George Melios
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gmelios.bsky.social
George Melios
@gmelios.bsky.social
Working on the intersection of econ, polsci and behavioural science. Applying causal inference to study what people believe and how they behave. Currently at LSE and RHUL
Read the full paper here 👉 papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf…

And see the coverage by @kingscollegelondon.bsky.social:t.co/N4kE3L0mXl
https://www.kcl.ac.uk/news/study-finds-well-designed-benefits-dont-discourage-people-from-working
t.co
September 27, 2025 at 10:31 AM
Interpretation:
Well-designed, work-neutral disability benefits do not reduce labor market participation.
The small positive effects under strict assessors likely reflect filtering out strategic claims, not large behavioral responses.
September 27, 2025 at 10:31 AM
📊 Results:
•Expanding access (mental health) → no reduction in employment, if anything small positive effects
•Restricting access (minor physical disabilities) → no gains in employment
•Stricter assessors → small but significant ↑ in employment
September 27, 2025 at 10:31 AM
Using UK panel data (2009–2019) & quasi-experimental variation from the DLA→PIP reform, we estimate employment effects for:
•Mental health conditions (gained eligibility)
•Minor physical disabilities (lost eligibility)
•Regions with stricter vs lenient assessors
September 27, 2025 at 10:31 AM
PIP is unique. It covers the extra costs of disability but has no earnings tests & no work incapacity requirements. This design lets us isolate pure income effects without substitution distortions.
September 27, 2025 at 10:31 AM
Most disability benefits combine income support + work restrictions. That makes it hard to know: do people work less because they can, or because policy forces them not to?
September 27, 2025 at 10:31 AM
Takeaway: politics matters in private life—but signaling openness can bridge divides. Surfacing “tolerance” on platforms might reduce partisan sorting
September 5, 2025 at 11:52 AM
Gender splits: Men penalized “progressive” profiles; women rewarded them. Women also showed a stronger in‑party preference than men
September 5, 2025 at 11:52 AM
Counter‑stereotypes: Conservatives were more open to out‑partisans who defied stereotypes (e.g., White/Traditional/Non‑veg Labour). Labour respondents tended to prefer stereotypical Tories—except they liked progressive Tories
September 5, 2025 at 11:52 AM
But tolerance is even stronger. Profiles saying “open to match with anyone” gained +19.9 pp—the largest effect; similar in size to being attractive. It’s not just avoiding “No Tories/No Labour” profiles. Even among co‑partisans, people preferred tolerant over intolerant profiles
September 5, 2025 at 11:52 AM
Headline: Co‑partisanship is powerful. Co‑partisan profiles were picked +18.2 pp more often than out‑partisans
September 5, 2025 at 11:52 AM
We ran a visual conjoint with 3,000 UK daters (18–40). Profiles varied party (Labour/Tory), a clear “tolerance” cue, ideology, race, education, diet, height, and facial attractiveness—using real photos to mirror apps
September 5, 2025 at 11:52 AM
Thanks to @bkleinteeselink.bsky.social for the great collaboration on this project. Looking forward to continuing this line of research! #PoliticalScience #Polarization #AmericanPolitics
September 18, 2024 at 10:48 AM
Why do these findings matter? A lack of trust in government when the "other side" is in power can hinder democratic functioning. It makes it harder for citizens to hold their own party accountable and can lead to efforts to undermine opposing governments. 🏛️
September 18, 2024 at 10:47 AM
Why? Highly educated people show a stronger president-in-power effect, and they've increasingly shifted towards identifying as Democrats over time.
September 18, 2024 at 10:47 AM