Austin
@gingerwx.bsky.social
PhD Atmospheric Science | Loves severe wx predictability & long walks on the beach | Grunge music junkie | Life is good & life + dogs is best | Opinions my own
Best northern lights show I've seen so far!
November 12, 2025 at 3:55 AM
Best northern lights show I've seen so far!
Fair point! Even the CMCE "dry" solution still carries a lot of impacts. I just think the uncertainty is fascinating. The next 24 hours still have the Canadian with the least QPF, but even that solution is very impactful for western CO!
October 8, 2025 at 4:42 PM
Fair point! Even the CMCE "dry" solution still carries a lot of impacts. I just think the uncertainty is fascinating. The next 24 hours still have the Canadian with the least QPF, but even that solution is very impactful for western CO!
Lots of uncertainty amongst the NBM QMD membership too! The Canadian ensemble is all in on a drier scenario (100% of CMCE in Cluster 1) whereas the rest of the global ensemble solutions have a much larger QPF footprint. Really interesting to see such large differences at this short a lead time!
October 8, 2025 at 4:10 PM
Lots of uncertainty amongst the NBM QMD membership too! The Canadian ensemble is all in on a drier scenario (100% of CMCE in Cluster 1) whereas the rest of the global ensemble solutions have a much larger QPF footprint. Really interesting to see such large differences at this short a lead time!