Amanda Earl
@earlamanda.bsky.social
Pollster @ GBAO
Probably talking about polling (I guess here now?), running, or my dog. Tulane grad formerly of DC, currently living in Portland.
Probably talking about polling (I guess here now?), running, or my dog. Tulane grad formerly of DC, currently living in Portland.
Reposted by Amanda Earl
This summer, young Indigenous kayakers made history on the first source-to-sea descent of the Klamath River since the removal of four dams. But this isn’t just a kayak adventure story.
‘The Evergreen’: Indigenous youth make history on a changed Klamath River
This week, we hear how the removal of four dams has changed the Klamath River, and what the journey meant to the Indigenous youth carrying on their ancestors’ work.
www.opb.org
November 24, 2025 at 7:30 PM
This summer, young Indigenous kayakers made history on the first source-to-sea descent of the Klamath River since the removal of four dams. But this isn’t just a kayak adventure story.
Reposted by Amanda Earl
November 19, 2025 at 1:46 AM
"Everyone knew she was going to make the Republican candidate another Sam Brownback, so they tested to see if it would work to make her Joe Biden,” a Republican strategist... told me. “The pollster called them back and said, ‘Bad news: Sam Brownback is much less popular in Kansas than Joe Biden.’"
Democrats let Kansas Governor Laura Kelly lead—Now they’re winning
In an exclusive interview, Kansas Governor Laura Kelly unpacks what she's learned chairing the Democratic Governors Association.
www.newsweek.com
November 18, 2025 at 7:16 PM
"Everyone knew she was going to make the Republican candidate another Sam Brownback, so they tested to see if it would work to make her Joe Biden,” a Republican strategist... told me. “The pollster called them back and said, ‘Bad news: Sam Brownback is much less popular in Kansas than Joe Biden.’"
Reposted by Amanda Earl
NBC News exit polls
VIRGINIA GOV 2021
Economy is the #1 issue
Economy voters prefer Youngkin+11 over McAuliffe
VIRGINIA GOV 2025
Economy is the #1 issue
Economy voters prefer Spanberger+20 over Earle-Sears
Sea change. TBD if it replicates elsewhere.
VIRGINIA GOV 2021
Economy is the #1 issue
Economy voters prefer Youngkin+11 over McAuliffe
VIRGINIA GOV 2025
Economy is the #1 issue
Economy voters prefer Spanberger+20 over Earle-Sears
Sea change. TBD if it replicates elsewhere.
November 5, 2025 at 12:49 AM
NBC News exit polls
VIRGINIA GOV 2021
Economy is the #1 issue
Economy voters prefer Youngkin+11 over McAuliffe
VIRGINIA GOV 2025
Economy is the #1 issue
Economy voters prefer Spanberger+20 over Earle-Sears
Sea change. TBD if it replicates elsewhere.
VIRGINIA GOV 2021
Economy is the #1 issue
Economy voters prefer Youngkin+11 over McAuliffe
VIRGINIA GOV 2025
Economy is the #1 issue
Economy voters prefer Spanberger+20 over Earle-Sears
Sea change. TBD if it replicates elsewhere.
Reposted by Amanda Earl
Trump ignores a question from a woman reporter but says, "I just like to watch her talk. Good job. Thank you darling."
October 14, 2025 at 6:56 PM
Trump ignores a question from a woman reporter but says, "I just like to watch her talk. Good job. Thank you darling."
Reposted by Amanda Earl
“A second inflatable frog has now been spotted wiggling through Portland.”
October 8, 2025 at 10:54 PM
“A second inflatable frog has now been spotted wiggling through Portland.”
Honestly don't think this wording is going to be as helpful as they think it is...
October 1, 2025 at 5:46 PM
Honestly don't think this wording is going to be as helpful as they think it is...
Always great when the social media break is more stressful than the weighting/survey editing.
September 30, 2025 at 4:09 PM
Always great when the social media break is more stressful than the weighting/survey editing.
This month in war ravaged Portland
September 27, 2025 at 9:36 PM
This month in war ravaged Portland
Reposted by Amanda Earl
Not really an overstatement to say that the test of a free society is whether or not comedians can make fun of the country's leader on TV without repurcussions.
July 18, 2025 at 3:39 PM
Not really an overstatement to say that the test of a free society is whether or not comedians can make fun of the country's leader on TV without repurcussions.
The privilege of watching an Amanda win before 10 pm >>
September 5, 2025 at 5:06 AM
The privilege of watching an Amanda win before 10 pm >>
Reposted by Amanda Earl
@earlamanda.bsky.social's (good) guess: “If you heard that vaccines cause cancer, autism and could potentially kill people, would you favor or oppose the U.S. government forcing every citizen to get vaccinated?”
September 5, 2025 at 2:42 AM
@earlamanda.bsky.social's (good) guess: “If you heard that vaccines cause cancer, autism and could potentially kill people, would you favor or oppose the U.S. government forcing every citizen to get vaccinated?”
Reposted by Amanda Earl
Due to mass confusion, clarifying again:
Tsunami Watch: Tsunami of indeterminate magnitude is possible; stand by.
Tsunami Advisory: Tsunami is likely *but will probably be small.* Evacuations unlikely.
Tsunami Warning: Tsunami is likely *and may be large.* Evacuations needed.
Tsunami Watch: Tsunami of indeterminate magnitude is possible; stand by.
Tsunami Advisory: Tsunami is likely *but will probably be small.* Evacuations unlikely.
Tsunami Warning: Tsunami is likely *and may be large.* Evacuations needed.
July 30, 2025 at 3:05 AM
Due to mass confusion, clarifying again:
Tsunami Watch: Tsunami of indeterminate magnitude is possible; stand by.
Tsunami Advisory: Tsunami is likely *but will probably be small.* Evacuations unlikely.
Tsunami Warning: Tsunami is likely *and may be large.* Evacuations needed.
Tsunami Watch: Tsunami of indeterminate magnitude is possible; stand by.
Tsunami Advisory: Tsunami is likely *but will probably be small.* Evacuations unlikely.
Tsunami Warning: Tsunami is likely *and may be large.* Evacuations needed.
Reposted by Amanda Earl
Berry season is the best
July 13, 2025 at 9:08 PM
Berry season is the best
There’s something crazy about how I had to turn off news notifications because of what non-breaking news related stuff that would get pushed out and now I have to log on to social media to find out about Iran. I can’t be alone.
June 22, 2025 at 12:34 AM
There’s something crazy about how I had to turn off news notifications because of what non-breaking news related stuff that would get pushed out and now I have to log on to social media to find out about Iran. I can’t be alone.
Reposted by Amanda Earl
Who was MN Rep. Melissa Hortman in the MN Legislature? READ about her consequential leadership in this THREAD by @taniel.bsky.social.
Take the time.
Take the time.
Melissa Hortman, who was assassinated last night, was the Speaker of the Minnesota House in the 2023-2024 session, when Democrats ran the state government.
That means she had a leading role in shepherding the many landmark reforms that Dems adopted in that period—an important legacy. Brief 🧵.
That means she had a leading role in shepherding the many landmark reforms that Dems adopted in that period—an important legacy. Brief 🧵.
June 14, 2025 at 5:07 PM
Who was MN Rep. Melissa Hortman in the MN Legislature? READ about her consequential leadership in this THREAD by @taniel.bsky.social.
Take the time.
Take the time.
Reposted by Amanda Earl
When a cabinet member announces "We are using the military to liberate an American city from its elected leaders," where do you go from there. What is left to say. The idea of that being anything short of a near-universal "Wait, what the fuck is going on" moment proves how far we've backslid.
June 12, 2025 at 6:39 PM
When a cabinet member announces "We are using the military to liberate an American city from its elected leaders," where do you go from there. What is left to say. The idea of that being anything short of a near-universal "Wait, what the fuck is going on" moment proves how far we've backslid.
There are a lot of very bad things getting buried by this right now but its a really good day to listen to break up songs AND she bought the masters so you can listen to either version www.youtube.com/watch?v=lUvB...
Taylor Swift - Bad Blood (Taylor's Version) (Lyric Video)
YouTube video by TaylorSwiftVEVO
www.youtube.com
June 5, 2025 at 7:57 PM
There are a lot of very bad things getting buried by this right now but its a really good day to listen to break up songs AND she bought the masters so you can listen to either version www.youtube.com/watch?v=lUvB...
Reposted by Amanda Earl
"bacon, cheese, egg" is a good example of why one should not always choose to rotate the response options
June 4, 2025 at 2:31 AM
"bacon, cheese, egg" is a good example of why one should not always choose to rotate the response options
Reposted by Amanda Earl
One other question we asked on our latest economic poll: Assuming pay was the same, would you rather have a manufacturing or office job?
73% office
26% manufacturing
s3.documentcloud.org/documents/25...
73% office
26% manufacturing
s3.documentcloud.org/documents/25...
April 29, 2025 at 9:41 PM
One other question we asked on our latest economic poll: Assuming pay was the same, would you rather have a manufacturing or office job?
73% office
26% manufacturing
s3.documentcloud.org/documents/25...
73% office
26% manufacturing
s3.documentcloud.org/documents/25...
Seems pretty bad.
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
April 25, 2025 at 8:33 PM
Seems pretty bad.
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
Reposted by Amanda Earl
With President Donald Trump’s second term approaching its 100-day mark, his approval rating is down from February and several of his key policy actions are viewed more negatively than positively by the public. www.pewresearch.org/...
April 23, 2025 at 5:30 PM
With President Donald Trump’s second term approaching its 100-day mark, his approval rating is down from February and several of his key policy actions are viewed more negatively than positively by the public. www.pewresearch.org/...