Gabriele Pinto
gabrieleaopinto.bsky.social
Gabriele Pinto
@gabrieleaopinto.bsky.social
economist - data scientist
gabrielepinto.com
You can find much more in the working paper 👇
📄 papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
As always, feedback and comments are very welcome!
April 14, 2025 at 4:43 PM
📈Results:
5) Electoral returns were even higher for politicians who also engaged in credit-claiming on social media 📱—
April 14, 2025 at 4:43 PM
📈Results:
4) Most funds were channelled to MP’s electoral strongholds— note we are in an open-list, preference vote system 🗳️
Using a counterfactual analysis, we find that this pork-barreling strategy delivered significant electoral returns.
April 14, 2025 at 4:43 PM
📈Results:
3) We observe both a reciprocal and universalistic behavior: nearly all politicians agree, and everyone gets a (weighted) piece of the cake 🍰
April 14, 2025 at 4:43 PM
🛢️Data:
2) We match these data with credit-claiming posts on social media (example below 👇), and with municipality-level preference vote results (~1,500 municipalities) from two election rounds—before and after the projects.
April 14, 2025 at 4:43 PM
🛢️Data:
1) We extract project–politician links by applying LLMs to thousands of resolutions from the Lombardia Regional Assembly (example in the figure 👇)
April 14, 2025 at 4:43 PM