Håkon Welde
hakonw.bsky.social
Håkon Welde
@hakonw.bsky.social
Geopolitical conflicts, international politics & political science. Head of M&A in the Nordic renewables company Aneo AS. Norwegian & European.
The US is trajecting towards non-democracy. The rules-based order is fading. Expect wars and the dictate of the strong in a majority of scenarios. Europe must draw a line and defend digital regulations and quantum leap on defence, industry, satellite & AI to secure autonomy.
August 26, 2025 at 10:21 AM
Europe should establish a no fly zone over all non-contested regions of Ukraine. These are regions that Russia has made no claims to. Russia is not flying jets into these regions today due to the density of AA weapons. European jets could police and shoot down any missiles into this space.
March 26, 2025 at 6:15 PM
European countries should insist that Ukraine joins NATO. With the U.S. under Trump being unreliable, Europe needs to lock arms with Ukraine. NATO membership for Ukraine is the most effective way to ensure this.
March 22, 2025 at 5:28 PM
Immoral Trump attacks Zelensky and demands war reparations from the victim of Russian aggression. Now the free world must respond in kind. American tariffs must be met with a doubling response. Europe must now bear the defence of Ukraine alone. No one can claim ignorance and turn a blind eye.
February 28, 2025 at 11:17 PM
To substantiate my previous tweet, more than 70% of Russia's pre-war material has been destroyed in 3 years of war. What is rolled out now is very old material, with enormous loss of Russian soldiers. To paraphrase Hemmingway; How did Russia loose this war? Two ways. Gradually, then suddenly.
January 11, 2025 at 9:18 PM

Russia has lost this war. The magnitude of Ukraine's destruction of Russias pre-war arsenal will eventually be known. Russia does not have the capacity to uphold the intensity for much of 2025. Putin is gambling on a peace settlement with Trump to save him from visibly losing the war of attrition.
January 11, 2025 at 7:55 PM