Guy Oron
@guyoron.net
Seattle-based journalist and writer. Staff Reporter at Real Change. Views my own. Pronouns: he/they. Subscribe to my newsletter Gossip Guy for free! gossipguy.net
I mean Wilson literally did say that if she didn't challenge him, no one would. And now she's the likely next mayor
www.realchangenews.org/news/2025/10...
www.realchangenews.org/news/2025/10...
November 12, 2025 at 1:54 AM
I mean Wilson literally did say that if she didn't challenge him, no one would. And now she's the likely next mayor
www.realchangenews.org/news/2025/10...
www.realchangenews.org/news/2025/10...
Thank you for the clarification, appreciate it. I retracted that post
November 12, 2025 at 12:53 AM
Thank you for the clarification, appreciate it. I retracted that post
Thank you, I appreciate the additional context
November 12, 2025 at 12:53 AM
Thank you, I appreciate the additional context
Thank you for the clarification, appreciate it
November 12, 2025 at 12:52 AM
Thank you for the clarification, appreciate it
I'm being told the write-in count drop has happened in the past and so it might not be an error
November 12, 2025 at 12:24 AM
I'm being told the write-in count drop has happened in the past and so it might not be an error
Yes that they were cured, not sure if they were included. The number of curable ballots dropped from 1,930 to 1,703.
November 11, 2025 at 12:56 AM
Yes that they were cured, not sure if they were included. The number of curable ballots dropped from 1,930 to 1,703.
Clarification: that number should be 230, not 240
November 11, 2025 at 12:48 AM
Clarification: that number should be 230, not 240
Another interesting note, about 240 ballots that were previously challenged due to signature issues. This suggests "ballot curing efforts" may be having an effect and could even prove decisive. About 1,700 ballots remained challenged, according to King County Elections.
November 11, 2025 at 12:44 AM
Another interesting note, about 240 ballots that were previously challenged due to signature issues. This suggests "ballot curing efforts" may be having an effect and could even prove decisive. About 1,700 ballots remained challenged, according to King County Elections.
Have you heard of the work of Whole Washington?
November 10, 2025 at 6:09 PM
Have you heard of the work of Whole Washington?
Also there's a good number of voters, around 1%, who didn't participate in the mayoral election at all.
November 8, 2025 at 2:17 AM
Also there's a good number of voters, around 1%, who didn't participate in the mayoral election at all.
That's a big if, and also still within recount range. The margin needs to be more than 2k votes and 0.5%.
November 8, 2025 at 2:16 AM
That's a big if, and also still within recount range. The margin needs to be more than 2k votes and 0.5%.
You can check if your ballot is valid here or if you need to fix it here. Most of the issues are related to a lack of signature or the signature being different than that on your driver's license: info.kingcounty.gov/kcelections/...
King County Elections
Led by Director Julie Wise, King County Elections conducts accurate, secure, and accessible elections for King County's over 1.4 million registered voters.
info.kingcounty.gov
November 8, 2025 at 12:54 AM
You can check if your ballot is valid here or if you need to fix it here. Most of the issues are related to a lack of signature or the signature being different than that on your driver's license: info.kingcounty.gov/kcelections/...
One critical question is how many ballots are left to count, which could mean the difference between a final margin of 50 and 500. Another is the 1,900 challenged ballots, which tend to disproportionately be from younger voters. If they can be fixed, (i.e. "cured") that could make a big impact.
November 8, 2025 at 12:17 AM
One critical question is how many ballots are left to count, which could mean the difference between a final margin of 50 and 500. Another is the 1,900 challenged ballots, which tend to disproportionately be from younger voters. If they can be fixed, (i.e. "cured") that could make a big impact.
There is probably a lag in the data and the numbers won't be finalized for a while
November 7, 2025 at 8:42 PM
There is probably a lag in the data and the numbers won't be finalized for a while
So my hypothesis is that it seems like voters just got older in general. But it is something interesting that should be looked into further
November 7, 2025 at 7:47 PM
So my hypothesis is that it seems like voters just got older in general. But it is something interesting that should be looked into further
According to my dad who's a statistician, it may be a case of “Simpson’s paradox.” Also we should take the 2025 numbers with a grain of salt since they aren't finalized.
Basically a voter that votes at the same rate when they were 63 may now be 67 and thus categorized in the 65+ cohort.
Basically a voter that votes at the same rate when they were 63 may now be 67 and thus categorized in the 65+ cohort.
November 7, 2025 at 7:46 PM
According to my dad who's a statistician, it may be a case of “Simpson’s paradox.” Also we should take the 2025 numbers with a grain of salt since they aren't finalized.
Basically a voter that votes at the same rate when they were 63 may now be 67 and thus categorized in the 65+ cohort.
Basically a voter that votes at the same rate when they were 63 may now be 67 and thus categorized in the 65+ cohort.
My statistician dad the puzzling trend may be a case of “Simpson’s paradox.” Also we should take the 2025 numbers with a grain of salt since they aren't finalized.
November 7, 2025 at 7:44 PM
My statistician dad the puzzling trend may be a case of “Simpson’s paradox.” Also we should take the 2025 numbers with a grain of salt since they aren't finalized.