/en/Topics/So... (EUR).
February 12, 2025 at 11:41 AM
Reposted by Jakob Hauter
Auf Seite 1 der FAZ steht heute in wenigen Worten, was zu sagen ist.
December 2, 2024 at 3:22 AM
Reposted by Jakob Hauter
Zum Thema Waffenstillstand: wenn🇺🇦als souveräner Staat trotz temporärer Gebietsverzichte überleben soll, braucht sie verlässlich Sicherheit (NATO od. vergleichbare Garantien, G7 Abkommen bieten das nicht) u wirtschaftliche Entwicklung (v. a. über EU-Beitritt).
internationalepolitik.de/de/die-veran...
Die Verantwortung des Westens für die Zukunft der Ukraine
Die Unterstützung scheint abzunehmen: Umso wichtiger ist die unumkehrbare Einbindung des Landes in euro-atlantische Strukturen.
internationalepolitik.de
December 1, 2024 at 9:03 AM
Reposted by Jakob Hauter
FRESH OFF THE PRESS

Andreas Heinemann-Grüder (ed.), Who Are the Fighters? Irregular Armed Groups in the Russian-Ukrainian War since 2014.

ibidem Press. Distr. by @columbiaup.bsky.social.

www.ibidem.eu/en/Series/So...

cup.columbia.edu/book/who-are...

@dgoberlin.bsky.social @aseees.bsky.social
June 17, 2024 at 7:58 PM