Why might malicious actors choose less lethal but easier-to-hide weapons? Olivia Shoemaker argues current AI evaluations focus on scientific capabilities, often missing operational factors that determine real-world misuse patterns like evading detection and acquiring resources.👇

AI experts have completely opposite views on the technology's future. @hlntnr.bsky.social on the open debates: Will scaling hit a wall? Can AI improve itself? “If we can't agree what's happening with AI, how can we agree what to do about it?” 👇

AI agents can find and exploit real-world cybersecurity vulnerabilities today. Daniel Kang saw this major threat vector when ChatGPT launched, while others didn't. His research shows that more capable models are more proficient hackers. The threat is real and getting worse.👇

We all agree AI audits are needed, but we can't agree what that means.

@mbogen.bsky.social says policymakers can make sense out of this chaotic landscape if they define what they're trying to accomplish. The challenge isn't just mitigating known risks but identifying ones still emerging.👇

"AI that understands biology well enough to cure diseases can design extremely potent bioweapons." @alexbores.nyc, NY Assembly's 1st Democrat with a CS degree, who worked in AI, says state reps answer their own phones. Use that power to change the course of AI safety.👇

How do we verify what AI companies are doing? Right now we just trust them. Lennart Heim: Trusting the math is sometimes better than trusting people, but “a good AI system” isn’t a technical property. We need engineers to verify AI policy goals. 👇

Industry & government share the same goal: win the AI race. Sara McNaughton: We need synergy between the two, and we can't let perfect be the enemy of good. Each day of policy confusion helps rivals.👇

Mark Beall warns that AGI is a 'black swan' that will invalidate our assumptions. He envisions AI designing bioweapons in minutes, evolving cyber weapons of mass destruction, and making autonomous kill decisions. “No army can defeat it, no firewall can contain it.” 👇

If everyone had AGI software today, how many copies could you deploy? That's limited by compute. @repbillfoster.bsky.social: Lucky all chip chokepoints (ASML lithography, Korean device physics, Japanese photoresist) are in the free world. When the singularity hits, compute is what matters. 👇