In fairness, this definition of drop-off is different from the way ETA and SmartElections define it.

* A suspiciously uniform drop-off plateau may suggest non-random behavior — as if something is constraining or shaping the outcomes.

“The vote share curve approaches an asymptote at exactly 60%, suggesting a mechanical cap on variation that defies natural voter distribution.”

2. Drop-off Rate Stabilization
ETA also studies presidential-to-down-ballot drop-off rates — where voters skip down-ballot races.
* If the drop-off rate plateaus at a certain point (say, stabilizing at 7%), that pattern might be modeled with an asymptotic function.

Why this matters:
* If the curve is too smooth or mechanically consistent, it may suggest machine-influenced outputs or artificial weighting — a key ETA concern.
* In natural vote data, you expect some randomness or local variance, not perfect convergence.

* If that percentage settles and “flattens out,” it's asymptotic behavior.

Example:
A graph might show early Trump support starting at 50%, climbing rapidly in early batches, and then approaching but never quite reaching 60%. The line "flattens out" — i.e., approaches an asymptote.

Here are a few ways asymptotic behavior could apply:
1. Convergence of Vote Share Over Time
Suppose you graph Trump’s share of votes (or Harris’s) across ballot batches in early voting.
* ETA claims that after about ~400 ballots, vote percentages stabilize around 60% Trump / 40% Harris.

Not my forte, but I was curious, so I asked Chat how an asymptote might be relevant to ETAs data. Unsure if this was the thinking behind her ‘random word’ toss out, but makes sense to me.

ETA often looks at vote share trajectories over time or by ballot batches.

Aaaaand here we go with the harassment again. She asked for their methodology, so I posted their methodology when I saw it published. Plain and simple. You don’t have to like it, I was just responding to a request, please leave me alone.

Methodology:

electiontruthalliance.org/methodology

Uhhhhh no.

Believing in a magical man in the sky is isn’t real and may as well be the literal definition of living in a fantasy land somewhere far far away.

Nice try though.

Hey there, I have no interest in getting into it again with anyone on this thread, but wanted to circle back to you with some peer reviewed data and methodology.

electiontruthalliance.org/mebane-pa-wo...

Facts!

Pretty sure the term here is beta soy boy.

I mentioned the Duggar documentary, you mentioned cults of consciousness. Mine goes into how the IBLP is planning to infiltrate government, do your YouTube videos do the same?

But do they go into their plans to infiltrate and take over the government?

Have you seen Shiny Happy People: Duggar Family Secrets? Highly recommend if you haven’t.