Felix Thoemmes
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felixthoemmes.bsky.social
Felix Thoemmes
@felixthoemmes.bsky.social
1K followers 170 following 140 posts
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Reposted by Felix Thoemmes
alexh.bsky.social
New version of tenzing, with support for acknowledgments sections, is now live at tenzing.club. Please try to break it, @martonkovacs.bsky.social has already fixed all the errors I found!
tenzing Documenting contributorship with CRediT
tenzing.club
November 14, 2025 at 9:58 AM
Reposted by Felix Thoemmes
bdhuey.bsky.social
I know that the job market is rough this year for Econ PhDs. @utoronto.ca has expanded its postdoc funding. If you are on the market and work on school finance or early childhood education and are interested in a PostDoc, let me know! #econsky #educsky postdoc.sgs.utoronto.ca/current-post...
Postdoctoral Talent Initiative – School of Graduate Studies Postdoctoral Fellows
postdoc.sgs.utoronto.ca
November 13, 2025 at 11:53 PM
Reposted by Felix Thoemmes
noahgreifer.bsky.social
Any #rstats advice for writing mathematical expressions in ggplot2 axis labels? Dying not to have to use the insanity that is bquote()
November 13, 2025 at 9:57 PM
Reposted by Felix Thoemmes
jesssalerno.bsky.social
POSTDOC POSITION in social psychology at Cornell
@cornellpsych.bsky.social! We will begin reviewing apps Dec 1st. Please repost!
academicjobsonline.org/ajo/jobs/31185
@spspnews.bsky.social @spspsc.bsky.social @aplssc.bsky.social @spssi.bsky.social @psychscience.bsky.social
Cornell University, Psychology
Job #AJO31185, WDR-00055818(EVG) Postdoctoral Associate, Psychology, Psychology, Cornell University, Ithaca, New York, US
academicjobsonline.org
November 13, 2025 at 4:28 PM
Reposted by Felix Thoemmes
sajedehra.bsky.social
Registration is now open for our Quarto workshop at Paul Meehl Graduate School!
Join us on December 12 in Eindhoven to learn how to use Quarto for reproducible research and communication.

More details and registration here:
paulmeehlschool.github.io/2025-11-03-q...
New workshop announced: Quarto: Write, Code, Reproduce | Paul Meehl Graduate School
We are thrilled to announce that registration is now open for our new workshop. In this workshop, Ambra Perugini will...
paulmeehlschool.github.io
November 13, 2025 at 12:07 PM
Reposted by Felix Thoemmes
jlrohmann.bsky.social
BERLIN + CAUSAL GRAPHS = HAPPINESS.
Agree?
Follow: bsky.app/profile/appl...
Spoiler: Edition #3 in the making for Q2 2026! Stay tuned!
Applied Causal Graphs 2026 workshop teaser - stay tuned!
November 12, 2025 at 4:44 PM
Reposted by Felix Thoemmes
dsquintana.bsky.social
“Google's strategic transformation into an AI-first company fundamentally conflicts with maintaining niche academic services like Scholar”
November 11, 2025 at 10:30 PM
Reposted by Felix Thoemmes
eikofried.bsky.social
I'm in Sydney until December 15th.

If any tweeps (blueskyers?) are around lets get lunch or coffee!

Also ... if you allow random strangers to join your D&D* group for a few weeks ... pleeeeeeease let me know :)))

___
* or whatever pen & paper y'all are up to
a close up of a feather on a rock with the words `` hello '' written in white letters .
ALT: a close up of a feather on a rock with the words `` hello '' written in white letters .
media.tenor.com
November 12, 2025 at 3:42 AM
Reposted by Felix Thoemmes
donmoyn.bsky.social
Three German universities offering post-docs for researchers "who cannot conduct or continue their work in the USA appropriately because of actual political pressure. "
www.uni-konstanz.de/zukunftskoll...
Early Career Rescue Fellowship
www.uni-konstanz.de
November 11, 2025 at 7:10 PM
Reposted by Felix Thoemmes
dsquintana.bsky.social
Here’s an interesting breakdown of ORCID use per field ⬇️
kowb.bsky.social Kathryn Weber-Boer @kowb.bsky.social · 3d
Good question! The lowest rate by far are those publications where field can't be assigned (meaning the metadata is particularly poor anyway--probably without even an abstract available). Chemistry, Physical Sciences, and Engineering are rocking the ORCID, while the humanities are all lagging. -2024
November 11, 2025 at 8:50 AM
Reposted by Felix Thoemmes
casperalbers.nl
Doing non-causal inference (and being explicit about it), yet using a causal word as second word in the title.

If you pay Nature € 10.690, they will publish this in Nature Ageing.

I can tell you what I think of that for free.

www.nature.com/articles/s43...
screenshot from the paper, stating that no causal claims (like they did in the title) should be made. paper title
November 11, 2025 at 7:58 AM
Reposted by Felix Thoemmes
chrisbilder.bsky.social
Friends of Stats: The U. of Nebraska-Lincoln Department of Statistics needs your help. The university's Chancellor submitted a FINAL proposal today for budget cuts (budgetprocess.unl.edu/final-budget...) that eliminates the department. 1/ #LNK #Nebraska #Huskers @amstatnews.bsky.social
Final Budget Reduction Plan | Budget Process | Nebraska
budgetprocess.unl.edu
November 11, 2025 at 4:06 AM
Reposted by Felix Thoemmes
kbkarlson.bsky.social
LAST CALL! #Sociology Professorships in Copenhagen, Denmark!

We're hiring 2+ open-rank profs (Asst/Assoc/Full). Any area.

Deadline: this Saturday, Nov 15!

Join a leading European sociology department. Please repost!

jobportal.ku.dk/videnskabeli...
Call for two or more open-rank academic positions in Sociology
jobportal.ku.dk
November 9, 2025 at 8:08 AM
Reposted by Felix Thoemmes
solomonkurz.bsky.social
Agreed. I'd go further and say if you see language like this in a paper, it's a huge red flag the research team has a poor grasp on statistics.
drandreahoward.bsky.social Andrea Howard @drandreahoward.bsky.social · 5d
This is important. People still do this a lot, and it ends up being a back-door method of inferring an interaction (e.g., “effect was significant in women but not men”)
statgendan.bsky.social Daniel E. Weeks @statgendan.bsky.social · 5d
“changes in statistical significance are often not themselves statistically significant. … even large changes in significance levels can correspond to small, nonsignificant changes in the underlying quantities.”

www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1...

#Statistics
November 9, 2025 at 1:36 PM
Reposted by Felix Thoemmes
imbernomics.bsky.social
In economics we call these Manski Bounds.
marceldirsus.com Marcel Dirsus @marceldirsus.com · 7d
AI could end scarcity, end humanity - or boost trend growth by 0.2 percentage points
November 7, 2025 at 8:26 PM
Reposted by Felix Thoemmes
gershbrain.bsky.social
My reviewing style has changed over time. Rather than litigate every little thing, and pushing my own ideas, I focus only on 2 things:
(1) Are the claims interesting/important?
(2) Does the evidence support the claims?

Most of my reviews these days are short and focused.
November 8, 2025 at 11:22 AM
Reposted by Felix Thoemmes
lakens.bsky.social
My Shiny app containing 3530 Open Science blog posts discussing the replication crisis is updated - you can now use the SEARCH box. I fixed it as my new PhD Julia wanted to know who had called open scientists 'Methodological Terrorists' :) shiny.ieis.tue.nl/open_science...
Open Science Blog Browser
Open Science Blog Browser
shiny.ieis.tue.nl
November 8, 2025 at 7:15 PM
Reposted by Felix Thoemmes
nachristakis.bsky.social
A new and very accurate technique called mind captioning’ generates descriptive sentences of what a person is seeing or picturing in their mind using a read-out of their brain activity and AI tools.

This could also be used to reveal what animals are thinking.

www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
Mind captioning: Evolving descriptive text of mental content from human brain activity
Nonverbal thoughts can be translated into verbal descriptions by aligning semantic representations between text and the brain.
www.science.org
November 8, 2025 at 2:43 PM
Reposted by Felix Thoemmes
dsbarra.bsky.social
Found this gem of a paper in the AMPPS archives on using containers in psychological science. What's a container, you ask? Read on...
November 8, 2025 at 12:55 PM
Reposted by Felix Thoemmes
stephaniemlee.bsky.social
"Cornell is the fourth institution to achieve an agreement with the Trump administration to restore federal money, following Columbia University, the University of Pennsylvania, and Brown University." www.chronicle.com/article/corn...
Cornell Will Pay $60 Million and Provide Admissions Data in Deal to Restore Federal Funding
The university, which had seen hundreds of millions of dollars frozen, said the deal “will enable us to return to our teaching and research in restored partnership with federal agencies.”
www.chronicle.com
November 7, 2025 at 6:28 PM
Reposted by Felix Thoemmes
venpopov.bsky.social
A recent redesign of OSF by @cos.io led to widespread access failures. What began as a few broken download links became for me a total disappearance of eight years of DOI-registered work. What happened, how was it resolved, and what it reveals about trust and infrastructure in open science
Open Science needs reliable infrastructure – Ven Popov
After OSF’s October 2025 redesign, I discovered that eight years of DOI-linked preprints and materials were silently hidden by an automated spam flag. What happened, how it was resolved, and what it r...
venpopov.com
November 6, 2025 at 6:13 PM
Reposted by Felix Thoemmes
toddpugatch.bsky.social
An Imbens retrospective on experimental v. non-experimental methods — looks like a must-read www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=...
Comparing Experimental and Nonexperimental Methods: What Lessons Have We Learned Four Decades after LaLonde (1986)?
(Fall 2025) - In 1986, Robert LaLonde published an article comparing nonexperimental estimates to experimental benchmarks (LaLonde 1986). He concluded that the nonexperimental methods at the time coul...
www.aeaweb.org
November 6, 2025 at 4:47 PM
Reposted by Felix Thoemmes
devezer.bsky.social
I'd like to re-up this paper we published last year bec I believe it makes a fundamental contribution to theoretical metascience but it is woefully underappreciated. We address a key challenge in estimating the reproducibility of a result: The distance of a replication study from the original. 1/n
Screenshot of an article abstract. Title: Statistics in Service of Metascience: Measuring Replication Distance with Reproducibility Rate Authors: Erkan O. Buzbas and Berna Devezer Abstract: Motivated by the recent putative reproducibility crisis, we discuss the relationship between the replicability of scientific studies, the reproducibility of results obtained in these replications, and the philosophy of statistics. Our approach focuses on challenges in specifying scientific studies for scientific inference via statistical inference and is complementary to classical discussions in the philosophy of statistics. We particularly consider the challenges in replicating studies exactly, using the notion of the idealized experiment. We argue against treating reproducibility as an inherently desirable property of scientific results, and in favor of viewing it as a tool to measure the distance between an original study and its replications. To sensibly study the implications of replicability and results reproducibility on inference, such a measure of replication distance is needed. We present an effort to delineate such a framework here, addressing some challenges in capturing the components of scientific studies while identifying others as ongoing issues. We illustrate our measure of replication distance by simulations using a toy example. Rather than replications, we present purposefully planned modifications as an appropriate tool to inform scientific inquiry. Our ability to measure replication distance serves scientists in their search for replication-ready studies. We believe that likelihood-based and evidential approaches may play a critical role towards building statistics that effectively serve the practical needs of science. Keywords: replication distance; reproducibility rate; philosophy of statistics; scientific inference; idealized experiment; minimum viable experiment
November 5, 2025 at 7:07 PM
Reposted by Felix Thoemmes
paulgp.com
Excited to post a new working paper with @instrumenthull.bsky.social and Michal Kolesár: arxiv.org/abs/2511.03572

Will post a thread on it soon, but if you're interested in judge/examiner designs, I think you'll find this guide very helpful!
Leniency Designs: An Operator's Manual
We develop a step-by-step guide to leniency (a.k.a. judge or examiner instrument) designs, drawing on recent econometric literatures. The unbiased jackknife instrumental variables estimator (UJIVE) is...
arxiv.org
November 6, 2025 at 4:06 AM
Reposted by Felix Thoemmes
mschauer.bsky.social
The event B having happened is not the same as the receiving the information O that the event B has happened, because you also condition on receiving the information at all in the latter case. Conflating this contributes a lot to the "paradoxa" such as boy/girl paradox, Monty Hall...
For the applicability of Bayes' theorem, it is important when the information $B$ you condition on is actually available. Let $O \subset B$ be the event of observing $B$ with $P(O)>0$. If $O$ and $A$ are independent with respect to $P_{|B}(\cdot) = P(\cdot \mid B)$, then \[ P(A\mid O) = P(A \mid B). \]
November 6, 2025 at 11:09 AM